NC State vs Louisville NCAA Basketball Betting Lines & Pick

NC State vs Louisville NCAA Basketball Betting Lines & Pick

Written by on January 24, 2019

In order to go all the way to a national championship title in college basketball, the eventual winner is going to have to beat the best teams available in any given year. Teams that we thought would be contenders very often come up short in the tournament, simply because they haven’t faced that level of talent throughout the course of the regular season. That is not an argument that teams from the ACC can make, because once they get into conference play, they are routinely going against the best. As it stands now, the ACC has 7 teams sitting in the top 25, clearly proving that it is the toughest conference in college basketball.

The NC State Wolfpack and the Louisville Cardinals are sitting in the lower reaches of the top 25, with one of them potentially falling out of the rankings with a loss here. It goes without saying that this is a massive game for both, especially given the cutthroat nature of ACC conference play. Louisville is in as a 5-point favorite at the latest NCAAB odds, with the point total set at 155 ½.

NC State vs Louisville Cardinals NCAA Basketball Betting Lines & Pick

Gonzaga at Santa Clara NCAA Basketball Odds & Game Info

Why bet on the NC State Wolfpack?

At 15-3 on the season, the NC State Wolfpack are currently residing in the #21 spot, 2 places above their Thursday night opposition. They are a game and a half back of the pace being set at the top of the ACC, posting a 3-2 record in conference play, which is not all that bad when you consider that no team in the conference has made it through unscathed in ACC play.

This will be the 4th time that the Wolfpack have gone against a ranked opponent this season, going 1-2 SU in their previous 3 outings. They have been a very good bet against the spread in recent weeks, going 8-4 ATS in their last 12 games and a stellar 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on the road. They are a perfect 2-0 ATS as the underdog this season, with one of those coming away from home.

Team Stats

Offense
  • Total Score: 86.72
  • Field Goal Percentage: 49.45
  • Three-Point Percentage: 38.10
  • Free Throw Percentage: 69.80
  • Total Rebounds: 40.39

Defense

  • Total Score: 68.78
  • Field Goal Percentage: 42.73
  • Three-Point Percentage: 29.26
  • Free Throw Percentage: 67.89
  • Total Rebounds: 32.17

Why bet on the Louisville Cardinals?

With a loss to the Pitt Panthers a couple of weeks back, the Louisville Cardinals fell to their first defeat in conference play. That could have been a point in their season where they went on a bit of a skid, but they have bounced back quite nicely, reeling off 3 straight wins, one of which was an 83-62 manhandling of the North Carolina Tar Heels.

That victory was certainly no fluke, as the Cardinals have won those last 3 games by an average score of just under 20 PPG. Despite these recent big wins, Louisville has not been a particularly good bet against the spread, going just 5-5 ATS in their last 10 games. As a home favorite this season, the Cardinals are an uninspiring 3-4-2 ATS.

Team Stats

Offense
  • Total Score: 79.94
  • Field Goal Percentage: 45.70
  • Three-Point Percentage: 35.47
  • Free Throw Percentage: 75.28
  • Total Rebounds: 38.67

Defense

  • Total Score: 68.78
  • Field Goal Percentage: 42.28
  • Three-Point Percentage: 33.24
  • Free Throw Percentage: 67.15
  • Total Rebounds: 32.22

NC State vs Louisville NCAA Basketball Betting Trends

  • North Carolina State is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games
  • North Carolina State is 15-3 SU in its last 18 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of North Carolina State’s last 6 games
  • Louisville is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
  • Louisville is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Louisville’s last 12 games

Expert Pick & Final Score Prediction for NC State vs Louisville

These two teams would appear to be very evenly matched, in which case it is very often home court advantage that comes into play. I am taking the Louisville Cardinals to win this one, and I believe they may just cover the spread by the very slimmest of margins.

Score: NC State Wolfpack 74 – Louisville Cardinals 80