Giannis Antetokounmpo and the Milwaukee Bucks will be looking to rebound from a rare loss when they host Domantas Sabonis and an Indiana Pacers squad that will be looking to extend their winning ways when they two Eastern Conference rivals square off in their mid-week matchup on Wednesday at the Fiserv Forum. With the Bucks looking for some payback in this one and the Pacers looking to pull off the outright upset, let’s find out which team is offering the best value against their NBA Odds for the Pacers vs Bucks.
Pacers vs Bucks 2020 NBA Game Preview & Betting Odds
- When: Wednesday, March 4, 2020 at 7:00 PM ET
- Where: Fiserv Forum
- TV: ESPN, FSIN, FSWI
- NBA Odds: Milwaukee -11 / Total: 222
The Greek Freak’s last line against Indiana: 18 PTS | 19 REB | 9 AST | 2 AST | 2 BLK pic.twitter.com/tOohBiWWNw— Milwaukee Bucks (@Bucks) March 4, 2020
Why Bet On Indiana
The Pacers have won four straight and six of seven including a 116-111 win over San Antonio on Monday night as Malcolm Brogdon scored a team-high 26 points and T.J. Warren added 23 points.
“Yeah, I’m just in a good rhythm, just staying aggressive,” Warren, who scored 35 points in the Pacers’ 118-111 home win over Milwaukee on Feb. 12. “My guards and my teammates do a good job of just finding me. Me cutting and just finding the open spots and me getting out on transition, really just compliment my game and I want to continue that.”
Warren averages a team-high 18.7 points per game while Domantas Sabonis is averaging 18.3 points and Malcolm Brogdon is putting up 16.6 points per contest. Indiana averages 109.4 points per game (21st) while limiting the opposition to 107.2 points per game defensively (7th). The Pacers have gone 16-14 on the road this season.
- Total Score: 109.44
- Field Goal %: 47.63
- Three Point %: 36.43
- Free Throw %: 78.91
- Total Rebounds: 42.79
- Total Score: 107.16
- Field Goal %: 44.84
- Three Point %: 34.84
- Free Throw %: 78.7
- Total Rebounds: 44.61
Indiana Pacers Betting Trends
- Pacers are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Pacers are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 Wednesday games.
- Pacers are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 road games.
- Pacers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog.
- Pacers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win.
Why Bet On Milwaukee
The Bucks have a lot to play for in this contest as they look to get some payback for their loss against Indiana the last time they met while trying to bounce back from a stunning 105-89 smackdown loss against Miami on Monday. Reigning league MVP Giannis Antetokounmpo was held to a season-low 13 points on 6-of-18 shooting.
“You’re going to win some games and you’re going to lose some games,” Antetokounmpo told reporters after the loss. “We’re not going to go 82-0. Miami is a great team. They came out and played really hard tonight, and we’re definitely going to play them again at some point and we’ll have to play better and play hard.”
Antetokounmpo is averaging a team-high 29.6 points and 13.8 rebounds while Khris Middleton is averaging 20.9 points and Eric Bledsoe is putting up 15.3 points per game. Milwaukee averages 119.1 points per game to rank first in scoring while limiting the opposition to just 106.8 points per game defensively to rank second in points allowed. The Bucks have gone a blistering 27-3 at home this season.
- Total Score: 119.1
- Field Goal %: 47.92
- Three Point %: 35.93
- Free Throw %: 74.09
- Total Rebounds: 52.1
- Total Score: 106.82
- Field Goal %: 40.99
- Three Point %: 35.67
- Free Throw %: 77.95
- Total Rebounds: 45.69
Milwaukee Bucks Betting Trends
- Bucks are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.
- Bucks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
- Bucks are 27-9 ATS in their last 36 games following a straight up loss.
- Bucks are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite.
- Bucks are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games overall.
Pacers vs Bucks Expert Analysis and Prediction
I know the Indiana Pacers are playing well right now and they beat the Bucks less than a month ago, but they’re also taking on Milwaukee at a bad time seeing as how the Bucks haven’t lost two straight all season long and are back at home following their humbling loss to Miami to start the week.
Having said that, while I like Milwaukee to handle their business and get the big home win in this matchup to deliver a message to the Pacers should they meet in the playoffs, I believe the double digit spread is definitely a few points too high for the Bucks to cover. While the Bucks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games, the Pacers have gone an impressive 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 road games. I’m taking the points in my back pocket and the Pacers to cover and you should too!
Pick: Milwaukee 115 Indiana 109