Michigan Wolverines vs. Michigan State Spartans: 3/7/2021 Betting Preview, Predictions, Computer Picks, Odds and Trends

Written by on March 6, 2021

The Michigan State Spartans (14-11) are heavy underdogs (by 11.5 points) to extend a three-game home winning streak when they host the No. 2 Michigan Wolverines (19-2) on Sunday, March 7, 2021 at 12:00 AM ET. The matchup’s over/under is set at 136.5.

Betting Information

Michigan vs Michigan State Betting Information
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline
Michigan -11.5 -110 -110 136.5 -108 -112 -796 540

Computer Picks

Computer picks for Michigan vs Michigan State
ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
Michigan State (+11.5) Over (136.5) Michigan 76 Michigan State 66

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Total Facts

  • In 52.4% of their opportunities this year (11 of 21 chances), the Wolverines and their opponents have put up more than this matchup’s over/under of 136.5 points.
  • Michigan State and its opponents have added up to score more than 136.5 points in 68% of their games this year (17 of 25 opportunities).
  • These teams average a combined 146.6 points per game, 10.1 more points than the total of 136.5 set for this game.
  • The Wolverines and the Spartans have seen their opponents average a combined 0.6 less points per game than the over/under of 136.5 set for this outing.
  • The average total the Wolverines have had set in games this season is 5.6 more points than this outing’s point total.
  • The average over/under for Spartans games this year is 3.9 more points than the point total of 136.5 in this outing.

Scoring Betting Tips

  • The Wolverines record 77.1 points per game, 6.2 more points than the 70.9 the Spartans allow.
  • Michigan has a 13-0 record against the spread and a 15-0 record overall when scoring more than 70.9 points.
  • Michigan State has a 1-6 record against the spread and a 1-6 record overall when allowing more than 77.1 points.
  • The Spartans put up just 4.5 more points per game (69.5) than the Wolverines allow their opponents to score (65).
  • Michigan State has gone 12-4 overall and 7-0 against the spread in games it scores more than 65 points.
  • Michigan has an ATS record of 4-3 and a 5-2 record overall when its opponents score more than 69.5 points.
  • The Wolverines have totaled 255 more points than their opponents this season (12.1 per game on average), while the Spartans have been out-scored by 36 total points (1.4 per game average differential).

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Michigan Betting Information

  • Against the spread, Michigan has been strong this season, posting a 16-5 record.
  • The Wolverines fare well when favored by at least 11.5 points, posting a 5-1 record against the spread.
  • Michigan has more often than not combined with its adversaries to fall short of the total, doing so 8 times in 21 contests (38.1%).

Michigan State Betting Information

  • Michigan State has a losing record against the spread, going 8-17 ATS (covering only 32% of the time).
  • The Spartans have not fared well as an 11.5-point underdog, going 0-5 against the spread when they are at least 11.5-point underdogs.
  • The Spartans and their opponents have hit the over in fewer than half of their matchups this year — 10 of 25 (40%).

Head to Head

Michigan vs Michigan State (Last 5 Games)
Date Favorite Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Game Type Result
3/4/2021 Michigan -11.5 139.5 -710 +498 Regular Season 69-50 MICH
2/8/2020 Michigan State -2 142.5 N/A N/A Regular Season 77-68 MICH
1/5/2020 Michigan State -9 145 -478 +346 Regular Season 87-69 MSU
3/9/2019 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Regular Season 75-63 MSU
2/24/2019 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Regular Season 77-70 MSU

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Michigan Leaders

  • Hunter Dickinson leads the Wolverines in scoring and rebounding, tallying 14.4 points and 7.8 boards per game.
  • Mike Smith leads Michigan in assists, averaging 5.0 per game while also scoring 8.6 points per contest.
  • Isaiah Livers provides the bulk of the Wolverines’ three-point shooting production. He knocks down 2.3 threes per game to pace the team.
  • Franz Wagner is Michigan’s leader in steals, averaging 1.3 steals per game, while Dickinson leads them in blocks with 1.5 per contest.

Michigan State Leaders

  • The Spartans’ Aaron Henry puts up enough points (15.4 per game) and assists (3.5 per game) to sit atop the squad’s leaderboards.
  • Michigan State’s Joey Hauser stats (5.9 rebounds per game, 9.9 points per game, 1.6 assists per game) earned him the top spot on the team rebound leaderboard.
  • Gabe Brown leads his teammates on the Spartans with 1.5 made threes per game.
  • The Spartans’ leader in steals is Henry with 1.3 per game, and Marcus Bingham Jr. is their leader in blocks with 1.4 per game.
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