Alabama and Georgia are expected the dominate the SEC. The Crimson Tide is a huge -150 favorite to win the deepest conference in football. The Bulldogs are a +270 second choice. From there, the odds go to quadruple digits with both Florida and LSU at +1200. Check out the 2019 SEC Championship odds and analysis!
2019 SEC Championship Odds, Predictions & Picks
- Alabama -150
- Georgia +270
- Florida +1200
- LSU +1200
- Mississippi State +2000
- Auburn +2500
- Kentucky +2500
- Texas A&M +2500
- Missouri +3300
- South Carolina +6600
- Tennessee +6600
- Mississippi +10000
- Vanderbilt +12500
- Arkansas +25000
Which team, Alabama or Georgia, has the best chance of winning the SEC?
This is not an easy question to answer. Alabama will start the co-Heisman Trophy favorite at quarterback in Tua Tagovailoa. Tua had a monstrous season, his first as a starter in Tuscaloosa. Save for a bad performance against Clemson in the National Championship, Tagovailoa tore it up. However, the Crimson Tide must replace most of the offensive line. Not only that, but the defense has new starters as well.
Does that open the door for Georgia to win the SEC? Georgia has talent, no doubt, but all that talent must translate to victories on the football field. The Bulldogs will have one of the top offensive lines in the nation. Quarterback Jake Fromm, though, must find new wide receivers to throw to because UGA’s top three WRs exited after last season. There’s also the chance the defense isn’t as good even though it’s supremely talented.
Georgia’s defense doesn’t have a lot of starter experience. The secondary, especially, could be vulnerable this season. The problem is that even two losses in the SEC could derail conference championship hopes and Georgia has three games that could lead to disaster: at Florida, at Auburn, and versus Texas A&M.
Then, if they end up in the SEC Championship, they must beat Alabama. The Bulldogs have a tougher road to the title game, making Alabama the better play.
Which +1200 to +2500 team has the best shot of winning the 2019 SEC Championsip?
LSU will be very good this season. They aren’t good enough to beat Alabama or Florida, though. They might even lose to Texas A&M. LSU’s odds should be closer to +2000 than +1200.
Texas A&M has a dark horse shot of taking the SEC Championship. The Aggies are much improved, but they play in the tough SEC West Division. Not only that, they’ve battled both Alabama and Auburn at home and finish the season at Georgia and at LSU. That’s a brutal conference schedule.
The team that has the best shot of winning the SEC Title outside of Georgia and Alabama are the Florida Gators. Florida battles Tennessee, Auburn, and Georgia at home. They battle LSU, Kentucky, Missouri, and South Carolina on the road. Florida can win the SEC this season.
Is their dark horse at +3300 odds or higher that can take the 2019 SEC Championship this season?
Mizzou is a good team, but they’re not bowl eligible. SEC Commissioner Greg Sankey must invite the Tigers to play in the SEC Championship even if they win the SEC East, a big if because they’d have to beat Georgia and Florida. That means Missouri is a tough dark horse to back.
South Carolina is the only real dark horse to consider. Make no mistake, the Gamecocks are a massive longshot to make it to the SEC Title Game. The schedule is brutal: versus Alabama, at Missouri, versus Kentucky, at Georgia, versus Florida, at Tennessee, and at Texas A&M. There’s a chance the Gamecocks lose all 7 of those games.
South Carolina returns 16 starters overall, though. That alone gives them a better shot than Tennessee, Arkansas, Mississippi, and Vanderbilt to win the SEC Championship. Will they do it? Most likely not, but if you’re looking to back a major upset team with great odds, South Carolina is the team to back.