Pelicans at Warriors Game 5 NBA Lines & Playoffs Preview

Posted by Jordan Walters on Tuesday,May 8, 2018 10:00, EDT in

The Golden State Warriors are one victory from reaching the Western Conference Finals for a fourth straight season. oddsmakers expect the Dubs to finish off the New Orleans Pelicans on Tuesday night as double-digit NBA lines favorites.

How to Bet Pelicans at Warriors NBA Lines & Game 5 Info

When: Tuesday, 10:30 PM ET
Where: Oracle Arena, Oakland
Stream: Watch NBA
Radio: (New Orleans) / (Golden State)
NBA Odds: Warriors -11.5 (227)

Latest NBA Betting Trends

  • New Orleans is 11-2 ATS in its last 13 games
  • New Orleans is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans’s last 6 games
  • Golden State is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
  • Golden State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Golden State’s last 6 games

Why Bet on New Orleans?

The Pelicans have played well in two games of this series, including winning Game 3, but they were never in Sunday’s Game 4, falling 118-92 in likely their final home game of the season.

Anthony Davis posted a 26-point, 12-rebound double-double during Sunday’s loss to the Warriors, adding one assist, one steal and two blocks over 40 minutes. Davis also a team-high six turnovers in the loss, and as a whole, the Pelicans turned over the ball 19 times which lead to plenty of fastbreak opportunities for Golden State. New Orleans now finds themselves sitting in a 3-1 hole, which is something that only 11 teams in NBA history have been able to bounce back from. Through his first 12 career playoff games, Davis has scored 337 points, the sixth most in NBA postseason history.

Jrue Holiday went 8-of-16 from the field and 2-of-4 from the charity stripe on his way to 19 points in Sunday’s loss. Holiday added seven rebounds, three assists, one 3-pointer, one steal, one block and two turnovers while he was out there, but he struggled to get his shot to drop from long-range (1-of-4 from beyond the arc), which was a team-wide trend with New Orleans hitting just 15.4% of their 3-point shots. Their 4-of-26 shooting from 3-point territory was their worst such performance of the season.

Who Wasn’t on Fire in Game 4?

Rajon Rondo couldn’t buy a basket in Game 4, going 2-of-10 from the field and 1-of-4 from the stripe on his way to six points across 32 minutes. Rondo did add 11 rebounds, six assists and one 3-pointer while he was out there, but he also turned the ball over four times, and he’s been in a shooting slump over the past two, connecting on just 19% of his shot attempts. E’Twaun Moore was one of the few Pelicans to hit over 50% of his shots, going 8-of-14 from the field on his way to 20 points, one 3-pointer, one rebound, one assist and one turnover, but he also finished with a minus-25 plus-minus rating in the loss.

New Orleans was 16-of-45 (.356) from the field in the second half, including 0-of-15 from deep. New Orleans committed 19 turnovers, leading to 21 points for Golden State.

Why Bet on Golden State?

Are the Warriors a safe bet vs. the Pelicans in Game 5?

Golden State earned their second wire-to-wire victory of the postseason in Game 4. Trailing 55-42 with 4:18 remaining in the first half, New Orleans went on a 9-0 run to cut the deficit to four points with 1:10 remaining, but the Warriors answered with a 6-3 run to push their lead to seven points on the break.  Golden State opened the second half on a 10-2 run to push their lead back to 15 points (71-56) with 10:12 remaining in the third quarter. The Pelicans did not trail by single digits the remainder of the game.

Kevin Durant put up 38 points on 15-of-27 shooting during Sunday’s Game 4 win over the Pelicans, adding nine boards, two triples, five assists, one steal and one block across 36 minutes. The 38 points accounted for a 2018 post-season high, and he was also a perfect 6-of-6 from the charity stripe.

Stephen Curry came through with 23 points, four 3-pointers, one rebound, two assists and two turnovers across 32 minutes in Game 4. It was Curry’s 78th post-season appearance, passing up Jeff Mullins for the third-most playoff games in Warriors’ history, and he now trails just Draymond Green (89) and Klay Thompson (90) for that No. 1 spot.

Green had eight points, nine boards, nine assists, four steals, two swats and three turnovers in 37 minutes. Green now has over 800 career-postseason rebounds, joining Wilt Chamberlain and Nate Thurmond as the only other Warriors in franchise history to accomplish such a feat. His defense against Anthony Davis (8-of-22 from the field) was excellent, and he also finished with a team-high plus-minus rating of +28.

How Well Has Golden State Done in the Playoffs?

The Warriors have won a road game in each of their last 17 playoff series, a franchise record (the NBA record is currently held by Miami, 19 straight). Green is averaging 12.4 points, 11.2 rebounds and 9.0 assists per game in this year’s playoffs, joining Magic Johnson (1981-82), Wilt Chamberlain (1966-67) and Oscar Robertson (1962-63) as the only players to maintain those averages in a playoff run of at least 8 games.

In Game 5 of the playoffs the Warriors have a 22-20 record (8-1 since 2015). In the playoffs, the Warriors have a 109-48 (.694) record at home, including a 34-5 (.872) mark since 2015. The Warriors have won their last 14 playoff home games, their longest home winning streak in the playoffs in franchise history (Chicago won an NBA-playoff-record 15 consecutive home games from April 27, 1990 to May 21, 1991).

Expert NBA Betting Prediction

Golden State wins the game but much like Rockets-Jazz, this is too many points to give.