TCU Horned Frogs vs. Kansas State Wildcats: 3/10/2021 Big 12 Tournament Betting Preview, Predictions, Computer Picks, Odds and Trends

Written by on March 10, 2021

The No. 8 seed TCU Horned Frogs (12-13) are favored by 4 points when they square off the No. 9 seed Kansas State Wildcats (8-18) in the Big 12 Tournament Wednesday at Sprint Center, starting at 6:30 PM ET on ESPN. A guaranteed spot in the NCAA Tournament bracket is on the line as these teams look to claim the Big 12 championship.

Betting Information

TCU vs Kansas State Betting Information
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline
TCU -4 -109 -112 128.5 -110 -110 -184 150

Computer Picks

Computer picks for TCU vs Kansas State
ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
TCU (-4) Over (128.5) TCU 70 Kansas State 65

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Total Facts

  • In 14 of 25 opportunities (56%) this year, the Horned Frogs and their opponents have combined for this matchup’s over/under of 128.5 points.
  • In 11 of 26 games (42.3%) this year, Kansas State has combined with its opponents to score more than 128.5 points.
  • The two teams combine to average 128.5 points per game, the same as this game’s over/under.
  • Opponents of the two teams average a combined 13.2 more points per game (141.7) than this game’s over/under of 128.5 points.
  • The average over/under the Horned Frogs have had set in matchups this season is 10.3 more points than this outing’s point total.
  • The average point total for the Wildcats this year is 2.9 points higher than this game’s over/under.

Scoring Betting Tips

  • The 67.5 points per game the Horned Frogs average are only three fewer points than the Wildcats give up (70.5).
  • When TCU scores more than 70.5 points, it is 7-2 overall and 6-0 against the spread.
  • Kansas State is 4-11 against the spread and 1-14 overall when allowing more than 67.5 points.
  • The Wildcats average 10.2 fewer points per game (61) than the Horned Frogs give up to opponents (71.2).
  • Kansas State has put together a 2-1 overall record and a 2-0 ATS record in games it scores more than 71.2 points.
  • TCU has an 8-12 record overall and an ATS record of 7-12 in games when its opponents score more than 61 points.
  • The Horned Frogs have been out-scored by 93 points this season (3.7 points per game on average), and opponents of the Wildcats have out-scored them by 247 more points on the year (9.5 per game).

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TCU Betting Information

  • TCU has struggled against the spread, going 10-14 on the year.
  • The Horned Frogs have struggled to cover, going just 0-6 ATS when favored by at least 4 points.
  • TCU and its adversaries have combined to cover the point total in 12 of 24 games this season (50%).

Kansas State Betting Information

  • The Wildcats have a losing record against the spread, going 9-16-1 ATS (covering just 34.6% of the time).
  • When they are at least 4-point underdogs, the Wildcats have a record ATS of 1-4-1.
  • In the majority of Kansas State’s games this season, the teams have not hit the over (10 out of 26 games, 38.5%).

Head to Head

TCU vs Kansas State (Last 7 Games)
Date Favorite Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Game Type Result
2/20/2021 TCU -7 132 -325 +252 Regular Season 62-54 KSU
1/2/2021 TCU -3.5 131.5 -178 +146 Regular Season 67-60 TCU
3/11/2020 TCU -1.5 126 -126 +103 Conference Tournament 53-49 KSU
2/15/2020 TCU -3 124.5 -161 +131 Regular Season 68-57 TCU
1/7/2020 Kansas State -1 125.5 -116 -106 Regular Season 59-57 TCU
3/4/2019 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Regular Season 64-52 KSU
1/19/2019 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Regular Season 65-55 KSU

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TCU Leaders

  • RJ Nembhard leads the Horned Frogs in points and assists per game, scoring 15.9 points and distributing 4.0 assists.
  • Kevin Samuel leads TCU in rebounding, grabbing 8.0 rebounds per game while also scoring 9.1 points a contest.
  • Mike Miles contributes the most three-point shooting production for the Horned Frogs. He knocks down 1.7 threes per game.
  • Samuel is a standout on the defensive end for TCU, leading the team in steals with 1.0 per game and blocks with 1.7 per contest.

Kansas State Leaders

  • Nijel Pack’s points (12.0 per game) and assists (3.8 per game) stat lines give him the top rebounding and assists spots on the Wildcats’ leaderboards.
  • Kansas State’s Antonio Gordon stats (5.8 rebounds per game, 5.8 points per game, 0.9 assists per game) earned him the top spot on the team rebound leaderboard.
  • Pack is consistent from deep and leads the Wildcats with 2.2 made threes per game.
  • Kansas State’s leader in steals is Pack (1.2 per game), and its leader in blocks is Kaosi Ezeagu (0.8 per game).
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