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Must Bet Games and Picks for College Football Week 6

Written by on July 25, 2017

I don’t want to say the 2017 college football season really starts in Week 6, but in a way it does because that’s the first weekend of October and all the teams will be done with those non-conference cupcakes and be facing tough division opponents. Here are two game recommendations for Week 6 with my projected betting odds for the 2017 College Football season.

Must Bet Games and Picks for College Football Week 6

Louisville Cardinals at NC State Wolfpack

When: Thursday, Oct. 5, 8 PM ETWhere: Carter-Finley Stadium, RaleighTV: ESPNStream: WatchESPNRadio: WHAS 840 AM (Louisville) / Wolfpack Sports Network (NC State)Opening College Football Week 6 Lines: Louisville -10Do not sleep on NC State this year as this is going to be one of the best defensive clubs in the ACC. The starting lineup is loaded with seniors, including one of the best defensive lines not just in the ACC, but all of FBS. Defensive ends Bradley Chubb and Kentavius Street are NFL prospects who combined for 16 sacks in 2016.The defensive tackles are both 315 pounds, strong yet athletic. Backup DE Darian Roseboro had seven sacks as a sophomore, and seven of the top eight are back from a unit that had onesenior and one junior in the top nine (much more experienced).The Wolfpack also return QB Ryan Finley, a graduate transfer from Boise State. Finley was steady but not spectacular in his first season in the ACC. He completed 60.4 percent of his passes for 3,059 yards with 18 touchdowns and eight interceptions. He’ll need to take more chances downfield this season. Four starters return on the offensive line.Of course Louisville had one of the best offenses in the country last year led by Heisman Trophy winning quarterback Lamar Jackson. That group should be dynamic again. Last year, Jackson racked up 3,543yards passing, 1,571 rushing and 51 total touchdowns, but the junior should become a more polishedpasser to go with his electric playmaking prowess.

How Are the Cardinals Looking Like?

Across the line of scrimmage, Louisville returns seven starters from a defense that ranked 14th nationally (322.2 yards per game), including linebacker Stacy Thomas (85 tackles) and cornerback Jaire Alexander (five interceptions). LBs James Hearns and Trevon Young have been named to the preseason watch list for the Dick Butkus Award.A starter in 12 games last season, Hearns led the Cardinals in sacks with 8.0 and also was credited with 11.0 tackles for loss. Hearns tallied a sack in at least six games, including a career-high two in the win over NC State.Young, a standout during the 2015 season, sat out all of last year after suffering a major injury in the Music City Bowl win over Texas A&M. That season, Young finished with 8.5 sacks in 12 games, and also registered 10.0 tackles for loss.The Cards routed NC State 54-13 in 2016. Jackson had four first-half touchdowns (three passing, one rushing). He threw TD passes of 74 yards to Jaylen Smith, 3 yards to Cole Hikutini and 16 yards to Jamari Staples.

Latest College Football Betting Trends

Louisville
  • Odds to Win 2018 National Championship: +1600
  • Odds to Win ACC Conference: +300
  • 2017-18 Regular Season Wins: O 9½ -115 / U 9½ -115
NC State
  • Odds to Win 2018 National Championship: +10000
  • Odds to Win ACC Conference: +1600
  • 2017-18 Regular Season Wins: O 7 -140 / U 7 +110
Louisville heads into College Football Week 6 as betting favorites.

Must Bet Games in College Football Season During Week 5

LSU Tigers at Florida Gators

When: Saturday, Oct. 7, TBAWhere: Ben Hill Griffin Stadium, GainesvilleTV: TBAStream: TBARadio: 98.1 FM (LSU) / Gators Sports Network (Florida)Opening College Football Week 6 Lines: Florida -3If you are a casual college football fan but follow the SEC, you might be asking why LSU is visiting Florida not just in 2017 but ’18. Obviously schools that play annually are supposed to switch home and away every year (even at neutral sites).However, after the October 2016 game between the Gators and Tigers in Gainesville was (unnecessarily) postponed due to Tropical Storm Matthew hitting Florida, what followed was several days of uncertainty as to when, where and if the game would be made up.Officials from both sides bickered back and forth before the SEC office finally mediated a solution — that the game would take place Nov. 19 in Baton Rouge. Florida won that game 16-10, stopping LSU on the goal line in the final seconds to seal the SEC East championship.As a result of last year’s venue change, Florida gets an extra home game this year, with LSU traveling to Gainesville in both 2017 and 2018. Recently, the Gators designated this one as their 2017 homecoming.

What Has Happened Recently in Florida?

The Gators did suffer a big loss recently as safety Marcell Harris is done for the season with a torn Achilles tendon. Harris had a team-high 73 tackles, four for loss, one sack, two interceptions and one fumble return for a touchdown last season — his first as a full-time starter. Sophomore Jeawon Taylor and freshman Quincy Lenton, who were injured this spring, could be options to step in for Harris.As for last year’s 16-10 UF win, it was a defensive battle and should be again here. Florida’s defense stuffed LSU’s Derrius Guice on a do-or- die run from the 1-yard line in the final seconds.Florida quarterback Austin Appleby completed only seven passes on 17 attempts, but one of his connections went for a pivotal 98-yard touchdown to Tyrie Cleveland. Eddy Piniero scored the rest of Florida’s points on field goals of 36, 24 and 34 yards. LSU outgained UF 423-270.

Latest College Football Betting Trends

LSU
  • Odds to Win 2018 National Championship: +1600
  • Odds to Win SEC Conference: +400
  • 2017-18 Regular Season Wins: O 9 -180 / U 9 +150
Florida
  • Odds to Win 2018 National Championship: +4000
  • Odds to Win SEC Conference: +800
  • 2017-18 Regular Season Wins: O 8½ -105 / U 8½ -125

Expert College Football Week 6 Prediction

If NC State is indeed getting double-digit points at home against Louisville, then I’m taking them. You really have to wait and see who starts at QB this season for the Gators, but I believe LSU is the second-best team in the SEC so I’d take any points.
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