Top College Football Week 3 ATS Betting Picks

Baylor vs Oklahoma NCAA Football Spread Report

Written by on November 4, 2014

The NCAAF season has reached a point where every single win and loss hold a level of weight that can make or break the fortunes of a team and their playoff chances. A pair of ranked teams meet this weekend, with one of those teams still very much in the hunt for that coveted spot, despite being ranked outside the top 10. Despite having a better record, the Sooners enter this game as favorite according to the latest college football betting lines.

How To Bet The Bears vs Sooners NCAA Football Spread, TV & Game Info

Venue: Gaylord Family-Oklahoma Memorial Stadium, Norman, Oklahoma Date: Saturday, November 8 Time:  12:00 PM ET TV: ABC NCAAF Odds: Baylor: +6-110, Oklahoma: -6-110

Why Bet on the Baylor Bears

The Baylor Bears took a tumble in the rankings after losing to the West Virginia Mountaineers, although they did bounce back nicely with a demolition of Kansas the following week. They currently sit at #13, with a 7-1 record, but could take a bit of a jump with a win on the road against #18 Oklahoma. That is going to be a tall order, and they will need to lean heavily on their high-powered offense if they are to walk away with a win and any shot at a playoff spot.

Why Bet on the Oklahoma Sooners

Oklahoma have seen their season come off the rails over the past month, with a pair of losses against ranked opponents in the shape of TCU and Kansas State. Things could have been very different, though, as they only lost both of those games by a combined total of 4 points. This is a team that is dangerous and which feels they have something to prove. A win at home against Baylor could help make that happen, and set them up for a strong finish to the season. They have no chance of being in the playoff picture, but they can still play a role in affecting who is in and who is out.

My Expert Betting Analysis and Pick

In match-ups that look to be tight, the bookies generally give the nod to the home team. That is the case here, as the Sooners will be 6-point home favorites going into this one. They have been made the favorite in each of their games this season, and have only compiled a 4-4 record ATS. That includes being 1-2 at home ATS. Baylor Bears are 5-2 ATS this season, and that includes a 2-1 record on the road. More importantly, though, they are 7-1 ATS against Oklahoma on the road going back to 1992. The Bears are also 2-0 ATS when playing the Sooners over the past 3 seasons.These are two very good teams, but it’s fair to say that the Baylor Bears have a little more at stake here than Oklahoma. I like them to sneak this one on the road, which of course means I like them to cover the spread.