The well-rested Duke Blue Devils will look to take care of business at home when they host the Pittsburgh Panthers in their annual ACC matchup on Tuesday night. With eighth-ranked Duke looking to record consecutive wins and Pittsburgh to record their second upset in their last four games, let’s find out which team is offering the best value against their college basketball betting odds.
Pittburgh vs Duke 2020 College Basketball Lines & TV Info
- When: Tuesday January 28, 2020, 9:00 PM (EST)
- Where: Cameron Indoor Stadium, Durham, NC
- TV: ESPN
- Radio: Pittsburgh / Duke
- Live Stream: WatchESPN
- College Basketball Odds: Duke -16.5 / Total: 138
Why Bet On Pittsburgh?
The Panthers might be coming off a humbling 69-61 road loss against Syracuse on Saturday while failing to cover the spread as a 6-point road dog, there are still some good reasons to believe Pittsburgh can at least cover the chalk in this matchup. Prior to their most recent result, the Panthers had won two straight in beating North Carolina 66-52 and Boston College 74-72 in their last two games.
Then, there’s the fact that the Panthers have a pretty elite defense that limits the opposition to just 62.1 points per game to rank 30th nationally in points allowed. Pittsburgh ranks 89t in defensive field goal percentage allowed (40.8%) and the Panthers have beaten once, perennially-powerful North Carolina – twice this season. Four players average double figures in scoring for the Panthers, led by sophomore shooting guard Trey McGowens (13.1 ppg).
- Average Score For: 66.40
- Field Goals: 41.64%
- Three Points: 30.19%
- Free Throws: 71.81%
- Rebounds: 35.15
- Average Score Against: 62.10
- Field Goals: 40.77%
- Three Points: 32.96%
- Free Throws: 68.48%
- Rebounds: 35.90
Why Bet On Duke?
The Blue Devils emphatically snapped their two-game losing streak by pounding the snot out of Miami en route to a commanding 89-59 blowout win exactly one week ago on Jan. 21 as freshman Matthew Hurt posted a career-high 22 points including 15 in the first half.
“They really responded to the two losses in a positive way. Our practices yesterday were excellent. Our team meetings – I think we grew a lot as a team and I think it showed today,” head coach Mike Krzyzewski said afterward. “We just concentrated more on (defense). In our six wins, we’ve given up (an average of less than) 60 points. In the two losses, we gave up (an average of 72.5). We talked to our team about that. For us to win we have to play good defense.”
Duke is also well-rested and probably roaring to go in this one, not to mention the fact that they’ve owned Pittsburgh by going 6-1 against the Panthers since they joined the ACC. Then, there’s the fact that the Blue Devils have a high-powered offense that ranks fourth nationally in scoring (82.9 ppg) while their defense limits the opposition to just 63.9 points per contest to rank an encouraging 53rd nationally in points allowed.
- Average Score For: 82.89
- Field Goals: 48.54%
- Three Points: 36.55%
- Free Throws: 67.25%
- Rebounds: 39.89
- Average Score Against: 63.89
- Field Goals: 41.34%
- Three Points: 30.69%
- Free Throws: 64.47%
- Rebounds: 32.47
College Basketball Betting Trends for Pittsburgh vs Duke
- Pittsburgh is 3-8 ATS in the last 11 games played in January
- Pittsburgh is 11-5 SU in the last 16 games
- The total went OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh’s last 5 games played on a Tuesday
- Duke is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 games played on a Tuesday
- Duke is 16-3 SU in the last 19 games
- The total went OVER in 5 of Duke’s last 6 games
Pittsburgh vs Duke Expert Analysis and Prediction
While Duke is clearly the better team in this matchup, I can see why a convincing 59 percent of public bettors are backing Pittsburgh in this affair. Despite their 30-point blowout win against Miami, the Blue Devils are just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points while the road team in this ACC rivalry has gone a perfect 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings.
More importantly, I like Pittsburgh’s stingy defense and they way they’ve competed recently despite splitting their last six games. While I’m certainly not going to pick the Panthers for the outright road upset, I do think the 16.5-point spread is a bit too much for the Blue Devils to cover. Duke wins, but Pittsburgh covers the chalk!
Pick: Duke 74 Pittsburgh 65