Georgia vs Tennessee 2019 College Football Spread, Analysis & Betting Pick

Georgia vs Tennessee 2019 College Football Spread, Analysis & Betting Pick

Written by on October 3, 2019

The Georgia Bulldogs will be looking to give their College Football Playoff hopes another boost when they hit the road to take on a reeling Tennessee Volunteers program that has looked flat-out awful this season. While the Dawgs likely won’t have any problems getting the outright win against their overmatched SEC rivals, let’s find out right now if the nation’s third-ranked team can cover the chalk as a huge, 24.5-point road favorite.

Georgia vs Tennessee 2019 College Football Spread, Analysis & Betting Pick

Weather Forecast

  • Mostly Sunny: 32°C/90°F
  • Humidity: 49%
  • Precipitation: 20%
  • Wind: 7 mph SW
  • Cloud Cover: 24%
  • Type of Stadium: Open

Why Bet On Georgia at -24.5?

There are a bunch of reasons why the Bulldogs look like they could easily cover the spread in this one. First, Georgia is far superior to Tennessee on both sides of the ball in averaging over 16 points per game more than their SEC rivals while also giving up 15.3 fewer points per game defensively. And, speaking of defense, the Bulldogs limit the opposition to just 10.0 points per game to rank a stellar sixth in points allowed nationally. Then, there’s the fact that Georgia has won two games by over 50 points this season.

Team Statistics

Offense:
  • Average Score For: 49.33
  • Total Yards: 566
  • Pass Yards: 278.67
  • Rush Yards: 287.33
Defense:
  • Average Score Against: 7.67
  • Total Yards: 243
  • Pass Yards: 182.33
  • Rush Yards: 60.67

Why Bet On Tennessee at +24.5?

There’s only one reason to back Tennessee in Week 6 and it’s because the Volunteers are getting over three touchdowns as home underdogs. Unfortunately, they just lost by 31 points in their embarrassing 34-3 road loss to Florida two weeks ago, not to mention their even more stunning 38-30 season-opening loss against FCS-based Georgia State. Tennessee is averaging a modest 26.0 points per game (88th) while allowing 25.2 points per contest defensively (61st). Quarterback Justin Guarantano has thrown seven TD passes and four interceptions while throwing at least one pick in three of Tennessee’s four games this season and two against the Gators in his last start.

Team Statistics

Offense:
  • Average Score For: 33.67
  • Total Yards: 394
  • Pass Yards: 217.33
  • Rush Yards: 176.67
Defense:
  • Average Score Against: 22.33
  • Total Yards: 306
  • Pass Yards: 149
  • Rush Yards: 157

College Football Week 6 Betting Trend for Georgia vs Tennessee

  • Georgia is 2-5 ATS in the last 7 games against Tennessee
  • Georgia is 15-3 SU in the last 18 games
  • The total went UNDER in 4 of Georgia’s last 5 games
  • Tennessee is 1-5 ATS in thje last 6 games
  • Tennessee is 1-5 SU in the last 6 games
  • The total went UNDER in 6 of Tennessee’s last 9 games

Georgia vs Tennessee Expert Analysis and Prediction

Georgia has won seven of the last nine meetings in this SEC rivalry including an emphatic 38-12 home win over the Vols last season and a 41-0 road spanking in 2017. While the underdog in this series has gone 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings and Tennessee has gone 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings, I just can’t see the Vols covering the chalk in this contest against a Bulldogs team that has the look of a very legitimate championship contender.

Georgia is far superior to Tennessee in all three phases of the game and they’ve got a lot to play for as they make their case to become one of the four teams that earn the right to play for the national championship. I’m thinking Jake Fromm is going to have his way throwing the ball while D’Andre Swift runs roughshod over the Vols on the ground. The Bulldogs win and manage to get the ATS cover as well!

Pick: Georgia 42 Tennessee 14

 

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