Warriors at Spurs Game 3 NBA Betting Analysis & Playoffs Pick

Posted by Jordan Walters on Thursday,April 19, 2018 10:15, EDT in

If the San Antonio Spurs had Kawhi Leonard, maybe they win a game or two over the Golden State Warriors in the Western Conference playoffs. But the Dubs easily won the first two at home and are the NBA betting favorites for a 3-0 lead on Thursday night. Here’s a closer look at the latest NBA odds for Game 3.

Warriors at Spurs NBA Betting Odds & Game 3 Info – April 18th

When: Thursday, 9:30 PM ET
Where: AT&T Center, San Antonio
Stream: NBA.tv
Radio: 95.7 FM (Golden State) / 1200 AM (San Antonio)
NBA Betting Odds: Warriors -3 (207)

Why Bet on Golden State?

The Dubs blew out the Spurs 113-92 in Game 1 and were only slightly more challenged in Monday’s Game 2, winning 116-101. Kevin Durant hit 10-of-19 shots, three 3-pointers and 9-of-10 free throws for 32 points, six rebounds, six assists and a block in 39 minutes on Monday. Klay Thompson was just as impressive, hitting 12-of-20 shots and five 3-pointers for 31 points and five assists in 39 minutes.

With star guard Stephen Curry sidelined, the Warriors rode Durant and Thompson — and Monday marked the second time that each scored 30 or more in a contest for Golden State. The other instance: Game 3 of the 2017 NBA Finals.

Draymond Green picked up two quick fouls, made just 2-of-9 shots and finished with nine points, five rebounds, six assists, two steals and a 3-pointer on Monday. Green was called for a Flagrant 1 foul against Davis Bertans late in the fourth quarter, which was his fifth personal foul after picking up a couple very early in the game.

David West came down on the foot of LaMarcus Aldridge in the fourth quarter on Monday and left the game with a sprained left ankle, finishing with 10 points, four rebounds, two assists and a block in 14 minutes. He’s questionable for Game 3.

How Well Has Golden State Done Recently in the Playoffs?

The Warriors have won their last 11 playoff home games, their longest home winning streak in the playoffs in franchise history Including the regular season and playoffs, the Warriors have won 10 of the last 11 meetings against the Spurs, including the last six matchups at Oracle Arena and four of the last five in San Antonio.

In Game 3 of the NBA Playoffs the Warriors have a 29-29 record (6-6 since 2015), having won their last four Game 3s, all coming on the road. Prior to winning four straight, the Warriors had lost their previous five Game 3 matchups.

With a win here, Coach Steve Kerr (49-15, .766) would earn his 50th playoff coaching victory, reaching the milestone in the fewest games in NBA history Johnny Kundla and Phil Jackson both won their 50th playoff game in 67 contests).

Why Bet on San Antonio?

Are the Spurs a safe bet in Game 3 vs. the Warriors?

The Spurs did play well for a half in Game 2, leading by six at the break. However, overall the Spurs connected on just 4 of 28 attempts from 3-point range — and that 14.3 3-point percentage marked the second-worst accuracy mark by the Spurs in a postseason game (minimum of 20 attempts) since Gregg Popovich’s first full season in 1997-98.

LaMarcus Aldridge hit 11-of-21 shots and 12-of-12 free throws for 34 points, 12 rebounds and three assists in the loss. Aldridge was great and Patty Mills scored 21, but that was about it. Mills also hit his 100th career postseason three-pointer, becoming just the sixth Spur in history with 100+ threes along with Manu Ginobili, Danny Green, Bruce Bowen, Kawhi Leonard and Tony Parker.

Rudy Gay started over Kyle Anderson on Monday night and hit 6-of-12 shots for 12 points, five rebounds, three assists, three steals and a block. Green started and played 25 minutes, but missed all three of his shots and finished the loss with zero points, two rebounds, one assist, one steal and one block. Dejounte Murray was nearly just as disappointing with four points, zero assists and two steals in 13 minutes.  Tony Parker has mustered only four points on 2-of-11 shooting in 19 minutes through the first two games of the season, with the bulk of the minutes going to Mills and Murray.

What Does the Team Say After Their Last Game?

“We left San Francisco, we got a better feeling in Game 2 than in Game 1, knowing that we have to use that performance as a baseline,” said Manu Ginobili. “From there, we gotta improve. And hopefully they don’t get hot — for us to get a chance, things like that have to happen.”

Since moving to the AT&T Center in 2002, the San Antonio Spurs are 82-30 (.732) in home playoff games, giving them the most such wins by any team in the league since that year.

Latest NBA Betting Trends

  • Golden State is 8-15 ATS in its last 23 games
  • Golden State is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Golden State’s last 6 games
  • San Antonio is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
  • San Antonio is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Antonio’s last 7 games

Expert NBA Playoffs Betting Prediction

Why would you bet against the Warriors in this series? They win by double digits again.