2018 March Madness Sweet 16 Betting Underdogs Analysis

2018 March Madness Sweet 16 Underdogs Analysis

Written by on March 20, 2018

The opening two rounds of the 2018 tournament were about as crazy as it gets, with upsets seemingly the order of the day. We saw, for the first time in tournament history, a #16 seed knock off a #1, which seemed to set the tone for what was to follow. One side of the bracket is somewhat going to form, while the other is in total disarray as we head towards the start of the March Madness Sweet 16 betting action, which gets underway on Thursday afternoon. The question now is whether the NCAAB betting upsets are over or whether the underdogs can continue to take a bite out of the favorites. We have taken a look at the 8 upcoming match-ups to see which, if any, might deliver an upset, grading the chances as poor, fair, good, or very good.

2018 March Madness Sweet 16 Betting Underdogs Analysis

  • Season: 2017-18
  • TV: CBS, TBS, TNT
  • Live Streaming: MM Live

#9 Kansas State vs. #5 Kentucky

If we are being totally honest, Kansas State perhaps benefitted most from the craziness of the opening rounds, as #1 Virginia going out in the opening round really cleared their path to the Sweet 16. Next up is a Kentucky team that is as hot as it gets. Upset Probability: POOR

#11 Loyola-Chicago vs. #7 Nevada

Ladies and gentlemen, we have this year’s Cinderella, Loyola-Chicago. They started the ball rolling by taking out Miami, which they then followed up with a win over #3 Tennessee. Next up is Nevada, a team that has an upset of their own over #2 Cincinnati. Upset probability: GOOD

#9 Florida State vs. #4 Gonzaga

The Seminoles come into this one having already taken a #1 scalp, beating Xavier in the last round. They will be going against a Gonzaga team that is winning, but which has not looked at their best. If I was going to pick just one March Madness Sweet 16 betting upset, this might be it. Upset Probability: VERY GOOD

#3 Michigan vs. #7 Texas A&M

Michigan came into the tournament on fire but needed a buzzer beater to get past Houston in the last round. The Aggies pounded UNC into submission in the last round and must really like their chances here. I’m not so sure that I do. Upset Probability: FAIR

#1 Villanova vs. #5 West Virginia

Villanova has barely had to break a sweat through the opening two rounds, laying waste to everyone in their path. West Virginia has played well, too, albeit with a much easier path. I think the Mountaineers run ends here. Upset Probability: POOR

#3 Texas Tech vs. #2 Purdue

This is a bit of a strange one to look at in terms of upsets, as a #3 taking down a #2 would not really be that shocking. These two teams look really evenly matched and I think this one is going to go right down to the final buzzer. Upset Probability: VERY GOOD Texas Tech comes in as one of the March Madness Sweet 16 Betting underdogs.

#1 Kansas vs. #5 Clemson

Clemson has looked very good through the first two rounds, with their hammering of Auburn in the last round being one that caught the eye. Kansas had their work cut out for them against Seton Hall in the previous round, and this one is going to be tougher still. Upset Probability: FAIR

#11 Syracuse vs. #2 Duke

Syracuse’s win over TCU in the opening round was a surprise, but their beating of #3 Michigan State was a shocker. The Orange have got the job done with defense and now have the ultimate test against a Duke offense that has been on fire through the opening two rounds, which is why they come in as the March Madness Sweet 16 betting favorite. Upset Probability: POOR

Last 10 NCAA Basketball Champions

  • 2017: North Carolina
  • 2016: Villanova
  • 2015: Duke
  • 2014: Connecticut
  • 2013: Louisville
  • 2012: Kentucky
  • 2011: Connecticut
  • 2010: Duke
  • 2009: North Carolina
  • 2008: Kansas