NCAA Basketball Final 4 Over/Under Picks

Posted by Eric Williams on Tuesday,March 29, 2016 3:23, EST in

If you like taking the guesswork out of often arduous ATS picks and you’re looking to cash in both Final Four matchups with winning Over/Under total wagers, then you’re in luck. Thanks to the expert Over/Under college basketball betting analysis that you’re about to get on both Final Four matchups, you’re going to have a great chance to cash in with two potentially winning O/U wagers. Okay, with tip-off times for both games quickly approaching, let’s get started.

NCAA Basketball Final 4 Over/Under Picks

Villanova vs. Oklahoma

When: 6:09 PM  ET, Saturday, April 2, 2016
Where: NRG Stadium, Houston, Texas
Odds: Villanova -2
Total: 146

 

Analysis: Villanova (19-17-1 O/U) played Under the 145-point Total in their Elite Eight matchup against Kansas the last time out after playing over the total in their two previous tourney games. The ‘Cats are 2-2 O/U through four March Madness matchups and 7-3 O/U over their last 10 games overall. Villanova averages 77.5 points per game (65th) and limit the opposition to just 63.6 points per game defensively (15th).

Oklahoma (15-19 O/U) has played under the total in each of their last two tournament games after playing over the total in their first two March Madness matchups. Prior to their tourney opener, Oklahoma played under the total in six straight games and are 2-8 O/U over their last 10 games. The Sooners average a stellar 80.5 points per game (21st) while allowing 70.4 points per game defensively (136th).

 

 
Villanova has not given up more than 69 points in all four of their tournament games so far while Oklahoma has held three of their four tournament opponents to 68 points or less. The Sooners and Wildcats played under the 145-point O/U total in their previous meeting this season in December and I believe they’re going to play under the 146-point Over/Under total in their Final Four showdown on Saturday.

Villanova and Oklahoma are allowing a combined 137.4 points per game over their respective last 10 games and I expect this affair to turn out  lot like the Wildcats’ 64-59 Elite Eight win over Kansas. The Under is 8-1 in Villanova’s last nine games against teams from the Big 12 while the under is 12-2 in Oklahoma’s L/14 games overall. I like the Under for this contest, but just barely!

The Pick: Under 146 Total Points

 

No. 10 Syracuse vs. No. 1 North Carolina

When: 8:49 PM  ET, Saturday, April 2, 2016
Where: NRG Stadium, Houston, Texas
Odds: North Carolina -9.5
Total: 149

Analysis: Syracuse (18-17 O/U) played over the 122.5-point total in their 68-62 Elite Eight win over Virginia the last time out to snap a three-game under streak that started with their tourney opener. The Orange average a modest 70.1 points per game while limiting the opposition to just 64.6 points per game defensively. Syracuse is 5-5 O/U over their last 10 games and 12-4-1 in their 17 neutral site games.

North Carolina (20-18 O/U) averages a stellar 83.0 points per game while allowing 69.9 points per game defensively. The Tar Heels have played over the total in each of their last two tourney games and three times in four March Madness matchups so far. North Carolina is 5-5 O/U over their last 10 games and 23-10 in their last 33 neutral site games, but the under is 13-5 in their last 18 games against their ACC conference rivals.

These two teams split their two meetings this season when it comes to the O/U outcome. The Heels and Orange played under the 146.5-point total on February 29 in Carolina’s 75-70 home win after playing over the 152.5-point O/U total in the Tar Heels 84-73 road win on January 9. For this matchup, I’m going to urge you to play the Under, seeing as how Syracuse has been playing absolutely stupendous defense throughout their four NCAA Tournament games.

The Orange have not given up more than the 62 points they allowed Virginia to score in their Elite Eight matchup last weekend and I can see this game playing out nearly identically to their last regular season meeting.

The Pick: Under 149 Total Points