Best Week 4 College Football Betting ATS Picks

Posted by Alex Murphy on September 25, 2015 in

Week 3 of the 2015 NCAA football betting season came and went, and the magic of teams like Ole Miss and  BYU paying us on ATS lines is quickly faded. It now feels far less fun to ruminate over what may or may have not happened, and much more business-oriented to focus on the potential profits that lie in this week’s NCAA Football odds. So without having to digress into too much chatter, let’s get down to business and check out what ATS lines are likely to pay us well in Week 4.

Best Week 4 College Football Betting ATS Picks

No. 21 Stanford at Oregon State

Best ATS Pick: Stanford

Despite their 10-point upset win over USC, I am yet to be convinced that Stanford is for real, especially because of their poor showing in Week 1. Even so, Kevin Hogan looks like he’s having a big season, and Oregon State still has too many holes on both ends of the field, hence Stanford will most likely win and take the points in this game.

BYU at Michigan

Best ATS Pick: BYU (+5.5)

I keep on saying this since I watched BYU in Week 1, these Vegas guys need to start showing respect to the Cougars ‘coz they are for real and are pure gold, especially in the ATS lines. So as long as the Oddsmakers keep on ignoring my sentiments by underestimating the Cougars (who are coming off a nearly huge upset win over the Bruins in LA), I’ll keep on laying chalk with BYU like I’ve been doing and get paid for it. FYI, Jim Harbaugh’s offense is not that great, and BYU has covered in all its games this season (at Nebraska, vs. Boise State and vs. UCLA).

No. 20 Georgia Tech at Duke

Best ATS Pick: Duke (+8)

Duke barely has anything called an offense to brag about, something that cannot be said of Georgia Tech and its well-oiled triple-threat attack. But after Duke upset the Yellow Jackets in Durham last year, and with the Blue Devils boasting of a 9-3 ATS record in the last 11 games as dogs and 12-5 ATS record in its conference games since ’13; I’ll take my chances by hoping on Duke’s defense to come alive here and keep the scores close for an ATS win for the home team.

Western Michigan at No. 1 Ohio State

Best ATS Pick: Western Michigan (+31)

Even with all the excuses flying around about receivers, running backs and unmotivated QBs, the bottom line is that Ohio State’s offense is simply not what is was last season. There is room for improvement, and the expectation is that they will soon, but until that happens, I’ll be safe backing up the other tree (Western Michigan) hoping it can shake up some fruits for me and you along the ATS lines.

No. 3 TCU at Texas Tech

Best ATS Pick: TCU (+6.5)

Expect a good offensive spurring from these two well-endowed attacking teams, but in the end, Heisman favorite Trevone Boykin and the Frogs should pull away to win the game by more than a touchdown, so we’ll go with TCU for the ATS in this marquee Big 12 showdown. Oh, and did I mention that the Frogs torched the Red Raiders for 82 points last season in a blowout win? Yeah, there’s that too… So although we don’t see a similar huge win, Boykin (who was the hero of that show) is coming off a 6-touchdown performance in Week 3, thus should be able to lead his team for a cover of this week’s cheap points.

No. 25 Missouri at Kentucky

Best ATS Pick: Missouri (+3)

Missouri football is often boring are slow for my liking, but Gary Pinkel and his team knows how to win games when it matters most, a fact that is affirmed by two back-to-back SEC East titles for the Tigers in 2013/14 and 2014/15, along with wins in the Cotton Bowl and Citrus Bowl in those two years. So if you are looking for a fun game to watch, I’d definitely warn you to keep away from this one. But if you are all about the profits, then I strongly recommend Missouri for you because I am almost sure they’ll be walking out of Kentucky with the win and therefore the cover as small road dogs.

Vanderbilt at No. 3 Ole Miss

Best ATS Pick: Ole Miss (-24)

The Rebels are kings of covering the spread, and after two blowout wins and covers in Week 1 and 2, followed by an impressive upset victory and cover as underdogs against the Crimson Tide, I don’t expect Ole Miss to fail in covering the spread here. Yes, the Rebels will undergo a meltdown at some point in this season (as they always do), but Vandy is not the team to condemn them to that fate.

No. 19 USC at Arizona State

Best ATS Pick: USC (-5.5)

Tempe is never the friendliest of places to visit, leave alone trying to claim a road win. But Cody Kessler and his power arms are not to be questioned. I mean, this is a guy who faced a Stanford team that had given up a total of just 247 passing yards and one TD passing in its first two games, but was still able to post 272 passing yards and 3 TDs passing in the upset Week 3 loss. Having collected 4 TDs in the 55-6 win over Arkansas State in Week 1, and passed for 410 yards and 3 TDs in the Week 2 win over Idaho, you can bet your house that Kessler will be at it again this week against Arizona’s “soft” defense to lead the Trojans to a solid road win and cover.

Other Worthy Week 4 ATS Picks:

•    No. 24 Oklahoma State at Texas, Pick: Texas (+3)
•    Louisiana-Monroe at No. 12 Alabama, Pick: Louisiana-Monroe (+38)
•    No. 14 Texas A&M at Arkansas, Pick: Arkansas (+7)
•    Ball State at No. 17 Northwestern, Pick: Ball State (+20)
•    California at Washington, Pick: California (-4)

Note: There may be some slight line movement in our NCAAF betting lines from the time of this writing (publishing) to the time you are betting. So be sure to affirm the exact values of the NCAAF odds before betting.