TCU Horned Frogs vs. Kansas State Wildcats: 2/20/2021 Matchup Betting Preview, Predictions, Computer Picks, Odds and Trends

Written by on February 21, 2021

The Kansas State Wildcats (5-17) are 7-point underdogs as they look to turn around a 13-game losing streak when they visit the TCU Horned Frogs (11-8) on Saturday, February 20, 2021 at Ed and Rae Schollmaier Arena. The contest airs at 5:00 PM ET on ESPN+. The over/under in the matchup is 134.5.

Betting Information

TCU vs Kansas State Betting Information
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline
TCU -7 -110 -110 134.5 -112 -110 -325 250

Computer Picks

Computer picks for TCU vs Kansas State
ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
TCU (-7) Over (134.5) TCU 74 Kansas State 64

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Total Facts

  • The Horned Frogs and their opponents have put up at least 134.5 points — this matchup’s over/under — in 10 of 19 outings (52.6%) this year.
  • In nine of 22 games (40.9%) this year, Kansas State has combined with its opponents to score more than 134.5 points.
  • The Horned Frogs and the Wildcats combine to average 3.7 less points per game than the over/under of 134.5 set for this matchup.
  • The Horned Frogs and the Wildcats have seen their opponents average a combined 9.4 more points per game than the over/under of 134.5 set for this outing.
  • The average point total for Horned Frogs games this year is 5.7 more points than the over/under of 134.5 in this matchup.
  • Wildcats games this season have averaged a total of 134.4 points, 0.1 less than the point total in this matchup.

Scoring Betting Tips

  • The 69.1 points the Horned Frogs put up per game are just 3.6 fewer points than the Wildcats surrender (72.7).
  • TCU has a 6-2 record overall and a 5-0 record against the spread when scoring more than 72.7 points.
  • Kansas State has a 4-8 record against the spread and a 1-11 record overall when giving up more than 69.1 points.
  • The Wildcats put up an average of 61.7 points per game, 9.5 fewer points than the 71.2 the Horned Frogs allow.
  • Kansas State is 2-0 against the spread and 2-1 overall when it scores more than 71.2 points.
  • TCU has a 6-7 record overall and an ATS record of 5-7 in games when its opponents score more than 61.7 points.
  • The Horned Frogs have a -40-point scoring differential on the season (-2.1 per game). The Wildcats have also been out-scored by opponents on average this year (-243 total points, -11 per game).

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TCU Betting Information

  • TCU has struggled against the spread, going 8-10 on the year.
  • The Horned Frogs have posted a losing record of 0-3 against the spread when the spread is -7 or bigger.
  • TCU and its foes have combined to reach or surpass the total in 9 of 18 games this season (50%).

Kansas State Betting Information

  • Kansas State has a losing record against the spread, going 7-15 ATS (covering only 31.8% of the time).
  • When they are at least 7-point underdogs, the Wildcats have not fared well, going 1-3 against the spread.
  • In the majority of Wildcats games this season, the teams have not hit the over (10 out of 22 games, 45.5%).

Head to Head

TCU vs Kansas State (Last 6 Games)
Date Favorite Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Game Type Result
1/2/2021 TCU -3.5 131.5 -178 +146 Regular Season 67-60 TCU
3/11/2020 TCU -1.5 126 -126 +103 Conference Tournament 53-49 KSU
2/15/2020 TCU -3 124.5 -161 +131 Regular Season 68-57 TCU
1/7/2020 Kansas State -1 125.5 -116 -106 Regular Season 59-57 TCU
3/4/2019 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Regular Season 64-52 KSU
1/19/2019 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Regular Season 65-55 KSU

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TCU Leaders

  • RJ Nembhard leads the Horned Frogs in points and assists per game, scoring 16.9 points and distributing 4.0 assists.
  • TCU’s best rebounder is Kevin Samuel, who averages 8.5 boards per game in addition to his 9.1 PPG average.
  • Mike Miles leads the Horned Frogs in three-point shooting with an average of 1.8 threes per game.
  • The TCU leader in both steals and blocks is Samuel, who averages 1.2 takeaways and 1.8 rejections per game.

Kansas State Leaders

  • Nijel Pack averages 12.3 points and adds 3.6 assists per game, putting him at the top of the Wildcats’ leaderboards in those statistics.
  • Antonio Gordon is at the top of the Kansas State rebounding leaderboard with 5.7 rebounds per game. He also notches 5.9 points and adds 0.8 assists per game.
  • Pack is consistent from three-point range and leads the Wildcats with 2.3 made threes per game.
  • Pack (1.3 steals per game) is the steal leader for Kansas State while Kaosi Ezeagu (0.8 blocks per game) is the block leader.
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