2017 Alamo Bowl Betting Preview: Stanford vs. TCU

2017 Alamo Bowl Betting Preview: Stanford vs. TCU

Written by Henry Watkins on Tuesday,December 26, 2017 11:27, EDT

College Bowl season is great for a variety of different reasons, with the most obvious being that we get a ton of games to watch and wager on between the end of the regular season and the start of the playoffs. It certainly also helps that no two games are played at the same time, as it allows you to better manage your money based on the results of the games that you previously played. Thursday sees a total of 4 games on the college football bowl schedule, and 3 of those games feature match-ups between teams that finished the regular season in the top 25, including the Alamo Bowl betting action.

Stanford Cardinal will go head to head with the TCU Horned Frogs. Both of these teams landed in the top 15, and the Horned Frogs spent some time in the top 4 during the regular season. TCU is in as 2 ½ point favorites for this one, with the point total set at 49.

Cardinal vs. Horned Frogs 2017 Alamo Bowl Betting Preview

  • When: Thursday, December 28 at 9 PM EST
  • Where: Alamodome, San Antonio
  • TV: ESPN
  • Radio: 90.1 FM (Stanford) / 820 AM (TCU)
  • Live Stream: Watch ESPN
  • Alamo Bowl Betting Odds: TCU Horned Frogs -2.5 (Over/Under at 49)

Weather Forecast

  • Overcast: 8°C/46°F
  • Humidity: 80%
  • Precipitation: 4%
  • Cloud Cover: 85%
  • Wind: 4 mph E
  • Stadium Type: Indoor

Foster Farms Bowl Betting Preview & Pick: Arizona vs. Purdue

Team Records

  • All: Stanford Cardinal 9-4 / TCU Horned Frogs 10-3
  • Home: Stanford Cardinal 6-0 / TCU Horned Frogs 6-0
  • Away: Stanford Cardinal 3-4 / TCU Horned Frogs 4-3
  • ATS: Stanford Cardinal 6-6-1 / TCU Horned Frogs 7-6
  • Over/Under: Stanford Cardinal 6-7 / TCU Horned Frogs 3-9

Why bet on the Stanford Cardinal?

The Stanford Cardinal finished the season with a 9-4 record, which was good enough to land them in the #13 spot in the final rankings. The Cardinal closed out the regular season with 3 straight wins, which vaulted them into the PAC 12 Championship Game, which they lost 31-28 to the USC Trojans. For most teams, this would have been a successful season, but the Cardinal came into this year with hopes of a National Championship. They will still want to close out 2017 on a high, and getting a win over a very good TCU Horned Frogs team will help make that happen.

Stanford has a legitimate shot at a win here, as they already have some signature wins under their belt, including a win over Notre Dame in the final week of the regular season. The Cardinal will be leaning heavily on their run game in this one, as they were more effective on the ground than through the air. Stanford went 6-6-1 ATS and 6-7 O/U in their 13 games this season.

Team Statistics

Offense

  • Average Score For: 32.00
  • Total Yards: 388.7
  • Rush Yards: 205.62
  • Passing Yards: 183.08

Defense

  • Average Score Against: 21.46
  • Total Yards: 399.16
  • Rush Yards: 171.08
  • Passing Yards: 228.08

Why bet on the TCU Horned Frogs?

It’s easy to forget that the TCU Horned Frogs spent a good portion of the season in the top 4, but a loss to Iowa State put all of that to an end. They went on to lose 2 more games after that one, including a rather hefty 41-17 loss to the Oklahoma Sooners in the Big 12 Championship Game. Where the Honed Frogs really have the upper hand in this one is with their run defense, which only allowed an average of 2.9 yards per carry this season.

TCU comes in as the 2017 Alamo Bowl Betting Odds favorite.

If they can slow down the Cardinal run game, they can force them to start throwing the ball, which is definitely not where they excel. TCU has done a very good job of bouncing back after a loss, going 11-2 SU in those games. They have not been so successful in bowl games, and are just 2-6 ATS in their last 8 bowl appearances.

Team Statistics

Offense

  • Average Score For: 33.15
  • Total Yards: 413.92
  • Rush Yards: 176.23
  • Passing Yards: 237.69

Defense

  • Average Score Against: 17.62
  • Total Yards: 328.54
  • Rush Yards: 99.85
  • Passing Yards: 228.69

Latest Alamo Bowl Betting Trends

  • Stanford is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Stanford’s last 9 games
  • Texas Christian is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
  • Texas Christian is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Texas Christian’s last 9 games

Expert Pick and Final Score Prediction

Stanford is going to have a tough time running the football in this one, and that is going to come back o hurt them. I like the Horned Frogs to win and cover, albeit only just, and I also like the OVER.

Score: Stanford Cardinal 24 – TCU Horned Frogs 27