College Football Bowls Third Round SU Picks

Posted by Eric Williams on Tuesday,December 27, 2016 11:41, EDT in

If you’re looking to cash in on the ongoing slate of college football bowl games and you want to take the guesswork out of making often arduous ATS picks, then you’ve come to the right place!

Thanks to the trio of SU bowl game picks that you’re about to get, you’re going to have a great opportunity to cash in three times! Let’s get started.

In Depth Analysis On The College Football Bowls Third Round SU Picks

 

 

2016 Outback Bowl

Who: Florida Gators (8-4) at Iowa Hawkeyes (8-4)
When: Monday, Jan. 2, 2017 at 1:00 PM ET
Where: Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, FL
TV: ABC
NCAAF Odds: Florida -2 / Total: 40.5

Analysis: The Florida Gators (8-4 SU, 5-7 ATS) dropped their last two games of the season and come into their bowl game showdown off a pitiful 54-16 loss against No. 1 Alabama in the SEC Championship Game.

Offensively, the Gators have put up a modest 23.4 points per game to rank an uninspiring 110th in scoring nationally as quarterback Austin Appleby has completed 61.4 percent of his passes for 1,225 yards with eight touchdowns and five interceptions. Defensively, Florida has been absolutely stupendous in limiting the opposition to just 17.9 points per game to rank a stellar 11th nationally in points allowed.

The Iowa Hawkeyes (8-4 SU, 6-6 ATS) won their final three games of the season and come into this contest off a 40-10 blowout over Nebraska in their finale. The Iowa offense is averaging 26.7 points per game to rank 77th in scoring nationally as quarterback C.J. Beathard has completed a modest 58.6 percent of his passes for 1,874 yards with 17 touchdowns and just seven interceptions. Defensively, Iowa has limited the opposition to just 17.9 points per game to rank a stellar 10th in points allowed nationally.

To get right to the point, I’m going to advise you to back the Iowa Hawkeyes to get the outright win and accompanying ATS cover. I really like they competitive spirit that Iowa showed over the second half of the season and I fully believe they are going to use their elite defense to shut down Florida’s mediocre offense while getting a solid effort out of C.J. Beathard to get the win and ATS cover.

Florida is 5-1 ATS in their last six games following a double-digit home loss, but the Gators are also 0-7 ATS in their last seven non-conference games.  While Iowa is just 1-4-1 ATS in their last six neutral site games, the Hawkeyes are also 5-2 ATS in their last seven games overall

The Hawkeyes finished the season strong while Florida has been mediocre at best recently. Iowa wins outright to over the bowl game betting line.

Pick: Iowa 27 Florida 24

2016 Franklin American Mortgage Music City Bowl

Who: Nebraska Cornhuskers (9-3) at Tennessee Volunteers (8-4)
When: Friday, Dec. 30, 2016 at 3:30 PM ET
Where: Nissan Stadium, Nashville, TN
TV: ESPN
NCAAF Odds: Tennessee -3 / Total: 61

Analysis: The Nebraska Cornhuskers (9-3 SU, 7-4-1 ATS) had their modest two-game winning streak snapped in their 40-10 blowout loss to Iowa in their regular season finale, but can still reach 10 wins for the first time since 2012.

Nebraska averages 26.7 points per game to rank an uninspiring 78th in scoring nationally as senior quarterback Tommy Armstrong Jr. has completed a dismal 51.4 percent of his passes for 2,180 yards with 14 touchdowns and eight interceptions. Defensively, Nebraska is allowing 22.7 points per contest to rank 31st in points allowed defensively.

The Tennessee Volunteers (8-4 SU, 5-7 ATS) had their three-game winning streak snapped in their 45-34 loss to Vanderbilt in their regular season finale. The good news is that the Vols re looking to record their third straight bowl game win under head coach Butch Jones.

Tennessee averages a solid 36.2 points per game to rank an encouraging 26th in scoring nationally as quarterback Joshua Dobbs has completed an impressive 63.3 percent of his passes for 2,655 yards with 26 touchdowns and 12 interceptions. Defensively, Tennessee is allowing 29.3 points to rank 73rd in points allowed nationally.

58 percent of public bettors likes Tennessee to narrowly cover the spread and I agree which is why I’m going to urge you to back the Vols to get the SU win. Nebraska has the toughest time scoring the ball while the Vols can be downright explosive at times. I fully expect the Cornhuskers to struggle to keep pace and stop Tennessee’s Joshua Dobbs while getting another lackluster effort from quarterback Tommy Armstrong Jr. in what has been a career full of them.

The Cornhuskers are 3-0-1 ATS in their last four non-conference games and 4-0-1 ATS in their last five games following an ATS loss. Tennessee is just 2-4 ATS in their last six games, but they’ve also won 14 of their last 18 games outright and play a higher caliber of competition in the SEC than Nebraska faces in the Big Ten.

Simply put, Tennessee gets a better effort out of Joshua Dobbs than Nebraska gets out of Tommy Armstrong Jr. to win and narrowly cover the spread in a contest that narrowly plays over the 61-point O/U Total.

Pick: Tennessee 38 Nebraska 31

 

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2016 AutoZone Liberty Bowl

Who: Georgia Bulldogs (7-5) at TCU Horned Frogs (6-6)
When: Friday, Dec. 30, 2016 at 12:00 PM ET
Where: Liberty Bowl, Memphis, TN
TV: ESPN
NCAAF Odds: Georgia -1 / Total: 49

Analysis: The TCU Horned Frogs are (6-6 SU, 3-9 ATS) have alternated SU wins and losses over thief last five games and come into this matchup off a humbling 30-6 rout at the hands of Kansas State in their finale.

The Horned Frogs are averaging a solid 31.7 points per game to rank 49th in scoring nationally as quarterback Kenny Hill has completed a decent 60.8 percent of his passes for 3,062 yards with 15 touchdowns, but 13 costly interceptions. Defensively, the Horned Frogs have allowed 27.7 points per game to rank 61st in points allowed. The Georgia Bulldogs (7-5 SU, 5-7 ATS) had their modest three-game winning streak snapped in their heartbreaking 28-27 loss to Georgia Tech in their regular season finale.

The Bulldogs are averaging 24.0 points per game to rank an uninspiring 105th in scoring nationally as quarterback Jacob Eason has completed just 55.0 percent of his passes for 2,266 yards with 14 touchdowns and eight interceptions. Defensively, the Bulldogs are giving up 24.0 points per game to rank a respectable 40th in points allowed nationally.

Georgia doesn’t inspire a whole lot of confidence, but the Bulldogs are the pick to get the SU win in this contest seeing as how TCU’s only wins over their last five games came against lowly Texas and equally abysmal Baylor. While Georgia didn’t set the SEC on fire in losing two of their final five games, the fact that they actually play defense leads me to believe they’ll take down a TCU team that really lost its way right around the midway mark of the regular season.

With Georgia going 2-4 ATS over its last six games and TCU going 2-6 ATS over its last eight, neither one of these teams is setting the world on fire when it comes to covering the spread. In the end, I like the more battle tested Bulldogs to get the outright win and ATS cover.

Pick: Georgia 28 TCU 24