Pelicans vs Warriors

Pelicans vs Warriors | NBA Betting Analysis

Written by on May 14, 2021

The New Orleans Pelicans are winding down a disappointing season without stars Zion Williamson and Brandon Ingram as they visit the playoff-bound Golden State Warriors and superstar Steph Curry on Friday night. If the Dubs play all their regulars, they will be solid favorites on the NBA odds. It’s the lone national TV game of the night.

How to Bet Pelicans at Warriors NBA Odds & TV Info

Season Series

The teams have split the first two meetings, both in New Orleans earlier this month. Zion Williamson averaged 27.5 points, 10.0 rebounds, 4.0 assists and 2.0 steals in a team-high 37.1 minutes averaged in the two and Lonzo Ball averaged 20.0 points, 6.5 boards and 6.0 assists, while shooting 8-of-22 (.364) from behind the arc and 4-of-4 from the charity stripe for New Orleans. Steph Curry averaged 39.0 points, converting 27-of-57 (.474) from the field, 16-of-38 (.421) from three-point range and 8-of-9 (.889) from the free throw line for the Warriors. Draymond Green averaged 12.5 rebounds, 12.0 assists and 8.5 points, shooting 7-of-11 (.636) from the floor. Golden State leads the all-time series 40-23.

Why Bet on New Orleans? | NBA Betting Analysis

This is the final road game of the season for New Orleans. The Pels lost a second straight on Wednesday, 125-107 in Dallas to be officially eliminated from postseason contention while playing without four starters: Lonzo Ball was scratched with a strained right thumb, joining Zion Williamson (broken left hand), Brandon Ingram (sprained left ankle) and Steven Adams (sprained toe) on the sideline.

The first quarter was pretty solid for New Orleans, with Dallas up only 32-30, but it got out of hand in the second. The Mavericks built a 77-58 halftime edge, meaning the Pelicans have trailed by double digits in all four games of this road trip.

Jaxson Hayes and Nickeil Alexander-Walker both had rough games efficiency-wise, combining to shoot 8-for-23 from the field, after they were excellent in previous games of this road trip. Hayes did finish with 15 points and six rebounds in 22 minutes.

Naji Marshall exited Wednesday’s game in a good amount of pain with a right shoulder injury, finishing with 12 points, six rebounds, two assists, one steal and four turnovers across 30 minutes. Marshall ran full speed into Dorian Finney-Smith and immediately collapsed on the court, writhing in pain on the floor. He surely will not play here.

Wenyen Gabriel could be the next man up, and he finished Wednesday’s game with seven points, five rebounds, one assist, one 3-pointer, one block and one turnover in 26 minutes off the bench. Willy Hernangomez double-doubled in the loss with 12 points and 10 rebounds and has filled in well for Adams.

New Orleans has been showcasing their ability to score in the lane at will this season. The Pelicans rank 2nd in the NBA in points in the paint per game at 54.3, up from their 49.8 they averaged a season ago.

Why Bet on Golden State? | NBA Betting Analysis

The Warriors, who will be in the Western Conference play-in tournament, won a fourth straight Tuesday upsetting the visiting Suns 122-116. Jordan Poole hit a go-ahead 3-pointer with 1:43 left. Poole scored 20 points to wrap up Golden State’s final set of back-to-backs as the Warriors won their fourth straight at home.

Andrew Wiggins was terrific Tuesday with 38 points. He finished just two points shy of his season-high scoring effort and added seven boards. Wiggins has been a big part of Golden State’s offense this season, averaging 18.6 points per contest and registering a career-best 47.6 field-goal percentage.

Draymond Green had 11 points, 11 assists and 10 rebounds for his sixth triple-double of the year. Green has picked up the pace offensively over the past three games, averaging 12.7 points and 1.7 three-pointers per contest over that stretch. That’s a sharp rise over his season averages of 6.9 points and 0.5 treys.

Steph Curry hit just 7-of-22 shots and 1-of-11 3-pointers for 21 points on Tuesday. Curry’s hit just 18-of-47 shots over his last two games, and 4-of-24 3-pointers. He has averaged 28.5 points and 6.0 assists over that span, however, and Golden State has pulled off victories over the top two teams in the Western Conference. Curry is shooting 42.1 percent from three-point range on the season and leads the NBA with 5.3 treys per contest.

The Warriors are currently 4-0 on the homestand with two wins against the Thunder and wins over the Jazz and Suns, the top two teams in the NBA by winning percentage. The Warriors are looking to surpass their longest overall winning streak of the season (four games, April 10-15) and their longest home winning streak (four games, twice).

Expert Prediction

  • Warriors 120, Pelicans 114

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