Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Vanderbilt Commodores: 2/13/2021 Matchup Betting Preview, Predictions, Computer Picks, Odds and Trends

Written by on February 14, 2021

The Vanderbilt Commodores (5-10) are 7.5-point underdogs as they attempt to stop a five-game road slide when they take on the Mississippi State Bulldogs (11-10) on Saturday, February 13, 2021 at Humphrey Coliseum. The game airs at 1:00 PM ET on SECN. The matchup has an over/under of 140.

Betting Information

Mississippi State vs Vanderbilt Betting Information
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline
Mississippi State -7.5 -110 -110 140 -110 -110 -400 300

Computer Picks

Computer picks for Mississippi State vs Vanderbilt
ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
Mississippi State (-7.5) Over (140) Mississippi State 76 Vanderbilt 66

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Total Facts

  • In 12 of 21 games (57.1%) this year, the Bulldogs and their opponents have scored no less than this matchup’s over/under of 140 points.
  • Vanderbilt has combined with its opponents to score at least 140 points in 13 of 15 opportunities (86.7%) this year.
  • The two teams average a combined 4.5 more points per game (144.5) than this game’s total of 140 points.
  • Opponents of the two teams average a combined 0.9 more points per game (140.9) than this game’s total of 140 points.
  • The Bulldogs average point total in outings this year is 137.9, 2.1 points less than the total in this game.
  • The average total in Commodores games this year is 7.5 more points than the point total of 140 in this outing.

Scoring Betting Tips

  • The Bulldogs put up just 3.1 fewer points per game (71.2) than the Commodores give up (74.3).
  • When Mississippi State puts up more than 74.3 points, it is 8-2 overall and 6-0 against the spread.
  • When Vanderbilt allows more than 71.2 points, it is 6-5 against the spread and 1-10 overall.
  • The Commodores score an average of 73.3 points per game, 6.7 more points than the 66.6 the Bulldogs allow.
  • Vanderbilt is 8-0-1 against the spread and 4-8 overall when it scores more than 66.6 points.
  • Mississippi State has an ATS record of 1-5 and a 1-5 record overall when its opponents score more than 73.3 points.
  • The Bulldogs have out-scored their opponents by a total of 97 points this season (4.6 points per game on average), and opponents of the Commodores have out-scored them by just 15 more points on the year (one per game).

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Mississippi State Betting Information

  • Mississippi State been consistently inconsistent against the spread this season, posting a 10-10 record.
  • When favored by at least 7.5 points, the Bulldogs have fared well against the spread, compiling a 3-1 record.
  • The Bulldogs and their opponents have gone over the total in 11 of 20 games (55%) this season.

Vanderbilt Betting Information

  • The Commodores have a winning record against the spread, going 8-6-1 ATS (covering 53.3% of the time).
  • The Commodores have fared well as an 7.5-point underdog, going 2-1 against the spread when they are at least 7.5-point underdogs.
  • The Commodores and their opponents have hit the over in more than half of their matchups this year — 9 of 15 (60%).

Head to Head

Mississippi State vs Vanderbilt (Last 3 Games)
Date Favorite Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Game Type Result
1/9/2021 Mississippi State -3.5 137.5 -181 +148 Regular Season 84-81 MSSTATE
2/8/2020 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Regular Season 80-70 MSSTATE
1/19/2019 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Regular Season 71-55 MSSTATE

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Mississippi State Leaders

  • The scoring leader for the Bulldogs this season is D.J. Stewart, who averages 17.0 points, 3.2 rebounds, and 2.5 assists per game.
  • Tolu Smith leads the Bulldogs in rebounding, averaging 8.4 per game, while Iverson Molinar leads the team in assists, distributing an average of 3.0 in each contest.
  • Stewart makes more threes per game than any other member of the Bulldogs, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 1.6 per contest.
  • Stewart and Abdul Ado lead the Bulldogs on the defensive end, with Stewart leading the team in steals averaging 1.3 per game and Ado in blocks averaging 1.7 per contest.

Vanderbilt Leaders

  • The Commodores’ Scotty Pippen Jr. racks up enough points (20.4 per game) and assists (5.1 per game) to top the team’s leaderboards.
  • Vanderbilt’s Dylan Disu stats (8.3 rebounds per game, 14.4 points per game, 1.4 assists per game) earned him the top spot on the team rebound leaderboard.
  • Pippen makes more threes per game than any other member of the Commodores, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a rate of 1.9 per game.
  • Vanderbilt’s leader in steals is Pippen (1.6 per game), and its leader in blocks is Disu (1.3 per game).
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