Ohio State at Michigan State NCAA Football Week 11 Odds & Preview

Ohio State at Michigan State NCAA Football Week 11 Odds & Preview

Written by on November 8, 2018

The Ohio State Buckeyes head to Michigan State to battle the Spartans in a game that could push them further towards a spot in the College Football Playoff. At #10 in the CFP Rankings, the Buckeyes have an outside shot to get into the CFP. They can’t afford another loss. Will Ohio State come through or will Michigan State end their College Football Playoff dreams?

Ohio State at Michigan State NCAA Football Week 11 Odds & Preview

Weather Forecast

  • Overcast: 0°C/32°F
  • Humidity: 61%
  • Precipitation: 2%
  • Wind: 17 WNW
  • Cloud Cover: 80%
  • Type of Stadium: Open

Why #10 Ohio State is a good bet at -3.5?

If Ohio State wants to make it to the Top 4, they must work hard to impressively beat Michigan State, Maryland, Michigan and their opponent in the Big Ten Championship. They’re at Michigan State in Week 11.East Lansing’s not an easy place to win, but the Buckeyes’ offense got back on track after the loss to Purdue when scoring 36 points in the win over Nebraska in Week 10. If Ohio State doesn’t get into a defensive struggle, there’s a chance they beat the Spartans by at least a touchdown.

Team Statistics

Offense:
  • Average Score For: 42.2
  • Total Yards: 547.4
  • Pass Yards: 369.1
  • Rush Yards: 178.3
Defense:
  • Average Score Against: 23.8
  • Total Yards: 398.1
  • Pass Yards: 243.9
  • Rush Yards: 154.2

Why #18 Michigan State is a good bet at +3.5?

Is Michigan State a safe bet for NCAA Football Week 11?

The Spartans have won 3 of their last 4 and have covered in 3 of their last 4 by leaning on a stout defense. Their 1 loss, a 7-21 performance to Michigan, wasn’t even that bad because the Spartans played the Wolverines tough until late in that game.

If Michigan State’s defense plays as well on Saturday as it has in the past month, the Spartans will have a shot at the moneyline upset.

Team Statistics

Offense:
  • Average Score For: 23.4
  • Total Yards: 360.3
  • Pass Yards: 234.8
  • Rush Yards: 125.6
Defense:
  • Average Score Against: 19
  • Total Yards: 325.1
  • Pass Yards: 253.4
  • Rush Yards: 71.7

NCAA Football Betting Trends for Ohio State at Michigan State

  • Ohio State is 0-5 ATS in the last 5 games
  • Ohio State is 13-1 SU in the last 14 games
  • The total went UNDER in 4 of Ohio State’s last 6 games
  • Michigan State is 1-5 ATS in the last 6 games at home
  • Michigan State is 9-3 SU in the last 12 games
  • The total went UNDER in 4 of Michigan State’s last 5 games

Ohio State at Michigan State Final NCAAF Betting Analysis

All signs point to Michigan State winning straight up, much less covering the spread in Week 11. But, sometimes, signs are meaningless. In this case, the signs might be meaningless. Ohio State has a lot to play for in their final 3 regular season games.

The Buckeyes are a much better team, especially on offense, then they’ve shown in their last 4. Ohio State had to work to beat Nebraska in Week 10. That could serve them well in what should be a close game up until the 4th quarter when the Buckeyes’ offense finally asserts itself.

Ohio State has a chance to make waves. They’ll do so by beating Michigan State by at least 7 points.

NCAA Football Week 11 Pick: Ohio State -3.5  
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