Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Purdue Boilermakers: 2/26/2021 Matchup Betting Preview, Predictions, Computer Picks, Odds and Trends

Written by on February 26, 2021

The Penn State Nittany Lions (9-11) host the Purdue Boilermakers (15-8) as 1-point favorites after Myreon Jones racked up 29 points in the Nittany Lions 86-83 victory over Nebraska. The matchup airs on FS1 at 7:00 PM ET on Friday, February 26, 2021. The matchup has a point total of 140.

Betting Information

Penn State vs Purdue Betting Information
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline
Penn State -1 -110 -112 140 -110 -112 -115 -106

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Total Facts

  • The Nittany Lions and their opponents have combined for 140 points — this matchup’s over/under — in 14 of 20 opportunities (70%) this season.
  • Purdue has played in 12 games this season (out of 23 total matchups — 52.2% of chances) where they combined with their opponents to score more than 140 points.
  • These two teams average a combined 144.2 points per game, 4.2 more points than the total of 140 set for this game.
  • Opponents of the two teams average a combined 0.5 more points per game (140.5) than this game’s total of 140 points.
  • The average point total in Nittany Lions games this year is 7.6 more points than the total of 140 in this matchup.
  • The average over/under for Boilermakers games this season is 2.9 less points than the point total of 140 for this outing.

Scoring Betting Tips

  • The 73.4 points per game the Nittany Lions put up are 7.1 more points than the Boilermakers allow (66.3).
  • When Penn State totals more than 66.3 points, it is 7-0 against the spread and 7-7 overall.
  • In games when Purdue gives up more than 73.4 points, it is 1-2 against the spread and 1-2 overall.
  • The Boilermakers’ 70.8 points per game are just 3.4 fewer points than the 74.2 the Nittany Lions allow.
  • When it scores more than 74.2 points, Purdue is 8-0 against the spread and 10-1 overall.
  • Penn State has a 3-9 record overall and an ATS record of 4-8 in games when its opponents score more than 70.8 points.
  • The Nittany Lions have a -15-point scoring differential on the season (-0.8 per game). The Boilermakers have out-scored opponents by 105 points on the season (4.5 more per game).

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Penn State Betting Information

  • The Nittany Lions have been an even bet against the spread this season at 10-10.
  • The Nittany Lions have struggled to cover, going just 2-5 ATS when favored by at least 1 points.
  • Penn State and its opponents have converted the over just 9 times in 20 (45%) games this season.

Purdue Betting Information

  • Purdue has covered the spread in more than half of its outings, going 12-8-2 ATS.
  • When they play as at least 1-point underdogs, the Boilermakers have a record ATS of 8-5.
  • Purdue has combined with its opponents to hit the over in 54.5% of matchups this season (12 out of 22 opportunities).

Head to Head

Penn State vs Purdue (Last 4 Games)
Date Favorite Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Game Type Result
1/17/2021 Purdue -4 140.5 -189 +155 Regular Season 80-72 PUR
2/11/2020 Purdue -5 135.5 -225 +178 Regular Season 88-76 PSU
2/16/2019 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Regular Season 76-64 PUR
1/31/2019 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Regular Season 99-90 PUR

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Penn State Leaders

  • The scoring leader for the Nittany Lions this season is Jones, who averages 15.6 points, 2.7 rebounds, and 1.9 assists per game.
  • John Harrar leads Penn State in rebounding, averaging 8.8 per game, while Jamari Wheeler leads the team in assists, distributing an average of 3.3 in each contest.
  • Jones makes more threes per game than any other member of the Nittany Lions, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 2.5 per contest.
  • Wheeler and Seth Lundy lead Penn State on the defensive end, with Wheeler leading the team in steals averaging 1.8 per game and Lundy in blocks averaging 0.7 per contest.

Purdue Leaders

  • Trevion Williams records 16.0 points and 9.1 rebounds per game for the Boilermakers, enough to make him the top scorer and rebounder on the team.
  • Eric Hunter Jr. dishes out 3.2 assists per game, the most assists on the Boilermakers.
  • Sasha Stefanovic’s 2.3 made threes per game lead the Boilermakers.
  • The Boilermakers’ leader in steals is Hunter with 1.2 per game, and Zach Edey is their leader in blocks with 1.0 per game.
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