Wisconsin vs Michigan College Hoops Betting Preview

Posted by D.Zamzack on Saturday,January 24, 2015 1:08, EST in

To say that Michigan landing atop the Big 10 standings last season was a surprise was putting it mildly, but despite that performance, there were still very few expectations for the team coming into this season. At 5-2 in the conference, and 12-7 overall, the Wolverines are once again playing above expectations. A big test will come on Saturday, though, when they welcome in #6 Wisconsin. So let’s review the NCAA Basketball odds and lines for this match as we get ready for this high voltage game.

A Close Look At the Badgers vs Wolverines College Hoops Betting Match Up & Game Info

Date/Time: Saturday, January 24th, 7:00 PM
Location: Crisler Center, Ann Arbor, Michigan
Spread: Wisconsin -10

Why Bet on the Michigan Wolverines

This is actually the start of a big stretch of games for Michigan, as they have 4 of their next 5 games against Big 10 opponents with 2 or fewer losses in the conference. Home court advantage for Michigan on Saturday is huge, as they have lost just 3 home conference games in the past 3 years. Ironically enough, the last of those came against the Badgers (17-2, 5-1), who have actually won 5 of 6 in Ann Arbor. Both teams are going to be without their biggest scorers on Saturday. Michigan were able to win against Rutgers the other night in their first game without CarisLeVert, who was averaging 14.9 PPG, but they are sure to miss him against the Badgers. Wisconsin also has injury issues, the toughest of which is the loss of Frank Kaminsky, who has been averaging 16.9 PPG. They will also be without the services of Traevon Jackson, who will be out for at least 6 weeks.

Why Bet on the Wisconsin Badgers

Wisconsin has been able to easily win their first 5 starts without Kaminsky in the line-up, but conference play has not come quite so easy for Michigan. They took pretty bad losses against Purdue and Ohio State, while the 5 conference games that they have won were all by single digits. Things have been particularly tough offensively, as they have averaged just 54 PPG in their last three outings. That could make things difficult against a Badgers D that is giving up just 54.6 PPG, especially when you consider that LeVert will be out again. Freshman Aubrey Dawkins has filled in nicely, scoring 11 points in his first start.

My Key Betting trends and Expert Prediction:

Wisconsin Badgers
Wisconsin Badgers logoWisconsin is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Wisconsin is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Wisconsin’s last 6 games at home
Wisconsin is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against Michigan
Wisconsin is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Wisconsin is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Wisconsin’s last 6 games

Michigan Wolverines
Michigan WolverinesMichigan is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Michigan is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 16 of Michigan’s last 24 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Michigan’s last 6 games on the road
Michigan is 1-13 SU in its last 14 games when playing on the road against Wisconsin
Michigan is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games

Stretching back to last season, Michigan has won 3 of its last 4 outings versus Top 10 opponents, but that lone loss came this season when they were trounced 80-53 by Arizona in December. This is a match-up that could end up being just as lopsided, especially if the Wisconsin defense continues to do its thing.