Best OVER & UNDER Picks for NCAA Football Betting Week 3

Posted by Alex Murphy on September 18, 2015 in

The first two weeks of the new college football season delivered a set of enthralling games. Week 3 figures to be even better, headlined by games such as No. 14 Georgia Tech at No. 8 Notre Dame, No. 18 Auburn at No. 13 LSU, Stanford at No. 6 USC, and No. 15 Ole Miss at No. 2 Alabama. As we look forward to such the games, and the flurry of action that comes with them in the college football betting odds, let’s ready ourselves for the feast of clashes with these appetizing OVER and UNDER picks.

Best OVER & UNDER Picks for NCAA Football Betting Week 3

Auburn at LSU, UNDER 48.5

Don’t expect a lot of biting between these two Tiger teams this weekend. Last week, Auburn’s usually explosive offense looked totally out of character, struggling mightily and nearly suffering an upset loss to the lowly Jacksonville State. Luckily, the Tigers lived to die another day, going to overtime to secure a nervy 27-20 home win. LSU, as always, heavily relies on its defense to win games, something that was evidenced by their tight 21-19 road win over Mississippi. With the game set to take place at the Death Valley, a place LSU has mastered the art of grinding out wins in slugfest encounters, this matchup doesn’t look likely to go anywhere near the region of 50 points.

Cincinnati at Miami (OH), UNDER 60

Was someone in Vegas high or not? 60 points in a game featuring Miami? Not happening! This is a Miami team that has shown so far that it can’t score, coming off a road performance where it laid an egg against Wisconsin’s average defense, and before that, it only collected just 26 points against Presbyterian in Week 1. So although Cincinnati is capable of putting 30-plus points over the Red Hawks, Miami’s offensive woes are likely to keep the total low. Oh, and don’t forget that the Red Hawks aren’t pushovers in the defense and playing at home should psyche them up to avoid a blowout from the visitors.

Stanford at USC, UNDER 50

Containing QB Cody Kessler, arguably the best pocket passer in college football right now, is definitely a tall order. But when you have Stanford’s trusted defense doing the job of manhandling the passer, then you can be rest assured that they’ll be able to get the job done, albeit with a few hiccups. Bearing that in mind, it doesn’t look like the Trojans will be exploding for mega points, even if they’ll be playing at home. On the other side, I heard some Stanford fans talking about how their team has found rhythm in the offense after the Cardinal tallied 31 points and Kevin Hogan collected 341 yards against UCF. If you are among such fans, better snap back to reality because Stanford has never been an offense-first team, so repeating a similar performance on the road against USC won’t be possible. Simply put, expect Stanford to go back to its low-scoring nature, and USC to be limited enough in passing the ball, keeping the scores well below the 50-point total. FYI, when the two teams met in 2014, the game ended 13-10.

Other Worthy UNDER Picks Worth Considering:

  • Utah State at Washington, UNDER 44
  • UTSA at Oklahoma State, UNDER 55
  • Temple at Massachusetts, UNDER 54
  • Utah at Fresno State, UNDER 54

Best OVER Picks for NCAAF Betting Week 3

Florida State at Boston College, OVER 47

Impressive as Florida State’s front seven is, Boston College’s running game is very capable of pushing that secondary for yardages and points in the end zone. FSU, on the other hand, has proven that, as long as Everett Golson is doing well enough in passing the ball, Dalvin Cook and his fellow runners can shoulder the bulk of the offensive load for solid points. With this game likely to be centered and decided by running the ball, and both teams known to be very good at that (so far), there’s a high likelihood that this contest will blow above 50 points for an OVER.

Ole Miss at Alabama, OVER 52.5

Having totaled 149 offensive points from their first two games and allowed just 24 points in the process, the Rebels are looking unstoppable and are expected to stretch Nick Saban and Alabama’s defense to the extreme. Even so, Bama’s front seven has the potential to slow down Ole Miss’s explosive running game that is largely responsible for the team’s back-to-back 70-point performances in the first two weeks. That said, it doesn’t look like Chad Kelly and his versatile offensive unit can be fully contained by Alabama—or any team for that matter—so the Rebels should be good for at least 30 points. Alabama’s Jake Coker is not as mobile as Blake Sims, but RB Derrick Henry has been a beast in the first two weeks, so his impressive job as the team’s workhorse, along with  his fellow runners, should continue. In turn, this will allow Alabama to tally around 30-or-more points. With that, going past the 52.5 total looks very promising in this top-tier duel.

Texas Tech at Arkansas, OVER 70.5

Over the week, this line has been moving up and now it’s at 70, but I am still convinced that an OVER is the right way to go, however high it is. The essential reason why this game is likely to beget many points is the mismatch between the two teams. On one hand, Texas Tech has given up 544 combined rushing yards from its first two games, and after Arkansas tried (and failed) to pass the ball last week in their loss to Toledo, be sure that coach Bret Bielema will be going by to the Arkansas way of running, running and running the ball. This should be particularly easy for Arkansas considering the Red Raiders have an abysmally poor defense. Conversely, Texas Tech is very good at passing the ball and has thrown for more than 437 yards in each of its first two games. Going against a weak Arkansas passing defense that allowed 239 passing yards to Toledo in Week 2, the Red Raiders should be able to cause mega problems through the air. Add all that up, you get a game that is ripe for a high-scoring duel, as each team scores around 40 points.

Other Worthy OVER Picks Worth Considering:

  • Connecticut at Missouri, OVER 41.5
  • Georgia Tech at Notre Dame, OVER 55
  • SMU at TCU, OVER 66
  • BYU at UCLA, OVER 54
  • Northwestern at Duke OVER 48