Alabama Crimson Tide 2019 College Football Season Betting Guide

Alabama Crimson Tide 2019 College Football Season Betting Guide

Written by on July 10, 2019

The perennially-powerful Alabama Crimson Tide might have won two of the last four national championships, but they were thoroughly dominated in last year’s season-ending title tilt and will now enter the 2019 season looking to get back on top of the college football universe.

Whether you love Nick Saban and the Tide or loathe them with every fiber in your being, you’re about to get some expert insight into everything you need to know about Alabama as they get set for the upcoming campaign.

Alabama Crimson Tide 2019 College Football Season Betting Guide

  • 2020 National Championship Odds+200
  • 2019 Win Total Odds: 11

Betting Statistics

  • ATS: 14-1 (W-L) / 8-7-0 (ATS) / 5-5-0 (Home) / 3-2-0 (Away) / 7-6-0 (Grass) / 1-1-0 (Turf)
  • O/U: 9-5-1 (W-L) / 7-3-0 (Home) / 2-2-1 (Away) / 7-5-1 (Grass) / 2-0-0 (Turf) / 63.7 (Total)

Alabama only lost one game last season, but unfortunately, it was a seriously eye-opening 44-16 smackdown loss against almost annual championship rival Clemson.  The Tide did manage to record a winning 8-7 ATS mark by going 5-5 ATS at home and 3-2 ATS record on the road. Despite owning one of the best defenses in all of college football, Alabama played Over the total nine times, including a whopping seven times at home.

2018 Team Leaders

  • Touchdowns: Damien Harris (15)
  • Rushing: Damien Harris (876)
  • Passing: Tua Tagovailoa (3966)
  • Receiving: Jerry Jeudy (1315)
  • Interceptions: Saivion Smith (3)

Now, senior running back Josh Jacobs led the team in touchdowns scored a year ago while fellow running back Damien Harris rushed for a team-high 876 yards. Gifted junior quarterback Tua Tagovailoa completed 69.0 percent of his passes while throing for 3,966 yards with a stupendous 43 TD passes and just six interceptions. Junior wide receiver Jerry Jeudy led the team in receiving yards while senior defensive back Saivion Smith recorded a team-high three interceptions. All of Alabama’s top team leaders are all back in 2019 except Harris who is now playing at the next level.

Offense

  • Total Yards: 522 / Rank 6
  • Passing Yards: 323.6 / Rank 6
  • Rushing Yards: 198.4 /Rank 6
  • Points Scored: 45.6 / Rank 3
  • Field Goal %: 75 / Rank 53

Alabama finished sixth in total offense, an identical sixth in passing and an even more impressive third in scoring despite finishing just 42nd in rushing as Nick Saban changed his ‘normal’ run-first offensive scheme to play to the strengths of his quarterback’s immense skill set.

Defense

  • Total Yards: 320.3 / Rank 16
  • Passing Yards: 198.3 / Rank 33
  • Rushing Yards: 122 /Rank 19
  • Points Allowed: 18.1 / Rank 12
  • Field Goal %: 60 / Rank 21

Alabama was good a year ago defensively, but not as good as we’ve come to expect out of their normally phenomenal defense. The Tide finished the 2018 campaign ranked 16th in total defense, 33rd against the pass, 19th against the run and 12th in points allowed (18.1 ppg).

Outlook

Alabama has won 12 games or more in each of the last five seasons and seven times in the last eight seasons overall, so like everyone else, I’m expecting the Tide to reach the double-digit win mark again in 2019, particularly seeing as how their star quarterback is back under center. In addition to that, Alabama also returns three starters on the offensive line and their entire receiving core.

The bad news is that the Tide lost a superstar defensive lineman in tackle Quinnen Williams, along with a handful of other starters including Mack Wilson and Deionte Thompson. Still, Saban has made a habit out of replacing his top stars on the defensive side of the ball with more elite players that just seemingly keep the ball rolling in Tuscaloosa. Alabama’s toughest home game in 2019 will almost certainly come against an LSU squad that is hoping to take a big step forward in 2019 while road dates against Texas A&M, Mississippi State and Auburn look challenging, but not overly difficult in my opinion.

While the Tide have dropped one game in each of the last four seasons while dropping two in both, 2013 and 2014, I’m thinking Alabama could very well run the table for the second straight season while reaching their fifth straight national championship game.Again, no matter how you feel about the Crimson Tide or Nick Saban, expecting a big drop-off from a year ago, just isn’t very wise. In my mind, the Tide will contend for as long as Nick Saban leads the perennial SEC powerhouse.