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Best Games & Expert NCAAF Betting Picks for Week 4

Best Games & NCAAF Betting Picks for Week 4

Written by on September 22, 2017

NCAA Football Betting News
If you like waiting until the last minute to make your NCAAF Betting Picks in the hopes of getting better odds or more expert information on the games you plan on betting on, then you’re going to love this quartet of college football odds for Week 4, which has some pretty interesting matchups. The revitalized Purdue Boilermakers will try to pull off the upset over the eight-ranked Michigan Wolverines, follow by the explosive 17th-ranked Mississippi State Bulldogs visiting the 11th-ranked Georgia Bulldogs in their SEC showdown. But that’s not all, No. 16 TCU intents to slow down the incendiary Heisman Trophy-contending quarterback Mason Rudolph and the sixth-ranked Oklahoma State Cowboys, plus the fourth-ranked Penn State Nittany Lions wants to dispatch the Iowa Hawkeyes in their battle of Big Ten unbeatens. Now, let’s get started.

Best Games & NCAAF Betting Picks for Week 4

No. 8 Michigan (3-0) at Purdue (2-1)

When: Saturday, September 23, 2017 at 4:00 PM ET Where: Ross-Ade Stadium, West Lafayette, Indiana TV: FOX NCAAF Odds: Purdue +9.5 

Analysis

The Michigan Wolverines beat Air Force 29-13 on Saturday, but failed to cover the college football betting line as a whopping 23-point home favorite. More importantly, Jim Harbaugh’s team clearly has some  issues on offense, particularly with his team’s inability to pass the ball, which makes them one-dimensional in my estimation.  Purdue is looking really good under first-year head coach Jeff Brohm and has won two straight games coming into this contest including their 35-3 Week 2 smackdown of Missouri. The Boilermakers has been money in the bank for me in all three of their games this season and I believe they’re the easy pick to cover the spread against the Wolverines in their Week 4 Big Ten battle. The Boilermakers look like a good NCAAF Betting Pick against the Wolverines. While Michigan is one of the best defensive teams in the country, I’m still expecting Purdue to put their fair share of points on the board, to not only cover the college football betting line, but do so by winning outright against a Wolverines team that I believe may need to make a change at quarterback at some point in the near future. The Wolverines are just 1-4 ATS in their L/5 games against a team with a winning record and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall while the home team in this rivalry is 9-3-1 ATS in the last 13 meetings. Call me crazy, but I smell an upset brewing! Go with the 55 percent of public bettors that like the revitalized Boilermakers to cover the spread. NCAAF Betting Pick: Purdue +9.5

College Football Odds & Game Preview for Week 4: UCLA at Stanford

No. 17 Mississippi State (3-0) at No. 11 Georgia (3-0)

When: Saturday, September 23, 2017 at 7:00 PM ET Where: Sanford Stadium, Athens, Georgia TV: ESPN NCAAF Odds: Mississippi State +6.5 

Analysis

There’s a reason why a compelling 60 percent of public bettors like Mississippi State and it’s because they can seemingly score the ball at will and have an outstanding dual-threat quarterback in Nick Fitzgerald. Georgia didn’t look very good at all in narrowly getting past a mediocre Notre Dame squad in Week 2 and I haven’t been impressed with their offense at all so far this season. Mississippi State is a near-perfect 5-1 ATS in their last six games in the month of September, 4-1 ATS in their last five games and 6-2 ATS in their last eight games following a straight up win of more than 20 points. Conversely, Georgia is just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games, 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight up win and 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game. I like Mississippi State to cover the college football betting line by winning outright people! NCAAF Betting Pick: Mississippi State +6.5

No. 16 TCU (3-0) at No. 6 Oklahoma State (3-0)

When: Saturday, September 23, 2017 at 3:30 PM ET Where: Boone Pickens Stadium TV: ESPN NCAAF Odds: Oklahoma State Cowboys -12

Analysis

For me, Oklahoma State is the pick to win and cover the college football betting line in Week 4, mostly because I have no faith at all in erratic TCU quarterback Kenny Hill after he flamed out at Texas A&M and tossed a Big-12 high, 13 interceptions against just 17 TD passes a year ago. Mason Rudolph is clearly the ‘real deal’ and will almost assuredly be the best player on the field in this Big 12 battle while leading the Cowboys to the solid home win. The Oklahoma State Cowboys are favorites at the NCAAF Betting Odds. TCU is just 2-7 ATS in their last 9 conference games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall while Oklahoma State has gone 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games in the month of September, a near-perfect 5-1 ATS in their L/6 games against a team with a winning record and an unblemished 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall. Simply put, go with the 69 percent of public bettors that like the Cowboys to get it done at home! NCAAF Betting Pick: Oklahoma State -12

No. 4 Penn State (3-0) at Iowa (3-0)

When: Saturday, September 23, 2017 at 7:30 PM ET Where: Kinnick Stadium TV: ABC NCAAF Odds: Iowa Hawkeyes +12.5

Analysis

The 55 percent of public bettors like Penn State in this Week 4 matchup and I believe that’s easily the right call for one huge reason. The Hawkeyes just don’t have enough offense to keep pace with the explosive Nittany Lions and their pair of Heisman Trophy contenders in quarterback Trace McSorley and running back Saquon Barkley. Penn State is a near-perfect 8-0-1 ATS in their last nine conference games, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games and bankroll-boosting 12-2-2 ATS in their last 16 games overall while Iowa has gone 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in the month of September and uninspiring 4-11-1 ATS in their last 16 home games. The Nittany Lions are playing fantastic football on both sides of the ball and will get the win and ATS cover in this one despite being on the road. NCAAF Betting Pick: Penn State -12.5
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