The explosive California Golden Bears will look to light it up against the Texas Longhorns in their Week 3 NCAA football odds showdown on Saturday, but the Bears will face a Longhorns team that has a new look thanks to last week’s change at quarterback. Now, let’s find out who’s going to come out on top in their intriguing matchup.
How To Bet The Golden Bears @ Longhorns NCAA Football Odds & Game InfoDate/Time: 7:30 PM ET, Saturday, September 19, 2015Location: Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium, Austin, TexasBetting Odds: California -2.5Over/Under: 60.5
Why Bet on the Texas Longhorns (1-1 SU, 0-2 ATS)The Texas Longhorns (1-1 SU, 0-2 ATS) got their first win of the season by taking down Rice 42-28, thanks mostly to the heroics of new starting quarterback Texas failed to cash in as 14.5-point home favorites but found out that the highly-touted Heard looks like the real deal after over a year of frustrating play from former starter Tyrone Swoopes. “We just felt like, `Let’s give Jerrod a chance. Let’s see what he does.’ He’s one of those guys who’s going to jump out there with a lot of juice,” Texas head coach Charlie Strong said.Heard completed 4 of 7 passes for 120 yards, but two of those completions were long touchdown strikes. Heard also added another 96 yards rushing the ball and brought a lot of electricity to a Longhorns program in desperate need of it. “What everyone wanted to see was something different. Some change,” Strong said. “He can make plays. He’s a winner.” Heard told reporters that he didn’t know until just prior to kick-off that he was going to start. “My goal was to bring a spark,” Heard said. “I felt like coach was gonna use me, probably situationally, (on) third down.”
Why Bet on the California Golden Bears (2-0 SU, 2-0 ATS)The California Golden Bears (2-0 SU, 2-0 ATS) improved to 2-0 on the season by pounding San Diego State 35-7 in Week 2 to easily cover the college football betting odds as a 13-point favorite. Quarterback Jared Goff took a big step toward nabbing the 2015 Heisman Trophy award by completing 17 of 24 passes for 321 yards with three touchdowns and one interception, including two TD strikes in a 21-second span that broke open what was up until then, a tight contest. California’s defense also had a stellar outing in forcing two turnovers and basically shutting down the Aztecs’ offense. Still the Golden Bears struggled for much of the contest one week after lighting up Grambling for a whopping 73 points.“It just shows our character,” Goff said. “For (San Diego State) to go down and score on the first drive . that was it for the rest of the game. They just couldn’t score. When you have a defense that can do that, it helps so much.” Goff moved within 16 yards of breaking former star Troy Taylor’s school record for career passing yards. The string-armed signal-caller is also approaching the school’s all-time records for touchdown passes and completions.“He’s certainly going to be one of the great ones to ever play here, if he’s not right now,” Dykes said. “I wouldn’t trade him for any other quarterback in college football. I wouldn’t even consider it.”
My Expert Game Analysis and Picks:51 percent of the betting public likes Texas to cover the spread in this contest, but I don’t mostly because I believe the Longhorns are going to struggle a bit to keep up with the explosive Golden Bears. Right now, Cal is averaging 54.0 points per game and while I realize that they won’t be able to score at that clip all season long, I do believe they’ll be able to reach the 30-point plateau against Texas.
- California has gone 4-2 ATS in its last half-dozen games while Texas has gone 1-4 ATS in its last five home games.
- The Golden Bears are also a pristine 5-0 ATS in their last five road games and 4-1 ATS in their last five non-conference games.
- Texas is 2-6 ATS in their last eight games following an SU win and just 1-4 ATS in their last five non-conference games.
- 59 percent of the betting public likes the Under for this affair and I agree because of Cal’s surprisingly solid defense and what I expect to be one or two mistakes from Heard.
- The Under is 4-1 in Cal’s last five games following an ATS win.
- The Under is 7-2 in the Longhorns’ last nine home games against a team with a winning road record and 6-2 in their last eight games overall.