Georgia Southern vs Eastern Michigan 2018 Camellia Bowl Betting Analysis.

Georgia Southern vs Eastern Michigan 2018 Camellia Bowl Betting Analysis

Written by on December 12, 2018

During the course of the college football regular season, it’s probably fair to suggest that most of us focus our attention on the Power 5 conference teams. After all, this is generally where the playoff contenders come from, plus these are the teams that we can really study on TV every single week. This, though, is very often why some bettors begin to fret a little when bowl season comes around, especially the earlier games, as we are very often looking at team’s we know nothing about. These are teams from lesser conferences who have earned the right to be in a bowl game by putting together 6 wins on the season.

With that in mind, we are going to do all we can to guide you through bowl season by giving you a closer look at these lesser lights in the college game. First up is the Camellia Bowl, which will see the Georgia Southern Eagles go head to head with the Eastern Michigan Eagles in the Camellia Bowl. Georgia Southern is in as a 2 ½ point favorite, with the point total set at 47 ½.

Georgia Southern vs Eastern Michigan 2018 Camellia Bowl Betting Analysis

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Weather Forecast

  • Overcast: 11°C/51°F
  • Humidity: 73%
  • Precipitation: 5%
  • Cloud Cover: 92%
  • Wind: 7 mph WNW

Why bet on the Georgia Southern Eagles?

Georgia Southern will be making their second appearance in a Bowl Game and will be looking to remain unbeaten after winning in their last trip to a bowl. The Eagles put together a solid 9-3 record on the season, doing so by running a triple-option offense that sees the ball stay on the ground more often than not.

They had over 260 YPG on the ground as opposed to just 82 YPG through the air, so they are not going to surprise anyone with the offense that they bring to the table. It is stopping them that has proven to be difficult for the opposition. The Eagles went 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games, and they also seemed to thrive when installed as the favorite, as they are here, going 6-2 ATS in those games.

Team Stats

Offense
  • Average Score For: 31.08
  • Total Yards: 343.66
  • Rush Yards: 260.83
  • Passing Yards: 82.83
Defense
  • Average Score Against: 21.58
  • Total Yards: 361.75
  • Rush Yards: 144.17
  • Passing Yards: 217.58
 

Why bet on the Eastern Michigan Eagles?

Eastern Michigan was forced into a playoff-type mentality in the closing weeks of the season, as they needed 2 wins from their final 3 games to become bowl eligible. They went one better than was necessary, closing out their regular season on a 3-game winning streak. They shut things down on defense in those games, giving up an average of just a little over 11 PPG in that 3-game win streak.

Georgia Southern vs Eastern Michigan is going to be a great game.

As good as that run was, they did only manage to cover the spread once in the final 4 games of the season, going 7-5 ATS overall. Where they really seemed to shine, at least in terms of the point spread, was as the underdog, going 4-2 ATS in games where they were handed the dog label. They bring a more a balanced attack to the table, averaging 27 PPG this season.

Team Stats

Offense
  • Average Score For: 27.50
  • Total Yards: 377.08
  • Rush Yards: 148.50
  • Passing Yards: 228.58
Defense
  • Average Score Against: 22.00
  • Total Yards: 352.92
  • Rush Yards: 192.92
  • Passing Yards: 160.00
 

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Georgia Southern vs Eastern Michigan 2018 Camellia Bowl Betting Trends

  • Georgia Southern is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games
  • Georgia Southern is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Georgia Southern’s last 6 games
  • Eastern Michigan is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Eastern Michigan’s last 9 games

Expert Pick & Final Score Prediction for Georgia Southern vs Eastern Michigan

The Eastern Michigan Eagles gave up close to 200 YPG on the ground this season, which could prove to be problematic when facing the triple option. I like Georgia Southern to win and cover, and I really like the OVER.

Score: Georgia Southern Eagles 30 – Eastern Michigan Eagles 23
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