LSU vs UCF 2019 Fiesta Bowl Lines & Game Prediction

LSU vs UCF 2019 Fiesta Bowl Lines & Game Prediction

Written by on December 30, 2018

The LSU Tigers travel to State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Arizona on Tuesday, Jan. 1 to take on the amazing Central Florida Knights. Central Florida’s on an incredible 25-game winning streak. The Knights will look to stamp another undefeated season with a victory over a top SEC squad. Will they upset the Baton Rouge Tigers in the 2019 Fiesta Bowl?

LSU vs UCF 2019 Fiesta Bowl Lines & Game Prediction

Weather Forecast

  • Clear: 9°C/48°F
  • Humidity: 33%
  • Precipitation: 0%
  • Wind: 6 mph NNW
  • Cloud Cover: 12%
  • Type of Stadium: Retractable

Why #11 LSU Tigers are a good bet -7.5?

The Tigers lost only 3 times this season. The first, 19-27 to Florida in The Swamp, is understandable. Teams have trouble beating Florida on the road. The second, 0-29 to Alabama, is also understandable. Alabama’s the best team in the nation.

The final loss could have been a win. LSU didn’t lose to Texas A&M until after playing 7 overtimes. The Tigers are the best team that UCF has faced during their 25 game winning streak. LSU figures to show why on Jan. 1.

Team Statistics

Offense:
  • Average Score For: 31.8
  • Total Yards: 389.3
  • Pass Yards: 214.7
  • Rush Yards: 174.7
Defense:
  • Average Score Against: 20.9
  • Total Yards: 346.1
  • Pass Yards: 206.8
  • Rush Yards: 139.3

Why #8 UCF are a good bet +7.5?

Although the Knights play in the American Athletic Conference, it’s still unbelievable how they’ve won 25 straight games. Not only have the Knights won 25 straight, but they’ve also gone 9-3 ATS this season, meaning they’re covering as a major favorite in most games.

What’s really telling is last season’s bowl game. UCF garnered a bid to the Peach Bowl to battle Auburn. As a +10.5 dog, the Knights upset the Tigers 34-27. If they beat Auburn in a New Year’s Day Bowl game last year, why can’t they beat LSU in a New Year’s Day Bowl game this year?

Team Statistics

Offense:
  • Average Score For: 44.2
  • Total Yards: 545.7
  • Pass Yards: 268.9
  • Rush Yards: 276.8
Defense:
  • Average Score Against: 21.2
  • Total Yards: 425.5
  • Pass Yards: 198
  • Rush Yards: 227.5

2019 Fiesta Bowl Trends for LSU vs UCF

  • LSU is 11-5 ATS in the last 16 games on grass
  • LSU is 9-3 SU in the last 12 games
  • The total went OVER in 6 of LSU’s last 9 games
  • UCF is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 games
  • UCF is 5-0 SU in the last 5 games
  • The total went UNDER in 7 of UCF’s last 9 games

LSU vs UCF Final 2019  FIesta Bowl Analysis:

On one hand, LSU should absolutely dominate UCF on Tuesday. The Tigers are easily the best team the Knights have faced in the past 25 games. No team comes close. But, LSU has a tendency to not care so much when they’re not facing an SEC rival.

UCF spotted Memphis 17 points in the AAC Championship. At halftime, the score was Central Florida 21, Memphis 38. UCF dominated in the second half to outscore Memphis 35 to 3.

Coach Josh Huepel has had a month to prepare for LSU. While the Tigers are a great football team, they don’t adjust as well as UCF does. The Knights could win this straight up. Taking the points is a no-brainer.

2019 Fiesta Bowl Pick: Central Florida +7.5