Miami Heat vs. New Orleans Pelicans: 3/4/2021 Computer Picks, Odds, Line, Spread and Betting Trends

Written by on March 4, 2021

The Miami Heat (17-18) are favored (by 7.5 points) to build on a three-game road winning streak when they visit the New Orleans Pelicans (15-20) on Thursday, March 4, 2021 at 8:30 PM ET. The over/under is set at 220.5 for the matchup.

Betting Information

Heat vs Pelicans Betting Information
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Heat -7.5 -133 -111 220.5 -117 -125
Place a bet on Miami Heat or the New Orleans Pelicans for Thursday’s game.

Head to Head

In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Miami has a 6-4 record against New Orleans. The Heat also hold a 2-1 edge against the spread when playing the Pelicans.

Heat vs Pelicans in 2020-21
Date Favorite Home Team Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Game Type Result
12/25/2020 Heat Heat -3 222 -146 123 Regular Season 111-98 MIA
3/6/2020 Pelicans Pelicans -1.5 231.5 -120 101 Regular Season 110-104 NO
11/16/2019 Heat Heat -8 225.5 -365 289 Regular Season 109-94 MIA
12/16/2018 Pelicans Regular Season 102-96 MIA
11/30/2018 Heat Regular Season 106-101 MIA
2/23/2018 Pelicans Regular Season 124-123 NO
12/23/2017 Heat Regular Season 109-94 NO
3/15/2017 Heat Regular Season 120-112 MIA
12/23/2016 Pelicans Regular Season 91-87 NO
3/22/2016 Pelicans Regular Season 113-99 MIA
  • 3/6/2020 DNP – Heat: Tyler Herro; Pelicans: JJ Redick
  • 11/16/2019 DNP – Heat: Goran Dragic; Pelicans: Brandon Ingram, Zion Williamson, JJ Redick, Lonzo Ball
  • Heat Betting Information

    • Miami has covered in just 15 of 35 matchups this season.
    • The Heat have struggled to cover, going just 1-3 ATS when favored by at least 7.5 points.
    • Miami has more often than not combined with its adversaries to fall short of the over, doing so 16 times in 35 contests (45.7%).
    Bet on the Miami Heat to win the NBA Championship.

    Pelicans Betting Information

    • New Orleans has a losing record against the spread, going 16-20 ATS (covering just 44.4% of the time).
    • The Pelicans have not fared well when playing as an underdog by 7.5 points or more, going 1-3 against the spread.
    • In the majority of New Orleans’ games this season, the teams have combined to hit the over (25 out of 36 games, 69.4%).
    Bet on the New Orleans Pelicans to win the NBA Championship.

    Over/Under Analysis

    • In 34.3% of their games this year (12 of 35 chances), the Heat and their opponents have combined to record more than this matchup’s point total of 220.5 points.
    • New Orleans and its opponents have added up to score more than 220.5 points in 75% of their games this year (27 of 36 chances).
    • These two teams average a combined 222.8 points per game, 2.3 more points than the over/under of 220.5 set for this matchup.
    • The Heat and the Pelicans have seen their opponents average a combined 4.4 more points per game than the point total of 220.5 set for this matchup.
    • The average total the Heat have had set in matchups this year is 4.8 less points than this outing’s point total.
    • Pelicans games this season have averaged a total of 231.8 points, 11.3 more than the point total in this matchup.
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    Heat Leaders

    • Jimmy Butler leads the Heat in points and assists. He puts up 20.1 points per game while tacking on 7.8 assists.
    • Bam Adebayo paces Miami with 9.5 rebounds per game.
    • Duncan Robinson hits 3.3 threes per game to lead the Heat.
    • Butler leads the team with 1.9 steals per game. Adebayo collects 1.0 block a contest to pace Miami.

    Pelicans Leaders

    • The Pelicans leader in scoring is Zion Williamson with 25.6 points per game. He also adds 7.2 rebounds per game and 3.4 assists per game.
    • When it comes to New Orleans leaders in rebounds and assists, the team has two players at the top: Steven Adams with 9.0 rebounds per game and Lonzo Ball with 5.2 assists per game.
    • Ball makes more threes per game than any other member of the Pelicans, averaging 3.0 treys per game.
    • Ball is at the top of New Orleans’ steals hierarchy with 1.3 steals per game and Brandon Ingram leads the squad in blocks with 0.8 per game.
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