One of the biggest days of the NBA calendar is always the Martin Luther King Jr. holiday as Monday is in the United States. And the clear game of the day is the last meeting of the regular season between the Warriors and Cavaliers – although most expect they will meet in a fourth straight NBA Finals come June. The Cavs are rare home NBA odds underdogs.
Warriors at Cavaliers Monday Night NBA Odds & Game PreviewNBA.tvRadio: 95.7 FM (Golden State) / 1100 AM (Cleveland)NBA Odds: Warriors -5 (231)
First MeetingOn Christmas, the Cavs lost at Golden State 99-92. Klay Thompson hit a go-ahead 3-pointer with 1:33 left. Kevin Durant had 25 points, seven rebounds and five blocks – including one on a LeBron James layup attempt with 24.5 seconds left that essentially clinched the game. LeBron thought he was fouled on the play and the NBA later admitted that he was. James contributed 20 points, six rebounds and six assists. Kevin Love had 31 points and 18 rebounds. The Warriors didn’t have an injured Steph Curry then but he’s back now. The Cavs didn’t have Isaiah Thomas then and he’s healthy now.
Why Bet on Golden State?The Warriors have started a five-game road trip with wins in Milwaukee and, on Saturday, a 127-125 victory at a very good Toronto team. Curry returned from a two-game absence to score 24 points, Thompson had 26 and the Warriors blew nearly all of a 27-point lead vs. the Raptors. Golden State scored 81 first-half points and shot 71.1 percent from the field before intermission. Durant scored 25 points and Draymond Green had 14 for the Warriors, who have won 12 straight on the road. Golden State’s 19 road wins are the most in the NBA.Andre Iguodala (hip) and Shaun Livingston (shin) are both probable for Monday’s matchup. This is the third straight year the Warriors face Cleveland on Martin Luther King Jr. Day. The two teams have met three times on MLK Day overall, with the Warriors winning twice.
How Have the Dubs Done on the Road?The Warriors’ 12-game road winning streak is the longest of the season and the 2nd-longest road win streak in Warriors franchise history behind a 14-game road winning streak set in 2015-16. During this current run, seven games were decided by double figures and the Warriors have won by an average of 10.7 points per game.Golden State is the first team in NBA history to win 17 of their first 20 road games in three consecutive seasons. In the last 20 years, only three teams – Golden State, San Antonio and Detroit – have won 17 of its first 20 road games in a season. The Warriors have four straight seasons with a road winning streak of at least eight games and five consecutive seasons with road winning streak of at least seven games, both firsts in NBA history.The Warriors and Cavs have played each other 25 times since 2014-15 in the regular season and NBA Finals. The Warriors have won 16 of those matchups, including five of the last seven during the regular season. Golden State has won six of the last seven games against the Cavaliers in the regular season and NBA Finals.
Why Bet on Cleveland?The Cavs completed a five-game trip at 1-4 following a 97-95 defeat at Indiana on Friday. Cleveland blew a 22-point first-half lead. James had 27 points, 11 assists and eight rebounds. Indiana shut out the Cavs over the final 3:57 and twice stopped James when he could have given the Cavs the lead.Love had 21 points and 10 assists and Jeff Green added 13 points, all in the first half. The Cavs were 7-of-34 from 3-point range and wound up shooting 43 percent overall after shooting 59.1 percent in the first quarter. Cleveland had a 39-18 scoring advantage on fast-break points. Thomas didn’t play in the second of a back-to-back. Neither did Dwyane Wade. Both will play Monday.Monday is the 11th time the Cavs will play on Martin Luther King Jr. Day at home since it became a national holiday in 1986. Overall, including road games since 1986, Cleveland has played on MLK Day 16 times (9-7 record).
How Have the Cavs Done at Home this Season?This is the first of three straight home games for the Cavs, who are 15-4 (.789) at Quicken Loans Arena (3rd-best home record in NBA). Cleveland has won 13 consecutive games at home, their longest home win streak in a single season since the 2014-15 season (18 straight, 1/19/15-4/5/15). Over this stretch, the Cavs are averaging 114.3 points (.506 FG%, .411 3FG%) and 25.9 assists. They have shot at least .500 from the field in each of their last five home games.The Cavs are undefeated against Western Conference opponents at home this season (6-0). Dating to January 21, 2015, the Cavs are 37-6 in their home games against the West. LeBron James (1,546 3FGM) is 1 three-pointer away from passing Eddie Jones (1,546 3FGM) for sole possession of 22nd most in NBA history.James is the only NBA player with at least 25.0 points, 8.0 rebounds, 8.0 assists and a .500 field goal percentage in 2017-18. During the Cavs’ 13-game home winning streak, James is averaging a near triple-double with 29.5 points (.573 FG%, .397 3FG%), 9.5 rebounds, 9.9 assists and 2.2 steals in 37.5 minutes. He has posted 9 double-doubles and 4 triple-doubles over that span.The Cavaliers are on pace to set single season franchise records in bench points per game at 41.1 (36.9 in 1991-92) and free throw percentage at .806 (.805 in 1991-92).
Latest NBA Odds Trends
- Golden State is 3-5-1 ATS in the last 9 games
- Golden State is 7-1 SU in the last 8 games
- The total went OVER in 7 of Golden State’s last 8 games
- Cleveland is 0-5 ATS in the last 5 games
- Cleveland is 1-4 SU in the last 5 games
- The total went OVER in 4 of Cleveland’s last 6 games