Top March Madness Sweet 16 ATS Picks

Posted by Eric Williams on Tuesday,March 22, 2016 12:54, EST in

Look, like every college basketball betting fan across the globe, I’ve been massively inspired by Steph Curry’s insane ability to make three-point shots from anywhere on the court. To that end, we’re going ‘beyond the arc’ with a trifecta of Sweet 16 ATS picks that are sure to please. So as we get just a few hours from Sweet Sixteen’s tip off, let’s get started with the intriguing pairing between No, 5 Maryland and No. 1 Kansas in the nation’s heartland.

Top March Madness Sweet 16 ATS Picks

No. 5 Maryland vs. No. 1 Kansas -6.5

When: 9:40 PM ET, Thursday, March 24, 2016
Where: KFC Yum! Center, Louisville, Kentucky
Betting Spread: Kansas -6½
Game Total: 144.5

Analysis: I’m going to get right to the point by saying that Maryland (27-8 SU, 16-17 ATS) is the kind of team that epitomizes the up-and-down nature of the 2015-16 college basketball season. The Terps can beat any team in the country when they’re firing on all cylinders or they can lose to a bunch of middle schoolers when they’re not.

 

Having said that, let me also say that, despite their lofty ranking and impressive winning streak, I believe Kansas (32-4 SU, 23-11 ATS) is a team that can be beaten because of their lack of a true superstar. Maryland has a pair of very good backcourt players in Melo Trimble (14.8 ppg) and Rasheed Sulaimon (11.1 ppg) and I believe they’re going to give Kansas’ perimeter-based lineup featuring guards Wayne Selden, Frank Mason Jr. and Devonte’ Graham, a run for their money in this contest.

Maryland has a solid defense that ranked 47th in the nation by limiting the opposition to just 66.3 points per game. The Terps are 19-7 ATS in its last 26 neutral site games while Kansas has gone 5-14 ATS in their L/19 games against Big Ten ballclubs. Maryland is my pick to cover the spread in a thriller.

The Pick: Maryland +6.5 Points

 

No. 3 Texas A&M vs. No. 2 Oklahoma

When: 7:37 PM ET, Thursday, March 24, 2016
Where: Honda Center, Anaheim, California
Betting Spread: Oklahoma -1.5
Game Total: 145

Analysis: I’m going to get right to the points with my pick on this contest by saying that I love the Over. Texas A&M (28-8 SU, 16-13 ATS) has scored an identical 92 points in each of their last two games while playing Over the total in three straight, five of six and seven of their L/10 games overall.

 

Oklahoma (27-7 SU, 12-20 ATS) has scored at least 82 points in each of their two tourney games so far while playing over the total each time out – following an eight-game Under streak. The Aggies and Sooners combine to average 156.8 points per game while allowing a combined 136.8 points per contest defensively.

 

Danuel House (15.7 ppg) and Jalen Jones (15.4 ppg) will likely approach the 20-point plateau for the Aggies, while Hield (25.4 ppg), Isaiah Cousins (13.1 ppg) and Jordan Woodward (12.8 ppg) will also get their fair share of buckets. The Over is 5-1 in the Aggies’ last six games against Big 12 ballclubs and 4-1 in their last five games following an SU win. The Over is also 401 in Oklahoma’s last five non-conference games and I’m expecting a high-scoring thriller.

The Pick: Over 145 Total Points

 

No. 4 Duke vs. No. 1 Oregon

When: 10:07 PM ET, Thursday, March 24, 2016
Where: Honda Center, Anaheim, California
Betting Spread: Oregon -2.5
Game Total: 155

Analysis: The Oregon Ducks (30-6 SU, 20-13 ATS) are my final and top pick to cash in against the Sweet 16 college basketball betting odds.

Duke (25-10 SU, 14-18 ATS) got past Yale 71-64 on Sunday to advance to this contest, but I’m not very impressed with the Blue Devils outside of the eye-opening talent that is Brandon Ingram (17.1 ppg) and hard-nosed play of ‘cheater’ Grayson Allen(21.8 ppg). Oregon may not get the ‘love’ they deserve, but I’ve been watching the Ducks intently and I gotta’ say, they’re really a lot better than I initially thought.

 

Oregon has four players that average at least 12.1 points per game and has a duo of stars in forwards Dillon Brooks (16.8 ppg) and Elgin Cook (14.5 ppg). With five of their top six leading scorers being frontcourt players, Oregon’s size, length and athleticism will wear the Blue devils down in this matchup. The Blue Devils are just 1-4 ATS in their last five games against a team with a winning straight up record, 1-6 ATS in their L/7 games overall and a discouraging 1-7 ATS in their last eight neutral site games.

 

Oregon is 6-2 ATS in their last eight games overall, 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games versus a team with a winning straight up record and 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games following an ATS loss.

The Pick: Oregon 80 Duke 74