Kansas vs New Mexico State March Madness Betting Preview

Kansas vs New Mexico State March Madness Preview

Written by on March 20, 2015

The long-awaited March Madness First Round games are finally underway and here is sweeping look of what bettors can expect in the New Mexico State Aggies vs. Kansas Jayhawks NCAA Basketball lines, the matchup is slated for Friday.

A Closer Look At The Jawyhawks vs Aggies College Hoops Betting Preview

Venue: CenturyLink Center Omaha, Omaha, Nebraska Date: Friday, March 20, 2015 Time: 12:15 PM ET TV: CBS Opening Line: Kansas -12

NM State vs. Kansas Game Analysis

The No. 15 seed Aggies are riding a hot 13-game winning streak, including a WAC regular season title and Tournament title on their name, and are hoping to find a way past the No. 2 seed Jayhawks. On paper, Kansas should be claiming a win here without breaking a sweat, but in the realm of March Madness betting odds, New Mexico State should be a handful to the Jayhawks. Heck, they could even sneak away with an unlikely upset if the college basketball gods answer their mad prayers. Entering this matchup, the Jayhawks (26-7 overall and 13-5 in the Big 12) own the longest active NCAA Tournament appearances streak at 26 straight games, which is also the second-longest streak of all-time. In addition, the Jayhawks are the No. 2 seed for the seventh time in the school’s history (including being the No. 2 seed in the 2012 and 2014) and have made the Final Four 3 times since 1990. Evidently, this Tournament is not new to them, so it should be business as usual for Perry Ellis (team-highs of 14.2 PPG and 7.0 RPG), Frank Mason (team-leading assister at 4.0 APG plus 12.3 PPG and 3.7 RPG) and the rest of the Jayhawks team, which is averaging 71.9 PPG offensively and allowing 65.1 points in the defense. Conversely, the Aggies (23-10 overall and 13-1 in the WAC) are making their fourth straight appearance in the NCAA Tournament. Unfortunately, they haven’t won a game in the Tournament since 1993. Still, New Mexico State coach Marvin Menzies was keen to note that ”Obviously we’re underdogs, as we should be, but hopefully we can use that to our advantage in being relaxed and having some experience, and putting ourselves in a position where we play like we have nothing to lose. With a senior-laden team, led by Remi Barry (team-best 13.3 PPG plus 4.8 RPG), Pascal Siakam (team-best 7 rebounds and 13 points) and Daniel Mullings (12.6 points) and Ian Baker (team-high 2.8 APG), the Aggies’ good offense (scoring 68.5 PPG) and mean defense (allowing 59.3 PPG) certainly have the weapons and expertise needed to channel coach Menzies’ hope and give us something to talk about at the end of Friday’s NCAAB games.

Key Betting Trends

  •     Kansas has won 11 straight Big 12 championships
  •     Kansas ended the season on a 5-4 SU, 2-7 ATS run
  •     New Mexico State ended the season on a 13-0 SU run
  •     Kansas is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games as favorites
  •     New Mexico is 0-3 SU in its last three Tournament games as an underdog.
  •     Kansas 1-5 ATS in its last six Tournament games and 1-4 ATS past 5 First Round games
  •     Kansas failed to cover vs. No. 15 Eastern Kentucky last year
  •     Though most of the Aggies’ games this season were not lined, they covered as a 7-point underdog vs. MW Tournament champion Wyoming, as a 13-point underdog vs. Baylor, and as a 2-point underdog vs. Colorado State

Writer’s Prediction and Final Pick

The Jayhawks rarely blowout their opponents, and New Mexico is talented enough to keep the scores close. So, in short, expect the Jayhawks to get the win over New Mexico State, but their recent ATS struggles will continue as the Aggies cover the spread. Total will most likely stay low for an UNDER as both defenses grind down the scores.