Michigan Wolverines vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: 3/2/2021 Predictions, Computer Picks, Odds, Line, Spread and Betting Trends

Written by on February 28, 2021

The No. 3 Michigan Wolverines (18-1) are 8.5-point favorites as they attempt to extend a seven-game win streak when they host the No. 5 Illinois Fighting Illini (18-6) on Tuesday, March 2, 2021 at Crisler Center. The matchup airs at 7:00 PM ET on ESPN. The matchup has a point total of 149.5.

Betting Information

Michigan vs Illinois Betting Information
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline
Michigan -8.5 -115 -106 149.5 -108 -113 -455 335

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Total Facts

  • In 36.8% of their opportunities this season (seven of 19 chances), the Wolverines and their opponents have scored more than this matchup’s over/under of 149.5 points.
  • Illinois has played in 13 games this year (out of 24 total matchups — 54.2% of chances) where they and their opponents combined to score at least 149.5 points.
  • The Wolverines and the Fighting Illini combine to average 10.5 more points per game than the over/under of 149.5 set for this matchup.
  • The Wolverines and the Fighting Illini have seen their opponents average a combined 15.1 less points per game than the over/under of 149.5 set for this matchup.
  • The average point total in Wolverines games this year is 5.4 less points than the over/under of 149.5 in this matchup.
  • The average total for Fighting Illini games this season is 0.9 more points than the point total of 149.5 in this outing.

Scoring Betting Tips

  • The Wolverines score 78.8 points per game, 9.6 more points than the 69.2 the Fighting Illini give up.
  • When Michigan totals more than 69.2 points, it is 16-0 overall and 14-0 against the spread.
  • When Illinois allows more than 78.8 points, it is 1-5 against the spread and 1-5 overall.
  • The Fighting Illini’s 81.2 points per game are 16 more points than the 65.2 the Wolverines allow.
  • In games it scores more than 65.2 points, Illinois is 14-0-1 against the spread and 18-5 overall.
  • Michigan has a 2-0 record overall and an ATS record of 2-0 in games when its opponents score more than 81.2 points.
  • The Wolverines have put up a total of 259 more points than their opponents this year (an average of 13.6 per game), and the Fighting Illini have out-scored opponents by 289 points on the season (12 more per game).

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Michigan Betting Information

  • Michigan has been good against the spread this season, posting a 15-4 record.
  • When favored by at least 8.5 points, the Wolverines have fared well against the spread, putting together a 6-2 record.
  • Michigan and its opponents have reached the over/under in just 8 of 19 games this season (42.1%).

Illinois Betting Information

  • Illinois has covered the spread in more than half of its contests, going 14-9-1 ATS.
  • The Fighting Illini have fared well as an 8.5-point underdog, going 5-4 against the spread when they are at least 8.5-point underdogs.
  • The Fighting Illini and their opponents have hit the over in more than half of their matchups this season — 15 of 24 (62.5%).

Head to Head

Michigan vs Illinois (Last 3 Games)
Date Favorite Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Game Type Result
1/25/2020 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Regular Season 64-62 ILL
12/11/2019 Illinois -1.5 144.5 -126 +103 Regular Season 71-62 ILL
1/10/2019 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Regular Season 79-69 MICH

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Michigan Leaders

  • The Wolverines leader in points and rebounds is Hunter Dickinson, who scores 14.8 points and grabs 7.8 boards per game.
  • Michigan’s best passer is Mike Smith, who averages 5.2 assists per game to go with his 8.7 PPG scoring average.
  • Isaiah Livers leads the Wolverines in three-point shooting, making an average of 2.5 shots per game from beyond the arc.
  • The Michigan steals leader is Franz Wagner, who averages 1.4 takeaways per game, while its blocks leader is Dickinson, who compiles 1.6 rejections per contest.

Illinois Leaders

  • Ayo Dosunmu’s points (21.0 per game) and assists (5.3 per game) stat lines give him the top rebounding and assists spots on the Fighting Illini’s leaderboards.
  • Illinois’ Kofi Cockburn stats (9.9 rebounds per game, 17.7 points per game, 0.1 assists per game) earned him the top spot on the team rebound leaderboard.
  • Trent Frazier’s 2.0 made threes per game lead the Fighting Illini.
  • The Fighting Illini’s leader in steals is Frazier with 1.4 per game, and Cockburn is their leader in blocks with 1.3 per game.
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