Colorado vs. Marshall 2017 Gildan New Mexico Bowl Odds Favorite & Analysis

Written by Eric Williams on Tuesday,December 12, 2017 5:31, EDT

The Colorado State Rams and Marshall Thundering Herd will both be looking to close out their respective 2017 seasons with a victory when they battle in the 2017 Gildan New Mexico Bowl on Saturday, November 16th. The two identical seven-win opponents will throw down off at New Mexico’s University Stadium at 4:30 PM ET with this matchup airing live on ESPN. Now, let’s find out which one of these teams is offering the best value against their New Mexico Bowl odds, considering the Rams are 5.5 favorites.

Rams (7-5) vs. Thundering Herd (7-5) 2017 Gildan New Mexico Bowl Odds Favorite & Analysis

  • When: Saturday, December 16, 2017, 4:30 PM ET
  • Where: University Stadium
  • TV: ESPN
  • Radio: 104.7 FM (Colorado State) / 93.5 FM (Marshall)
  • Live Stream: Watch ESPN
  • New Mexico Bowl Odds: Colorado State Rams -5.5 (Over/Under at 58)

Weather Forecast

  • Partly Cloudy: 11°C/51°F
  • Humidity: 19%
  • Precipitation: 0%
  • Cloud Cover: 37%
  • Wind: 7 mph S
  • Stadium Type: Open

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Team Records

  • All: Marshall Thundering Herd 7-5 / Colorado State Rams 7-5
  • Home: Marshall Thundering Herd 4-2 / Colorado State Rams 4-2
  • Away: Marshall Thundering Herd 3-3 / Colorado State Rams 3-3
  • ATS: Marshall Thundering Herd 8-4 / Colorado State Rams 4-8
  • Over/Under: Marshall Thundering Herd 6-6 / Colorado State Rams 6-5

Why Bet the Colorado State Rams Odds at -5.5?

Why bet on Colorado State? Because they picked up a morale-boosting win the last time out.

Colorado State picked up a huge 42-14 win to get past San Jose State in their regular season finale back on Nov. 18. The win snapped a three-game losing streak and gave them some momentum coming into this contest. Quarterback Nick Stevens passed for 305 yards and three touchdowns as Colorado State scored in every quarter In the commanding victory.

Running back Rashaad Boddie scored two first-quarter touchdowns on runs to help the Rams finish the season third in the conference’s Mountain Division behind Boise State and Wyoming.

Now, heading into their fifth straight bowl game after going 7-5 in the Mountain West Conference this season, the Rams will look to their explosive offense to get the win. Colorado State averaged a healthy 33.8 points per game (29th) while giving up 27.5 points per contest defensively (73rd).

Stevens completed 63.6 percent of his passes this season for 3,484 yards with 27 TD passes and 10 interceptions while running back Dalyn Dawkins rushed for stellar 1,349 yards and nine scores. Wide receiver Michael Gallup was named first-team All-American after racking up 1,345 receiving yards and seven touchdowns on a whopping 94 catches. Gallup has accepted an invitation to play in the Senior Bowl.

Why Bet the Marshall Thundering Herd Odds at +5.5?

Why bet on Marshall? Because they’re kind of desperate – and excited – right now, despite what the New Mexico Bowl odds said!

Marshall has lost two straight coming into this contest including a heartbreaking 28-27 loss to Southern Mississippi in their last game back on November 25 while failing to cover the spread as a 2-point favorite. Thundering Herd finished third in the Conference USA East division with a 4-4 record but struggled down the stretch by going 1-4 over their last five games after getting off to a 6-1 start. Marshall averaged 26.3 points per game this season (81st) while limiting the opposition to just 19.2 points per contest defensively (17th).

“This is what we wanted,” said senior defensive lineman Blake Keller. “I can’t wait for the food and it’s always sunny out there. I’ve never been that far west.”

Marshall's New Mexico Bowl Odds to win are not very good.

Senior tight end Ryan Yurachek said he and his teammates are “excited when we get to go to a new destination. We love experiencing new places together.”

Quarterback Chase Litton completed 60.6 percent of his passes this season for 2,853 yards with 23 TD passes, but also tossed 12 costly interceptions. Running back Tyler King rushed for a team-high 714 yards. Unfortunately, the Thundering Herd turned the ball over more than they forced turnovers, finishing the season at -6.

“Our defense has played outstanding this year, but their offense is one of the top five or 10 in the country,” said Herd tight end Ryan Yurachek. “They’re going to score points … we have all the faith in our defense, but we know we’re going to have to score some points, as well.”

Latest Gildan New Mexico Bowl Betting Trends

  • Marshall is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games
  • Marshall is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
  • Colorado State is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games

Expert Analysis and Prediction

For this contest, I’m going to urge you to back the Colorado State Rams to cover the chalk – by winning outright. The Rams have the far more explosive offense and the fact that Marshall gave up 28 points or more in three of their last four losses. While the Thundering Herd has gone an impressive 5-0 ATS in their last 5 bowl games and 19-6-1 ATS in their last 26 non-conference games, they’re also just 2-3 ATS over their last five games.

Despite going 2-5 ATS in their last 7 bowl games, Colorado State is a robust 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games against a team with a winning record. I like the Rams to cover, so go with the 60 percent of public bettors that are backing Colorado State’s New Mexico Bowl odds.

Pick: Colorado State Rams -5.5