2017 Cotton Bowl Betting Prediction: USC vs. Ohio State

2017 Cotton Bowl Betting Prediction: USC vs. Ohio State

Written by on December 27, 2017

There are probably some of you out there who have been sitting out college football bowl season thus far, which is understandable given that many of the early games featured lesser known teams. If you have been waiting for the big boys to show up before wagering again, then this is the week when you had better start thinking about your betting slips. The major bowl games are coming into play this week, which means that we are going to start seeing ranked teams take the field in the days leading up to the start of the college football playoffs. There are a number of really good match-ups on the schedule for this week, but it may well be the Cotton Bowl betting action that is delivering the excitement we all want to watch and wager on. Prior to the start of the year, predicting a National Championship Game between the USC Trojans and Ohio State Buckeyes would not have been a ridiculous pick. As it is, they will be battling it out for the Cotton Bowl, with the Buckeyes in as a 7 ½ point favorite and the point total set at 64 ½.

Trojans vs. Buckeyes 2017 Cotton Bowl Betting Prediction

  • When: Friday, December 29 at 8:30 PM EST
  • Where: AT&T Stadium, Arlington
  • TV: ESPN
  • Radio: 96.7 FM (USC) / 97.1 FM (Ohio State)
  • Live Stream: Watch ESPN
  • Cotton Bowl Betting Odds: Ohio State Buckeyes -7.5 (Over/Under at 64.5)

Weather Forecast

  • Partly Cloudy: 7°C/45°F
  • Humidity: 83%
  • Precipitation: 5%
  • Cloud Cover: 52%
  • Wind: 6 mph SE
  • Stadium Type: Retractable

Arizona State vs. NC State 2017 Sun Bowl Betting Lines & Game Preview

Recent Head to Head (Last 2 Games)

  • Record: USC Trojans lead 2-0
  • Score: USC Trojans 26.50 / Ohio State Buckeyes 9.00
  • Rush Yards: USC Trojans 141.00 / Ohio State Buckeyes 79.50
  • Pass Attempts: USC Trojans 31.00 / Ohio State Buckeyes 27.50
  • Completion Percentage: USC Trojans 53.23 / Ohio State Buckeyes 58.18
  • Passing Yards: USC Trojans 189.50 / Ohio State Buckeyes 156.50
  • Total Yards: USC Trojans 330.5 / Ohio State Buckeyes 236.00
  • Turnovers: USC Trojans 1.00 / Ohio State Buckeyes 2.00

Why bet on the USC Trojans?

No team entered the 2017 season with more hype surrounding them than the USC Trojans. They came in with one of the most highly touted QB’s in the nation in Sam Darnold and were also finally able to build a complete team now that all their previous NCAA restrictions had been lifted. The Trojans were done in by a couple of road losses, but finished the season strong, winning 5 in a row, including their Conference Championship Game. There were some who suggested that they may have a claim to the top 4, but that was more than a little unrealistic given the nature of their losses this season. The Trojans come in as the underdog, which is not a position they seem to relish, going 1-8 SU and ATS in their last 9 games as the dog. This season, they went 4-9 ATS and 7-6 O/U.

Team Statistics

Offense
  • Average Score For: 34.54
  • Total Yards: 489.54
  • Rush Yards: 194.92
  • Passing Yards: 294.62
Defense
  • Average Score Against: 26.31
  • Total Yards: 404.77
  • Rush Yards: 158.31
  • Passing Yards: 246.46

Why bet on the Ohio State Buckeyes?

The Ohio State finished the season with the same 11-2 record as their opponents here, and they too thought that they might have an outside shot at a spot in the playoffs. The losses that the Buckeyes took were really not good, though, which is why they are in the Cotton Bowl instead of the playoffs. The Buckeyes are the Cotton Bowl Betting favorites by 7.5 points. Dropping 55 points to Iowa may have been the season killer for this team, but it has to be said that they responded well to that, particularly on defense, where they gave up just 14 PPG in the 4 games following that defeat, including the Big 10 Championship Game. This team has struggled when faced with an elite, accurate QB, which is exactly what they will be facing in this one. Ohio State is 6-7 ATS this season, whilst also going 9-4 O/U.

Team Statistics

Offense
  • Average Score For: 42.46
  • Total Yards: 523.61
  • Rush Yards: 250.23
  • Passing Yards: 273.38
Defense
  • Average Score Against: 19.92
  • Total Yards: 292.31
  • Rush Yards: 108.77
  • Passing Yards: 183.54

Latest Cotton Bowl Betting Trends

  • Southern California is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games
  • Southern California is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Southern California’s last 7 games
  • Ohio State is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
  • Ohio State is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 8 of Ohio State’s last 10 games

Expert Pick and Final Score Prediction

My concern here is how aggressive Sam Darnold is going to be, especially when you consider that the NFL draft is right around the corner. I like the Ohio State Buckeyes to win and cover quite comfortably, and I also really like the OVER. Score: USC Trojans 27 – Ohio State Buckeyes 40