NBA Betting: Cash in On Western Conference Close Out Game as Harden Looks to Lead Rockets to Victory!

Posted by Alex Murphy on Tuesday,April 28, 2015 10:31, EDT in

If you’re an NBA betting enthusiast that is looking to cash in on tonight’s Western Conference Game 5 closeout showdown between the Houston Rockets and Dallas Mavericks, then you’re in luck!

Thanks to this expert roundball betting breakdown you’re going to get on tonight’s matchup of in-state rivals, you’re going to have a great opportunity to cash in.

Okay, with that said, let’s rock and roll.

Dallas At Houston: NBA Betting Analysis and Game Preview

When: 8:00 PM ET, Tuesday, April 28, 2015
Where: Toyota Center, Houston, Texas
TV: TNT, KTXA (Dallas), ROOT (Houston)
NBA Odds: Houston -6, Over/Under: 221.5

The Dallas Mavericks managed to keep their season alive by beating the Houston Rockets to win their first elimination game of the postseason, but I believe the Mavs are in big trouble tonight against a veteran Rockets team that undoubtedly wants to end their first round playoff series, like now!

Dallas had a brand new look for Game 4 with starting small forward Chandler Parsons out of the lineup and Rajon Rondo jettisoned with a ‘fake’ back injury. Mavericks head coach Rick Carlisle turned to veterans, J.J. Barea and Al-Farouq Aminu and his decision to start both players paid off in a big way.

Barea, an integral cog in Dallas’ title a few years ago, scored 17 points and dished out 13 assists.

“I’m trying to push it every time,” Barea told reporters. “I’m trying to be aggressive and my teammates, people around me are ballin’. I’m just trying to attack and do my job. If I do my job and I create problems for their defense, then I think everybody else plays a lot looser and more open.”


The underrated Aminu added 16 points and pulled down a dozen rebounds.

“I thought J.J. and Farouq were phenomenal tonight,” Dallas forward Dirk Nowitzki told reporters. “It was kind of like a next-man-up mentality. Those guys stepped in and both were great.”

James Harden scored a team-high 24 points and veteran power forward Josh Smith added 23 points off the bench, but he also chided his teammates for what he believed was a lackluster effort.

“They played like a team that was trying to close us out,” Smith told reporters. “We played like a team that was going home, and it can’t be like that. We got to have a killer instinct in that type of moment.”

At one point, the Rockets missed an uncharacteristic 17 consecutive shots over a 10-minute stretch.

“We got slow offensively, the ball stuck,” Rockets coach Kevin McHale told reporters. “We didn’t do very well for that stretch. All that being said, it was our offensive rebounding and our lack of being able to contain the ball that ended up beating us. Our offense sucked for a while. That was a fatal blow, more of our effort overall I think.”

Game Analysis

After watching league MVP candidate James Harden shoot a pitiful 1-for-7 from beyond the arc in Game 4, I fully expect The Bearded One to play a lot better in Houston’s second close-out game tonight.

As a matter of fact, I think the Rockets as a whole will shoot the ball a lot better than they did ingoing 7-for-31 from three-point distance the last time out.

While Dallas played very well in Game 4, I certainly don’t expect the Mavs to shoot a blistering 54.3 percent from the field like they did in Game 4.


The Mavericks are just 3-11 ATS in their last 14 road games, a discouraging 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games following an SU win and a dismal 1-5 ATS in their last half-dozen games against their NBA Southwest Division rivals.

The Rockets have compiled a blistering 11-1 ATS mark in their last 12 games following an SU loss of more than 10 points, so clearly, this team bounces back from a resounding loss quite well.

Houston is 9-1 ATS in their last 10 home games against a team with a winning road record, 6-1 ATS in their last seven games against their Western Conference counterparts and an incendiary 20-7 ATS in their last 27 home games.

The home team in this often heated rivalry has gone 6-2 ATS in the last eight meetings while Dallas has gone 0-4 ATS in their last four road games against Houston.

The Pick: Houston Rockets -6 Points

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