Northwestern State Demons vs. Central Arkansas Sugar Bears: 3/6/2021 Matchup Betting Preview, Predictions, Computer Picks, Odds and Trends

Written by on March 6, 2021

The Central Arkansas Sugar Bears (5-18) are 5-point underdogs as they look to stop a six-game road losing streak when they square off against the Northwestern State Demons (9-17) on Saturday, March 6, 2021 at Prather Coliseum. The game airs at 2:00 PM ET. The matchup has an over/under of 154.5.

Betting Information

Northwestern State vs Central Arkansas Betting Information
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline
Northwestern State -5 -112 -109 154.5 -110 -112 -225 180

Computer Picks

Computer picks for Northwestern State vs Central Arkansas
ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
Central Arkansas (+5) Under (154.5) Northwestern State 79 Central Arkansas 74

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Total Facts

  • In 11 of 26 games (42.3%) this year, the Demons and their opponents have totaled at least this matchup’s point total of 154.5 points.
  • Central Arkansas has played in eight games this season (out of 23 total matchups — 34.8% of chances) where they combined with their opponents to score more than 154.5 points.
  • These two teams average a combined 142.8 points per game, 11.7 less points than the over/under of 154.5 set for this game.
  • The Demons and the Sugar Bears have seen their opponents average a combined 5.9 more points per game than the over/under of 154.5 set for this matchup.
  • The Demons average point total in outings this year is 151.7, 2.8 points below the total in this game.
  • The average over/under in Sugar Bears games this year is 3.0 fewer points than the point total of 154.5 for this outing.

Scoring Betting Tips

  • The 71.9 points per game the Demons average are 8.7 fewer points than the Sugar Bears allow (80.6).
  • When Northwestern State puts up more than 80.6 points, it is 3-0 against the spread and 3-3 overall.
  • Central Arkansas is 5-12 against the spread and 2-16 overall when giving up more than 71.9 points.
  • The Sugar Bears put up 8.9 fewer points per game (70.9) than the Demons give up to opponents (79.8).
  • In games when it scores more than 79.8 points, Central Arkansas is 4-0 against the spread and 5-2 overall.
  • Northwestern State has a 4-16 record overall and an ATS record of 8-11 in games when its opponents put up more than 70.9 points.
  • The Demons have a -206-point scoring differential on the season (-7.9 per game). The Sugar Bears have also been out-scored by opponents on average this year (-223 total points, -9.7 per game).

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Northwestern State Betting Information

  • Northwestern State has covered in just 11 of 24 matchups this season.
  • When favored by at least 5 points, the Demons have struggled to a 0-2 record ATS this season.
  • Northwestern State has more often than not combined with its adversaries to fall short of the total, doing so 11 times in 24 contests (45.8%).

Central Arkansas Betting Information

  • The Sugar Bears have a losing record against the spread, going 8-13 ATS (covering just 38.1% of the time).
  • When they are at least 5-point underdogs, the Sugar Bears have not fared well, going 0-2 against the spread.
  • The Sugar Bears and their opponents have hit the over in more than half of their matchups this year — 11 of 21 (52.4%).

Head to Head

Northwestern State vs Central Arkansas (Last 5 Games)
Date Favorite Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Game Type Result
1/30/2021 Central Arkansas -3.5 156.5 -165 +137 Regular Season 81-77 NWST
3/7/2020 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Regular Season 100-85 NWST
2/1/2020 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Regular Season 79-71 CARK
3/9/2019 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Regular Season 70-63 CARK
2/2/2019 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Regular Season 80-75 NWST

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Northwestern State Leaders

  • The leader in points and assists for the Demons is Trenton Massner, who scores 12.7 points and dishes out 2.5 assists per game.
  • Kendal Coleman is the Demons best rebounder, pulling down an average of 6.4 boards in each contest while scoring 6.7 points per game.
  • Jairus Roberson leads the Demons in three-point shooting, making an average of 2.3 shots per game from beyond the arc.
  • Massner is the Demons leader in steals, averaging 1.3 steals per game, while Coleman leads them in blocks with 1.2 per contest.

Central Arkansas Leaders

  • The Sugar Bears’ Rylan Bergersen racks up enough points (17.1 per game) and assists (4.5 per game) to sit atop the squad’s leaderboards.
  • Jared Chatham is at the top of the Central Arkansas rebounding leaderboard with 7.0 rebounds per game. He also racks up 9.0 points and adds 0.7 assists per game.
  • Bergersen is the most prolific from distance for the Sugar Bears, hitting 1.7 threes per game.
  • Bergersen (1.3 steals per game) and Chatham (0.6 blocks per game) pace the Sugar Bears in steals and blocks, respectively.
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