2016 College Football Bold Expert Picks

Michigan State vs Air Force College Football Lines Report

Written by on September 19, 2015

NCAA Football Betting News
The fourth-ranked Michigan State Spartans may have picked up a huge win in their Week 2 matchup against an elite Oregon Ducks squad but the Spartans may have an even harder time in covering a NCAA Football point spread as nearly four-touchdown home favorites against an explosive Air Force Falcons team that will pay them a visit on Saturday. Now, let’s find out if Michigan State can cover the huge spread.

How To Bet Air Force at Michigan State Game Information

When: Saturday, September 19, 12:00 PM ET Where: Spartan Stadium, East Lansing, Michigan NCAAF Spread: Michigan State -27.5 Over/Under: OFF

Why Bet on the Michigan State Spartans

Michigan State (2-0 SU, 0-2 ATS) remained unbeaten by squeaking past Oregon 31-28 in one of the most exciting games on the Week 2 docket. The Spartans failed to cover the college football betting line as 5-point home favorites to fall to a winless 0-2 ATS on the season while playing Under the game’s set Over/Under Total. Michigan State sealed the win with a late fourth down stop high-powered offense. “We’ve got all the confidence in the world in our defense and know that when it’s crunch time they’re going to come through,” quarterback Connor Cook said. Cook threw for 192 yards and two touchdowns for the Spartans on Saturday and LJ Scott added two rushing scores in the win while wide receiver Aaron Burbridge added eight catches for 101 yards and a touchdown. The Spartans’ Week 2 showdown against the Ducks marked first time two teams in the AP top 10 met at Spartan Stadium since 1966, when No. 2 Michigan State and No. 1 Notre Dame played to a 10-all tie.

Why Bet on the Air Force Falcons

Air Force running back D.J. Johnson rushed for 103 yards in the fourth quarter alone to lead the Falcons (2-0 SU, 2-0 ATS) to an emphatic 37-16 beat-down over San Jose State on Saturday night while quarterback Nate Romine added an additional 116 rushing yards and one score. The Falcons covered the college football betting line as a -4.5-point favorite while the game’s 53 total points played Under the set O/U Total.

My Expert Game Analysis and Pick

55 percent of the betting public likes Michigan State to cover the insane points spread in this contest, but I’m going with Air Force to get it done, seeing as how the Falcons have posted a perfect 4-0 ATS mark in their last four games against non-conference opponents and a bankroll-boosting 7-1 ATS in its last eight games overall. Conversely, while Michigan State has gone 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games, the Spartans are also just 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games in the month of September. The Falcons have a very potent offense that has averaged 50.0 points per game through two games so far and it is the Falcons’ quick-strike ability that I like to keep them well within the nearly four-touchdown point spread. The Pick: Air Force +26.5 Points