5 College Football Odds Teams Who Could Drop in 2015

Posted by Daniel Strum on September 15, 2015 in

Now that the college football season is actually underway for the joy of NCAA Football betting fans, those preseason coaches’ polls are likely to undergo some significant change. Some of the schools who have been held in high regard are due for a fall – while others will shock the nation by playing much better than people had thought. This article takes a look at five schools that are due to fall a bit once real play begins.


The SEC has eight teams who are ranked in the preseason poll, and 13 of the teams in the conference picked up votes (Vanderbilt was the one left out). Tennessee does hold the #25 slot. However, Mississippi State is not ranked at all. The Bulldogs did fall off a bit at the end, but they had a terrific season. The Volunteers finished 7-6 and made their irst bowl game since 2010. There is some young talent on the team as well, and Josh Dobbs is a swell quarterback.
However, last year Tennessee had five games against ranked teams, and they lost all five, losing by a 33-17 average margin. Who did they beat? Utah State, Tennessee-Chattanooga, South Carolina, Arkansas State, Vanderbilt, Iowa and Kentucky. That’s not a terrific group of teams. I expect to see them fall out of the rankings pretty quickly.


Now don’t get me wrong. The Crimson Tide will be a good team in 2015. They do have a big question at quarterback. Jacob Coker will be the starter, but if he wasn’t good enough to start last year, what makes him good enough this year? The Crimson Tide does have to replace the majority of its offense, as well as three starters on the O-line. So I’m not willing to concede that they are in the top five in the nation just yet.



Oregon will be a good team too. But are they really top five? They did lose Marcus Mariota. There is a skilled quarterback coming in from Eastern Washington replace him. However, they are only bringing back 12 starters from 2014. A lot of the defections play defense. The O-line has only two starters coming back, and their center (Hroniss Grasu) was one of the country’s best. It’s possible to replace this talent, but I am not sure they are a top-five team.


Leonard Fournette is a terrific player, and it helps that most of the Tigers’ offense is coming back. But if you think back to what that offense was like in 2014, it wasn’t all that terrific. They scored only 19.1 points per game in SEC play, second to last ahead of only Vanderbilt. The quarterback situation is still in flux.


In 2012, USC opened the season with a #1 preseason ranking and wasn’t even ranked by the end of the year. The preseason polls this year have them at #10, but that’s still too high. They only won nine games in 2014, and they lost a bunch of stars to the NFL draft and graduation. It’s not likely that USC will even win the Pac-12 South, so they are not a top 10 team.