LSU vs Alabama 2019 College Football Week 11 Odds, Game Info & Prediction.

LSU vs Alabama 2019 College Football Week 11 Odds, Game Info & Prediction

Written by on November 6, 2019

The college football playoff committee released their first rankings of the season on Friday night and there were a couple of surprises to be found. Perhaps the biggest shocker was seeing defending champions Clemson sitting outside the top 4 at the #5 spot, but given how the schedule looks in the final few weeks, you would bet your life on them getting into a playoff spot before the regular season is all said and done. The reason for that is because the top 4 teams are going to cannibalize themselves coming down the stretch.

Top-ranked Ohio State still needs to face #4 Penn State, while the #2 and #3 ranked teams in the country will go head to head this weekend when the LSU Tigers go on the road to face the Alabama Crimson Tide in a game that will likely decide who wins the SEC West. It may also prove to be a playoff elimination game, but that remains to be seen, as there is still a lot of football to be played. Alabama is a 6-point favorite at home, with the point total for this one set at 65.

LSU vs Alabama 2019 College Football Week 11 Odds, Game Info & Prediction

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Why bet on the LSU Tigers?

LSU are probably a little disappointed not to be sitting in the #1 spot after the release of the rankings, but they might be able to rectify that with a win over Alabama on Saturday. They have been brilliant in getting to a perfect 8-0 record, but you could also argue that their last game, a 23-20 win over the Auburn Tigers, was their least convincing performance of the season. Still, a win over a very good Auburn side is not to be sneezed at, even if LSU did fall well below their 50 PPG season average.

The task here is monumental, as the Tigers have just 2 wins in their last 10 meetings with Alabama and have been outscored by an average of 22-10 in those meetings. They are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 versus the Crimson Tide.

Team Stats

Offense
  • Points per Game: 50.14
  • Passing Yards: 385.71
  • Rushing Yards: 154.14
  • Yards per Play: 7.87
Defense
  • Points per Game: 20.00
  • Passing Yards: 226.14
  • Rushing Yards: 93.29
  • Yards per Play: 4.72

Why bet on the Alabama Crimson Tide?

Ahead of the biggest college football game of the season, the question on everyone’s lips is about who will be under center for the Alabama Crimson Tide. With no disrespect intended to Mac Jones, most Alabama fans are going to be hoping that Tua Tagovailoa is healthy and ready to go, as he is a QB that seems to thrive in these types of big games.

Jones looked good in backup duty in his lone start against Arkansas, but the Razorbacks are simply nowhere near the level of the LSU Tigers. In their last 5 home games against LSU, Alabama has gone 4-1 SU. While both teams are offensively gifted, it is worth noting that the O/U in the last 10 games between these two is at 0-7-3.

Team Stats

Offense
  • Points per Game: 48.71
  • Passing Yards: 347.00
  • Rushing Yards: 166.43
  • Yards per Play: 7.86
Defense
  • Points per Game: 16.43
  • Passing Yards: 190.57
  • Rushing Yards: 130.43
  • Yards per Play: 4.62

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LSU vs Alabama College Football Week 11 Betting Trends

  • Tigers are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games this season
  • Tigers are 13-4-1 ATS in their last 18 games against an opponent in the Southeast conference
  • The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Louisiana State’s last 19 games played in November
  • Crimson Tide are 10-0 SU in their last 10 games at home
  • Crimson Tide are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games played in week 11
  • The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Alabama’s last 12 games played in November

Expert Pick & Final Score Prediction for LSU vs Alabama

This is a game that is almost too tough to call, especially given the Tua situation. I actually believe that the LSU Tigers might just come out and spring the upset here, but I think the safer bet might be the UNDER.

Score: LSU Tigers 33 – Alabama Crimson Tide 30