Florida vs Alabama College Football Lines Preview

Posted by Tony Newborn on Thursday,September 18, 2014 10:11, EST in

Florida travels to Tuscaloosa to take on Alabama in a game that could go a long way in determining whether or not Alabama secures a spot in the College Football Playoff. For Alabama, continuing to improve by beating the teams that they are supposed to beat, like Florida, is paramount to their playoff chances. Florida has to show that they are better than the under performing football garbage that they sent to the gridiron in 2013. Who will win in this tough SEC NCAA football betting matchup on Saturday?

How To Bet The Gators @ Crimson Tide NCAA Football Odds & Game Info

When: Sept. 20, 3:30 pm ET
Where: Bryant-Denny Stadium, Tuscaloosa, Alabama
Betting Line: Alabama -14.5

Analyzing the Florida vs Alabama NCAA Football Betting Match Up:

Florida looks much improved from a year ago. In their first game of the season, the Gators beat Eastern Michigan 65 to 0. They easily covered the spread as a -40.5 point favorite. Florida took a step back in its second game, though. As a -17.5 point favorite against the Kentucky Wildcats, Florida could only muster a 6 point victory in a 36 to 30 tight one. This is in contrast to Alabama who has improved in each one of their games this season. After a somewhat disappointing 33 to 23 victory over West Virginia, the Tide rolled over FAU 41 to 0 and destroyed Southern Miss 52 to 12. But against the spread, Alabama is a woeful 0 and 3 so far this season.

Alabama’s defense, though, has been impeccable. The Tide allows only 47 yards per game on the ground. That ranks them first in college football against the run. Opponents average 267 yards per game against the Crimson Tide defense. That ranks the Alabama D tenth in total defense. We don’t know how good Florida’s defense is since the 65 to 0 victory over Eastern Michigan is a throw out. Kentucky racked up 450 total yards against Florida while the Gators totaled 532 yards in that game.

The problem for Florida is that even though they will move the ball against Alabama, they are a terrible 1-8-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings against the spread versus the Tide. Florida is also 0 and 5 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Tuscaloosa. Alabama is 0-6-1 ATS in its last 7 games overall and 0-4-1 against the spread in its last 5 home games. But there is something different about this contest when it comes to the Crimson Tide. Alabama’s defense has proven to be rock solid while Florida’s showed signs of being less than stellar against Kentucky in the Gators’ last game. As good as Florida appears to be on offense, Alabama might be just as good on defense.

Florida could be a paper tiger again, like they were in 2013, and if that ends up being the case, Alabama might roll in this game. Alabama is averaging 42 points per while racking up a total of 568.3 yards per. The Crimson Tide averages 275 yards on the ground and 293.3 yards through the air. There are very few teams in college football that display the type of balance that Alabama does.

That’s what this game will come down to, balance. Alabama has a balanced offense and an incredible defense while Florida resembles one of those high-scoring teams, like Arizona or Baylor, that can’t really play defense. After throwing out the trends and just looking at the facts, Alabama should cover in this contest.

SEC CollegeFootball Betting Pick: Alabama -14.5