Virginia Cavaliers vs. Louisville Cardinals 3/6/2021 Betting Preview: Predictions, Computer Picks, Odds, Line, Spread and Trends

Written by on March 6, 2021

Carlik Jones leads the Louisville Cardinals (13-5) against the No. 21 Virginia Cavaliers (16-6) after scoring 25 points in an 80-73 win over Duke. The Cardinals are 2-point underdogs in the game on Saturday, March 6, 2021, which tips off at 4:00 PM ET on ESPN2. The matchup has a point total of 121.5.

Betting Information

Virginia vs Louisville Betting Information
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline
Virginia -2 -112 -110 121.5 -109 -114 -136 112

Computer Picks

Computer picks for Virginia vs Louisville
ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
Louisville (+2) Over (121.5) Louisville 67 Virginia 65

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Total Facts

  • The Cavaliers and their opponents have scored no less than 121.5 points — this matchup’s point total — in 14 of 22 opportunities (63.6%) this year.
  • Louisville and its opponents have combined to score more than 121.5 points in 83.3% of their matchups this year (15 of 18 chances).
  • These teams average a combined 137.7 points per game, 16.2 more points than the total of 121.5 set for this game.
  • Opponents of these teams have averaged a combined 126.4 points per game, 4.9 more than the point total for this matchup.
  • The average total the Cavaliers have had set in games this year is 7.2 more points than this outing’s point total.
  • Cardinals games this season have averaged a total of 135.4 points, 13.9 more than the point total in this matchup.

Scoring Betting Tips

  • The Cavaliers average 68.5 points per contest, only 2.3 more points than the 66.2 the Cardinals allow their opponents.
  • When Virginia totals more than 66.2 points, it is 6-0 against the spread and 9-1 overall.
  • Louisville is 3-4 overall and 1-6 against the spread in games when it allows more than 68.5 points.
  • The Cardinals put up an average of 69.2 points per game, nine more points than the 60.2 the Cavaliers give up.
  • When it scores more than 60.2 points, Louisville is 9-0-1 against the spread and 13-2 overall.
  • Virginia is 0-2 against the spread and 0-2 overall when it allows its opponents to put up more than 69.2 points.
  • The Cavaliers have scored a total of 183 more points than their opponents this year (an average of 8.3 per game), and the Cardinals have out-scored opponents by 53 points on the season (three more per game).

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Virginia Betting Information

  • The Cavaliers have been solid against the spread this season, earning an 11-10 record.
  • When favored by at least 2 points, the Cavaliers have fared well against the spread, compiling a 10-8 record.
  • More often than not, Virginia and its foes have united to hit the over, cashing in on 11 of 21 chances this season.

Louisville Betting Information

  • Louisville has a 9-8-1 record against the spread, covering in 50% of their contests.
  • The Cardinals have fared well as a 2-point underdog, going 8-5-1 against the spread when they are at least 2-point underdogs.
  • Louisville and its opponents have hit the over in half of their matchups this year — 9 of 18.

Head to Head

Virginia vs Louisville (Last 4 Games)
Date Favorite Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Game Type Result
3/7/2020 Virginia -1 114 -115 -107 Regular Season 57-54 VIR
2/8/2020 Louisville -8 114 N/A N/A Regular Season 80-73 LOU
3/9/2019 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Regular Season 73-68 VIR
2/23/2019 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Regular Season 64-52 VIR

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Virginia Leaders

  • The Cavaliers scoring leader is Sam Hauser, who averages 15.5 per contest to go with 6.7 rebounds and 1.7 assists.
  • Virginia’s leading rebounder is Jay Huff averaging 7.0 boards per game and its best passer is Kihei Clark and his 4.6 assists per game.
  • Hauser hits more threes per game than any other member of the Cavaliers, knocking down shots from deep at a clip of 2.6 per game.
  • Reece Beekman and Huff lead the Cavaliers on the defensive end, with Beekman leading the team in steals averaging 1.2 per game and Huff in blocks averaging 2.5 per contest.

Louisville Leaders

  • Jones collects 17.6 points and tacks on 4.5 assists per game, putting him at the top of the Cardinals’ leaderboards in those statistics.
  • Louisville’s Jae’Lyn Withers stats (8.0 rebounds per game, 10.1 points per game, 0.5 assists per game) earned him the top spot on the team rebound leaderboard.
  • David Johnson provides the bulk of the Cardinals’ three-point shooting production. He hits 1.7 threes per game to lead the team.
  • Jones (1.5 steals per game) is the steal leader for Louisville while JJ Traynor (0.6 blocks per game) is the block leader.
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