Oregon vs Wisconsin 2019 Rose Bowl Spread & Expert Analysis.

Oregon vs Wisconsin 2019 Rose Bowl Spread & Expert Analysis

Written by on December 31, 2019

No bowl game has more history than the Rose Bowl, the granddaddy of them all. On New Year’s Day, Pac-12 champion and sixth-ranked Oregon faces Big Ten runner-up and No. 8 Wisconsin. The Badgers are slight favorites on the Mybookie NCAAF odds.

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Oregon vs Wisconsin Series History

Wisconsin and Oregon will meet for the 6th time, with the Badgers holding a 3-2 edge in the teams’ all-time series. Oregon has claimed the last 2 matchups between the Badgers and Ducks, including a 45-38 win when the teams collided in the 2012 Rose Bowl.

Why Bet on Wisconsin?

Wisconsin lost in the Big Ten title game, 34-21 to Ohio State. Wisconsin, making its Big Ten-leading sixth appearance in the title match, turned in an impressive performance early on and scored the first 14 points. It led 21-7 at the half, but then OSU took control.

UW’s Jack Coan ran for two touchdowns in the first half and Jonathan Taylor rushed for 148 yards and one touchdown on 20 carries. Wide receiver Quintez Cephus collected 7 of 14 catches for 122 yards. Coan was 17 of 33 with 232 yards, no touchdowns and no interceptions, but scored two touchdowns on seven carries. After rushing for 194 yards in the first half, Wisconsin was held to minus-1 yard rushing in the second half and finished with 193 yards rushing.

Taylor Magic

Taylor became the seventh player in FBS history to reach 6,000 yards rushing in his career when he ran for 6 yards early in the second quarter. The junior finished the game with 6,080 career yards. The last player to join the club was Donnel Pumphrey of San Diego State in 2013. Wisconsin is the only school to produce two 6,000-yard rushers. The other is Ron Dayne, the career rushing leader, with 7,125 yards. Taylor needs just 91 more to join Dayne (1996, ’99) and Iowa State’s Troy Davis (1995, ’96) as the only players with multiple 2,000-yard seasons.

Taylor is the third repeat Doak Walker Award winner, joining Texas’ Ricky Williams (1997-98) and Arkansas’ Darren McFadden (2006-07). He leads the nation in scoring, at 12.0 points per game, by tallying 26 touchdowns (21 rushing, 5 receiving). He ranks No. 2 in the FBS in yards from scrimmage, averaging 162.9 yards per game. Taylor joined junior center Tyler Biadasz as a unanimous first-team All-American in 2019. Biadasz won the Rimington Trophy as college football’s best center.

Senior OLB Zack Baun also earned consensus first-team All-America accolades and leads the Badgers with 12.5 sacks — the 3rd-highest single-season total in UW history. He and senior ILB Chris Orr (11.5) have led the Badgers to a school-record 49.0 sacks to rank 3rd nationally. UW has 8 games with at least 4.0 sacks this season.

The Badgers are making their 6th appearance in a New Year’s Six bowl game in the last 10 years. Wisconsin has won 5 straight bowl games, the longest streak in Big Ten history. Wisconsin is 7-5 in bowl games vs. the current membership of the Pac-12, most recently with a 23-21 win over USC in the 2015 Holiday Bowl.

Team Stats

Offense
  • Points per Game: 35.92
  • Passing Yards: 267.46
  • Rushing Yards: 183.23
  • Yards per Play: 6.47

Defense

  • Points per Game: 15.69
  • Passing Yards: 222.77
  • Rushing Yards: 106.85
  • Yards per Play: 4.76

Why Bet on Oregon?

The Ducks upset No. 5 Utah 37-15 in the Pac-12 title game. CJ Verdell ran for 208 yards and three touchdowns, the most yards rushing against Utah in five years. Verdell had touchdown runs of 70 and 31 yards in the fourth quarter, as the Ducks put the game away after Utah made it a one-score game with a surge in the third quarter. The Ducks rushed for 239 yards as a team. Justin Herbert rushed seven times for 20 yards, and completed 14-of-26 passes for 193 yards and a touchdown.

Herbert’s 95 TD passes are the most among active FBS players and sixth most in Pac-12 history. Herbert is one of four Power 5 QBs since 2015 with 30+ TD passes and five or fewer INTs. He is one of seven FBS players with 3,000 yards passing each of the last two seasons.

Freshman defensive end Kayvon Thibodeaux set the tone for the UO defense vs. Utah. Thibodeaux hounded Utah quarterback Tyler Huntley all night, finishing with 2.5 sacks among his five tackles, and also blocked a punt. Oregon’s 15.7 points allowed per game is the lowest in school history since 1966 and the fewest in a season with at least 12 games dating back to 1988.

Ducks Numbers

Oregon has held 12 of its 13 opponents under their season scoring average. Oregon has held six opponents under 10 points, which is tied for the most in the nation and is a program best since 1960.

Oregon vs Wisconsin is going to be a good one.

It was the Ducks’ first win over a Top 5 team since topping Florida State in the 2015 Rose Bowl. It gave head coach Mario Cristobal his 20th win at Oregon in just two seasons. Oregon won 20 games over the previous three years before he was named head coach. Oregon is one five FBS teams in the top 15 nationally in both scoring defense (15.7/9th) and scoring offense (35.9/15th).

The Rose Bowl appearance marks the 14th time in the last 15 years that Oregon has advanced to a bowl game and is the 13th time it has played a bowl game in California, highlighted by eight Rose Bowl trips. The Ducks hold a 14-18 all-time record in bowl games, including 3-4 in the Rose Bowl. Oregon has won its last two games at the Rose Bowl by scoring a combined 104 points.

Team Stats

Offense
  • Points per Game: 34.62
  • Passing Yards: 201.08
  • Rushing Yards: 240.54
  • Yards per Play: 6.44

Defense

  • Points per Game: 16.08
  • Passing Yards: 191.15
  • Rushing Yards: 102.38
  • Yards per Play: 4.84

Oregon vs Wisconsin 2019 Rose Bowl Betting Trends

  • Badgers are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games against an opponent in the Pacific 12 conference
  • Badgers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Wisconsin’s last 5 games when playing as the favorite
  • Ducks are 5-14 ATS in their last 19 games following a ATS win
  • Ducks are 5-12 SU in their last 17 games when playing as the underdog
  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Oregon’s last 9 games played in January

Expert Final Score Prediction for Oregon vs Wisconsin

Oregon 24 – Wisconsin 23