Ole Miss vs. Vanderbilt NCAA Football Odds Guide

Posted by Daniel Strum on Saturday,September 26, 2015 8:57, EST in

The Mississippi Rebels and their College Football betting fans are on a red-hot roll and head into their Week 4 SEC showdown against the Vanderbilt Commodores looking to stay unbeaten and keep their legitimate national championship hopes alive.  The big question for college football bettors is whether or not Ole Miss will cover the spread as huge home favorites.

How To Bet the Commodores @ Rebels NCAA Football Odds & Game Info

When: Saturday, September 26, 7:00 PM ET
Where: Vaught-Hemingway Stadium, Oxford, Mississippi
NCAAF Odds: Mississippi -24.5
Over/Under: 55.5

Why Bet on the Mississippi Rebels?

Mississippi jumped all over former No. 2 Alabama in their stunning 43-37 Week 3upset as 9-point road dogs. Young quarterback Chad Kelly torched the Crimson Tide by completing 18 of 33 passes for 341 yards with three touchdowns and no interceptions. “It feels great. I give all glory to God,” Kelly said. “Grandma is looking over me today. This one is for her. I’m so thankful to play for a great team, great players, great coaches and great fans. This is awesome. This is what you dream about.”

The Rebels led 30-10 and 43-24 leads before Alabama staged a late comeback attempt.”Oh, man, what a game. It was definitely a four-quarter battle,” Ole Miss coach Hugh Freeze said. “We thought we had it put away a couple of times, and they just wouldn’t go away. That’s a credit to their staff and the character of their team and their kids.”

Why Bet on the Vanderbilt Commodores?

Vanderbilt absolutely crushed Austin Peay in its 47-7 Week 3 blowout of their overmatched opponents as quarterback Johnny McCrary completed 28 of 33 passes for 368 yards and two touchdowns while running back Ralph Webb rushed 15 times for 54 yards and two scores. Unfortunately, the Commodores failed to cover the college football betting line as a 47-point home favorite.

My Expert Game Analysis and Pick:

64 percent of the betting public likes No. 5 Mississippi to cover the spread as nearly four-touchdown home favorites and I can see that happening very easily. First of all, Mississippi laid a humbling 41-3 smackdown on Vanderbilt last season to cash in as a 17.5-point road favorite – and that was with former starter Bo Wallace under center.

Now, with a clearly better quarterback calling the shots in Kelly – and an equally stingy defense to last season’s squad – I like Ole Miss to cruise to victory in this one. I know the Commodores are 6-1 ATS in their last seven road games and 9-3 ATS in their last dozen conference games, but Ole Miss has gone 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 home games and 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games following an SU win.

The road team in this longtime SEC series is 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings, but I’m going against those trends after watching the opening ATS line for this contest drop four points in Mississippi’s favor, not to mention after witnessing their emphatic rout of Alabama last weekend. 68 percent of public bettors also like the Over, but with the Under going 7-2 in the last nine meetings, I’m going the other way with my O/U pick.

The Picks: Mississippi -24.5 Points/Under 55.5 Total Points.