A Closer Look At The Expert College Football Winning Predictions For Week 6
Army at Duke -4When: Saturday, October 8, 2016 at 3:30 PM ET
Where: Wallace Wade Stadium
The Army West Point Black Knights (3-1) are coming off their first loss of the season in their last contest while Duke enters this contest coming off a convincing 34-20 loss against Virginia last Saturday.
Still, for me, the value in this contest lies with Duke, (26.8 ppg) mostly because they’re playing at home in this Week 6 affair. Army may be +20.0 points in scoring differential, but if you saw the Black Knights loss against mediocre Buffalo last weekend, then you know the Knights could lose this game outright.
Army is 4-1 ATS in their last five non-conference games but just 1-4 ATS in their last five games against teams from the ACC. Conversely, Duke is 4-0 ATS in their last four games against Independent teams and a consistent 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 non-conference games. The Blue Devils win outright in a thriller to cover the spread!
My Pick: Duke 28 Army 27
Colorado +5.5 at USCWhen: Saturday, October 8, 2016 at 4:00 PM ET
Where: Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
USC (2-3) has a ton of elite talent, but the Trojans are clearly young and inexperienced. Conversely, Colorado (4-1) has been very impressive in winning four of their first five games, including the Buffaloes’ convincing 47-6 blowout of Oregon State last weekend. USC is also giving up more points per game (27.4 ppg) than they are averaging this season (25.8 pg) while Colorado is averaging a whopping 43.2 points per game and allowing 20.6 points per contest defensively.
The Buffaloes are a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last half-dozen games and 4-1 ATS in their L/5 conference games while USC has gone 1-5 ATS in their last six games following an ATS win and 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games overall. Colorado covers the spread by winning outright!
My Pick: Colorado 35 USC 28
Georgia at South Carolina +7When: Saturday, October 8, 2016 at 7:30 PM ET
Where: Williams-Brice Stadium
The Georgia Bulldogs (3-2) and South Carolina Gamecocks (2-3) are both coming off consecutive losses heading into this Week 6 SEC showdown, but for me, the vale in this matchup lies with South Carolina.
Georgia is giving up an insane 30.8 points per game defensively and the home team in this rivalry has gone 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings. The Bulldogs might win this game outright, but the Gamecocks are the pick to cover.
My Pick: Georgia 24 South Carolina 21
UCLA at Arizona +12When: Saturday, October 8, 2016 at 10:30 PM ET
Where: Rose Bowl
UCLA (2-2) is well-rested after getting a bye in Week 5 following their crushing Week 4 loss against Stanford. Arizona (2-2) was also on the wrong end of a 35-28 loss in their last contest, but for me, the Wildcats are the easy pick to cover a college football betting line that I believe is a few points too high for them to cover.
Arizona is 1-4 ATS in their last five road games and 1-5 ATS in their last six games overall, but UCLA is an even more discouraging 0-4 ATS in their last four home games and 0-6 ATS in their last six games overall. In the end, I just don’t see the Bruins winning this contest by nearly two touchdowns against an Arizona team that matches up well against them.
My Pick: UCLA 35 Arizona 31