Texas Longhorns vs. TCU Horned Frogs: 3/7/2021 Matchup Betting Preview, Predictions, Computer Picks, Odds and Trends

Written by on March 7, 2021

A game after he put up 20 points in a 76-67 loss to West Virginia, Jaedon LeDee leads the TCU Horned Frogs (12-12) at home against the No. 15 Texas Longhorns (16-7) as 7.5-point underdogs. The matchup, which tips at 7:00 PM ET on Sunday, March 7, 2021, airs on ESPN+. The over/under is 140 for the matchup.

Betting Information

Texas vs TCU Betting Information
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline
Texas -7.5 -110 -110 140 -113 -108 -360 276

Computer Picks

Computer picks for Texas vs TCU
ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
TCU (+7.5) Over (140) Texas 74 TCU 67

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Total Facts

  • The Longhorns and their opponents have recorded more than 140 points in 69.6% of their games this season (16 of 23 opportunities).
  • In 12 of 24 games (50%) this season, TCU has combined with its opponents to score more than 140 points.
  • The two teams average a combined 2.6 more points per game (142.6) than this game’s over/under of 140 points.
  • Opponents of these teams have averaged a combined 139.4 points per game, 0.6 fewer than the over/under in this game.
  • The Longhorns average point total in matchups this season is 143.3, 3.3 points higher than the over/under in this game.
  • The average point total for the Horned Frogs this season is 1.3 points lower than this game’s over/under.

Scoring Betting Tips

  • The Longhorns record just 3.9 more points per game (74.9) than the Horned Frogs give up (71).
  • Texas has a 5-0 record against the spread and a 12-3 record overall when scoring more than 71 points.
  • TCU is 5-5 against the spread and 4-6 overall when allowing more than 74.9 points.
  • The Horned Frogs’ 67.7 points per game are only 0.7 fewer points than the 68.4 the Longhorns give up to opponents.
  • TCU has compiled a 9-3 overall record and a 7-0 ATS record in games it scores more than 68.4 points.
  • Texas’ record is 1-12 against the spread and 6-7 overall when it gives up more than 67.7 points.
  • The Longhorns have scored a total of 149 more points than their opponents this year (an average of 6.5 per game), while the Horned Frogs have been out-scored by opponents on average this year (by 81 total points, -3.3 per game).

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Texas Betting Information

  • Texas has struggled against the spread, going 9-14 on the year.
  • The Longhorns have posted a losing record of 4-5 against the spread when the spread is -7.5 or higher.
  • In 14 of 23 (60.9%) contests this season, Texas and its opponents have hit the over.

TCU Betting Information

  • TCU has failed to cover the spread in more than half of its outings, going 10-13 ATS.
  • The Horned Frogs have not fared well as a 7.5-point underdog, going 0-3 against the spread when they are at least 7.5-point underdogs.
  • TCU and its opponents have hit the over in less than half of their matchups this year — 11 of 23 (47.8%).

Head to Head

Texas vs TCU (Last 5 Games)
Date Favorite Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Game Type Result
2/13/2021 Texas -11.5 141 -789 +538 Regular Season 70-55 UT
2/19/2020 Texas -2 123.5 -135 +109 Regular Season 70-56 UT
1/29/2020 TCU -4 126.5 -193 +156 Regular Season 62-61 UT
3/9/2019 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Regular Season 69-56 TCU
1/23/2019 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Regular Season 65-61 TCU

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Texas Leaders

  • The scoring leader for the Longhorns this season is Andrew Jones, who averages 14.8 points, 4.8 rebounds, and 2.1 assists per game.
  • Jericho Sims is Texas’ leading rebounder, grabbing 6.8 per game, while Matt Coleman III is its best passer, averaging 4.2 assists in each contest.
  • Courtney Ramey contributes the most three-point shooting production for the Longhorns. He makes 2.0 threes per game.
  • Coleman is Texas’ leader in steals, averaging 1.1 steals per game, while Greg Brown III leads them in blocks with 1.1 per contest.

TCU Leaders

  • RJ Nembhard’s points (16.0 per game) and assists (4.0 per game) stat lines give him the top rebounding and assists spots on the Horned Frogs’ leaderboards.
  • TCU’s Kevin Samuel stats (8.1 rebounds per game, 9.2 points per game, 0.7 assists per game) earned him the top spot on the team rebound leaderboard.
  • Mike Miles makes more threes per game than any other member of the Horned Frogs, knocking down shots from deep at a rate of 1.7 per game.
  • Samuel’s steals (1.1 steals per game) and blocks (1.8 blocks per game) pace TCU on defense.
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