Fresno State Bulldogs vs. New Mexico Lobos: 3/10/2021 MWC Tournament Betting Preview, Predictions, Computer Picks, Odds and Trends

Written by on March 10, 2021

The No. 6 seed Fresno State Bulldogs (11-11) are favored by 8 points when they play the No. 11 seed New Mexico Lobos (6-15) in the MWC Tournament Wednesday at Thomas & Mack Center, starting at 7:00 PM ET. A guaranteed spot in the NCAA Tournament bracket is on the line as these teams look to claim the MWC championship.

Betting Information

Fresno State vs New Mexico Betting Information
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline
Fresno State -8 -110 -110 125.5 -109 -113 -406 313

Computer Picks

Computer picks for Fresno State vs New Mexico
ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
New Mexico (+8) Over (125.5) Fresno State 70 New Mexico 63

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Total Facts

  • The Bulldogs and their opponents have scored at least 125.5 points — this matchup’s over/under — in 17 of 22 outings (77.3%) this season.
  • New Mexico has played in 15 games this season (out of 21 total matchups — 71.4% of opportunities) where they combined with their opponents to score more than 125.5 points.
  • The Bulldogs and the Lobos combine to average 4.8 more points per game than the over/under of 125.5 set for this game.
  • Opponents of the two teams average a combined 12.4 more points per game (137.9) than this matchup’s total of 125.5 points.
  • The average over/under the Bulldogs have had set in games this season is 6.9 more points than this outing’s point total.
  • The average point total for the Lobos this season is 10.3 points higher than this game’s over/under.

Scoring Betting Tips

  • The Bulldogs put up 65.6 points per game, 5.5 fewer points than the 71.1 the Lobos allow.
  • Fresno State has a 3-0 record against the spread and a 5-1 record overall when putting up more than 71.1 points.
  • In games when New Mexico allows more than 65.6 points, it is 1-10 against the spread and 0-11 overall.
  • The Lobos score an average of 64.7 points per game, just 2.1 fewer points than the 66.8 the Bulldogs give up to opponents.
  • New Mexico has put together a 4-0 ATS record and a 6-5 overall record in games it scores more than 66.8 points.
  • Fresno State is 2-9 against the spread and 2-10 overall when it allows its opponents to put up more than 64.7 points.
  • The Bulldogs have a -25-point scoring differential on the season (-1.2 per game). The Lobos have also been out-scored by opponents on average this year (-134 total points, -6.4 per game).

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Fresno State Betting Information

  • The Bulldogs have struggled a bit against the spread this season, posting a 9-11 record.
  • The Bulldogs have posted a winning record of 2-0 against the spread when the spread is -8 or higher.
  • The Bulldogs have typically run under the total this season, reaching the over/under in 8 of 20 games (40%).

New Mexico Betting Information

  • New Mexico has covered the spread in less than half of its contests, going 6-12 ATS.
  • When they are at least 8-point underdogs, the Lobos have gone 1-1 against the spread.
  • In most of Lobos games this year, the teams have not hit the over (7 out of 18 games, 38.9%).

Head to Head

Fresno State vs New Mexico (Last 6 Games)
Date Favorite Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Game Type Result
1/30/2021 Fresno State -6.5 126.5 -302 +234 Regular Season 65-55 FRESNO
1/28/2021 Fresno State -7 128.5 -326 +256 Regular Season 64-62 FRESNO
2/1/2020 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Regular Season 82-77 FRESNO
1/7/2020 New Mexico -6.5 141 -295 +229 Regular Season 78-64 UNM
2/16/2019 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Regular Season 81-73 FRESNO
2/2/2019 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Regular Season 82-70 FRESNO

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Fresno State Leaders

  • The Bulldogs leader in points and rebounds is Orlando Robinson, who scores 14.5 points and pulls down 9.0 rebounds per game.
  • Fresno State’s best passer is Isaiah Hill, who averages 3.2 assists per game to go with his 10.0 PPG scoring average.
  • Junior Ballard leads the Bulldogs in three-point shooting with an average of 1.5 threes per game.
  • Hill is the Bulldogs leader in steals, averaging 1.3 steals per game, while Robinson leads them in blocks with 0.9 per contest.

New Mexico Leaders

  • The Lobos’ leader in scoring and rebounding is Makuach Maluach with 15.9 points and 6.2 rebounds per game.
  • Saquan Singleton’s assist statline leads New Mexico; he dishes out 3.5 assists per game.
  • Maluach contributes the bulk of the Lobos’ three-point shooting production. He makes 1.1 threes per game to pace the team.
  • New Mexico’s leader in steals is Singleton (1.0 per game), and its leader in blocks is Valdir Manuel (1.4 per game).
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