In Depth Analysis On The Bold Winning Predictions For College Football Week 3
Alabama (-10) Will Beat Ole Miss By Double DigitsChad Kelly is a very talented quarterback and the Ole Miss Rebels have owned Bama for the past two seasons, making bettors a bit hasty on banking on the Crimson Tide for the win, let alone the points this weekend. But the thing is, the defending national champs have looked solid so far on the season with a 2-0 SU and AT mark, starting with 52-6 beatdown of Southern California as a 13.5-point neutral-site favorite, followed by a 38-10 victory over Western Kentucky as a 27-point favorite last Saturday.
The Rebels, meanwhile, are off to shaky 1-0- SU and 0-2 start to the season, blowing up a big lead in the 45-34 loss to FSU and a neutral-site underdog, and then unconvincingly beating FCS foe Wofford 38-13 last Saturday, which was way short of covering the 43-point home chalk for Mississippi. As thing stand, Bama has looked more solid and ready to play up to it potential, as opposed to the iffy Rebels. In addition, Nick Saban will want to avoid another upset at the hands of Mississippi, something that should motivate him to run up the score with his superior squad. This makes Alabama our bold pick for the win and points as decent double-digit road favs.
Louisville (+2) Will Upset Florida StateFlorida State did manage to win its week 1 encounter against Ole Miss after rallying from behind in the second half, and that quality win over an elite opponent will give them confidence for another strong show at Louisville. The problem, however, is that FSU’s new signal-caller in freshman quarterback Deondre Francois lacked poise in the first half against Ole Miss, and that could easily play into Florida State’s advantage, as Louisville is a quick-off-the-blocks type of team with strong ability to hold off comebacks at the end of the game. More than that, the Cardinals arguably the best dual-threat quarterback in the nation through the first two weeks of the season in Lamar Jackson. For example, against Syracuse last week, the QB had 411 passing yards and 199 rushing yards, making him the first QB in FBS history to throw for 400-plus yards and run for 175-plus yard in the same game. And on top of Jackson’s solid QB skills, the Cardinals have a proven group of tailbacks that are well-capable of besting what the rusty Dalvin Cook and his gang will be bringing this weekend.
So while the defensive edge will go to Fl. State (2-0 SU, 1-1 ATS) and Jimbo Fisher is a master at winning this type of games, we strongly believe that Louisville (2-0 SU and ATS) and its superior offense will prove to be the ultimate winning difference in this blockbuster showdown.
Oklahoma at Ohio State Will Go OVER 64.5 TotalIn their season-opening 33-23 loss versus Houston, the Sooners struggled to stop Greg Ward’ passing game, with the Cougars throw for a total of 321 yards. Last week against UL Monroe, the same struggles in defending the pass were evident, as ULM threw for 272 yards. This defensive vulnerability could very well be exploited this week by Ohio State’s potent offense that is averaging 62.5 points and 596 total yards per game. Ohio State isn’t just good at passing the ball (283 passing yards per game, 9.3 YPP), but at running it as well (313 rushing yards per game, 6.1 YPR), so it wouldn’t be a surprise if the dynamic J.T. Barrett-led Buckeyes offense deliver another big-yardage, high-scoring effort this weekend.
Defensively, the Bucks have been solid against low-tier opponents, but it’s hard to guarantee the same efficiency against dual-threat maestro Baker Mayfield and his explosive offense that is oozing with talented playmakers in both the aerial and running game. To show what they are capable of in the offense, the Sooners put up 59 points and 640 total yards last week against UL Monroe. Add up all that offensive talent and the huge playoff implications that will almost definitely push both teams to give their best, we feel extremely confident that this game will be delivering 65-plus points for an OVER betting total.
Syracuse (+14) Will Cover the Spread vs. South FloridaOkay, the Orange have played two games at home so far, going 1-1 SU and ATS, beating Colgate 33-7 as 22-point favs before falling flat in a 62-28 loss to Louisville. That certainly doesn’t evoke a lot of confidence ahead of their Week 3 home game against the explosive Bull, who’ve scored 56 and 48 points in their first two games while allowing just 18.5 points per game in the process. In addition, the USF Bulls spot a stellar 7-2 SU and ATS mark in its last 9 head-to-head games against the Orange.
Even so, it would be a bit exaggerated to compare South Florida to Louisville and expect the Bulls to run up the score like the Cardinals did last week. Impressive as they have been so far, the Bulls’ first two games came at home against two cheap opponents—Towson and Northern Illinois. Playing at Carrier Dome in Syracuse will come with an entirely different atmosphere that is likely to limit South Florida’s poise and efficiency. In fact, in spite of their lopsided loss, the Orange did show ability to hang tough, with players like sophomore QB Eric Dungey and star wideout Amba Etta-Tawo holding their own quite well. With a bit of some clean ups in the defense, the Orange (who are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games at home) should be very capable of keeping this game close for the ATS win.