Ole Miss @ Alabama NCAA Football Lines Preview

Posted by D.Zamzack on Saturday,September 19, 2015 11:37, EDT in

SEC football diehards, here’s what you need to do this weekend—clear the social calendar, load up your refrigerator with your preferred drinks and snacks, obtain a backup power generator, and cordon off the family because the much-awaited Ole Miss-Alabama game is here, and we want you to be as comfortable as possible and enjoy every single minute of the game! Certainly, it’s going to be a hell of a weekend and a hell of game, folks! And to get you all prepped up for the game and how to bet smart in the game’s college football odds, here is a preview specially prepared for you, complete with free picks.

How To Bet the Rebels @ Crimson Tide NCAA Football Lines, TV & Game Info

Venue:Bryant-Denny Stadium, Tuscaloosa, AL
Date:Saturday, September 19, 2015
Time: 9:15 PM ET
TV:ESPN
NCAAF Lines: Mississippi (+7), Alabama (-7), OVER/UNDER 53

Why Bet on the Ole Miss Rebels

Yes, the Rebels have faced questionable opposition so far this season, and yes, Tennessee-Martin nor Fresno State are nowhere close to Alabama’s offense or defense. But it would be a pretentious not to admit that Ole Miss has not been impressive in its first two games. Averaging an incredible 74.5 PPG and 635 YPG total in the offense, including 276.5 YPG on the ground, the Rebels have been pure class in the attacking department.

The fact that Chad Kelly has completed 72.5 percent of his passes for 557 yards, 6 TDs (the leading mark in SEC) against just one interception further emphasizes Mississippi’s dominance. And as far as weapons go, Jaylen Walton is averaging 11.4 yards per carry and has collected two touchdowns, Eugene Brazeley is averaging 10.2 yards per carry and has also racked up two touchdowns, while Quincy Adeboyejo has collected four receiving touchdowns and LaQuon Treadwell leads receivers with nine catches. Going against Bama’s defense that is allowing 13.5 PPG and 271.5 YPG total won’t be easy, but if they can approach the game with the same mentality like in the first two games, finding scoring opportunities should be within the realms of strong possibility.

Why Bet on the Alabama Crimson Tide

On the opposite end, Jake Coker has completed 63.8 percent of his passes for 427 yards, two touchdowns and one interception, but there are still questions about his ability to offer formidable leadership to the Tide against Mississippi’s defense that has allowed an average of 12 points from its first two games. The Rebels will be the first high-tier defense Coker will be facing, meaning he’ll need a lot of support from his O-line, as well as his targets.

In that regard, star running back Derrick Henry, who is averaging 7.8 yards per carry and has tallied six touchdowns in his first two games, will need to continue with his solid output in the backfield, while top receivers ArDarius Stewart, Robert Foster and Kenyan Drake (who also doubles as a running back) will also need to do their thing in the air. Needless to say, Ole Miss has been really good in the offense, hence Alabama may need to do better than their current 36 PPG scoring and 517 YPG total in the offense.

Key Ole Miss @ Alabama Betting Trends

  • Alabama is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games against Ole Miss
  • Ole Miss is 1-5 SU and ATS in its last six games on the road
  • Alabama is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games
  • Ole Miss 3on and covered in the last meeting between the two teams in 2014
  • Alabama is 29-0 SU in its last 29 games in September
  • Ole Miss is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games in September and 5-2-1 ATS in its last 8 games following a ATS win
  • Alabama is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games in September and 6-13-1 ATS in its last 20 games overall
  • Ole Miss is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 meetings in Alabama and 7-3 ATS in its last 10 meetings overall
  • Ole Miss and Alabama are 1-1 SU and ATS over the last 3 seasons
  • The last two games in the series have gone UNDER the total
  • The total has gone UNDER in Ole Miss’ last six games on the road

My Expert Game Analysis,  Prediction & Pick

With the assortment of dicey matchups offered by this game, it is really tough to make a pick here. That said, with both teams bragging of mean defensive units, I see the total staying low for an UNDER. As indicated by the betting trends, beating Alabama in their backyard won’t be easy, but if the Rebels can play the same kind of free-flowing football from their first two games, Ole Miss should be able to pay bettors on both the ATS and SU college football lines.