Rutgers vs. Kansas NCAA Football Betting Analysis

Posted by Alex Murphy on September 25, 2015 in

Just how bad is the Kansas football program and why have the Jayhawks been placed as huge underdogs to Big 10’s bottom-placed Rutgers Scarlet Knights in Saturday’s College Football odds match up? Well, consider this—entering the 2015 campaign, most college football betting Sportsbooks set the season OVER/UNDER total for the Jayhawks at just 1.5. Mind you, that total number was set with the awareness that the Kansas program had a new coach in David Beaty, a former wide receivers coach at Texas A&M who was tipped to be good enough to bring a new dawn for the Jayhawks. In the preseason, I actually thought the Oddsmakers were simply exaggerating how bad this team was. I mean, this is a team that is nine seasons removed from a 12-1 campaign that ended with an Orange Bowl triumph, so it couldn’t be that bad for them, right? Well, after two weeks of watching them before their bye in Week 3, I am here to admit that I was wrong in my thinking. The Jayhawks are not a bad team, they are a Really Really bad team, and here’s why!

How To Bet The Jayhawks @ Scarlet Knights NCAA Football Odds, TV & Game Info

Venue: High Point Solutions Stadium, Piscataway, NJ
Date: Saturday, September 26, 2015
Time: 12:00 PM ET
NCAAF Odds: Kansas +12.5

Why Bet on the Rutgers Scarlet Knights

Not that Rutgers has been doing that well, either. Since beating MAC’s Norfolk State Spartans 63-13 in Week 1, the Scarlet Knights have reeled off two losses, a 37-34 defeat to the Washington State Cougars in Week 2, followed by a demoralizing 28-3 road loss to the lowly Penn State. As a result, the Scarlet Knights are now 1-2 on the season, and are equally looking to get back on the winning track.

Making matters for the Knights, head coach Kyle Flood was suspended over the weekend and is serving a suspension, meaning the team will be receiving new orders from interim coach Norries Wilson in Saturday noon’s game.

So although the Scarlet Knights will be facing a Kansas team that is arguably the worst Power-5 conference team in the country this season, any laxities and complacency could easily lead to a SHOCK upset from the Jayhawks.

Why Bet on the Kansas Jayhawks

In their season-opener against South Dakota State, a Division I-AA (or FCS) foe, the Jayhawks made a mockery of themselves by suffering a 41-38 home loss. This was followed by another home defeat to Memphis, but on this occasion, it was even more embarrassing, as they surrendered 651 total yards of offense and 7 whopping TDs (2 passing, 5 running) to give the Tigers a glossy 55-23 win. That win, by the way, helped the Tigers to snap a 19-game skid against Power-five teams.

Even more unfortunately, things could be getting worse for the Jayhawks this Saturday. Having lost 30 straight true road games, the Jayhawks travel this Saturday to the High Point Solutions Stadium in Rutgers to search for a way to end that record. Now, whereas I am a big believer in miracles and I would seriously hope that the Jayhawks get a win, at least for the sake of my good Kansas friends, it is really a tall order for this Kansas Program—even with its respected Power Five status—to break their fall soon, or at least this Saturday.

Key Players and Notable Statistics


  • QB Montell Cozart is completing 57.6 percent of his passes for 409 yards, one touchdown and one pick in his two games
  • The Jayhawks running game is averaging 239.5 yards per contest, led by Ke’aun Kinner who’s collected  270 yards and 3 TDs
  • Receivers Darious Crawley  and Tre’ Parmalee have combined for a little over 160 receiving yards this season, while Kent Taylor has a TD pass reception
  • The Jayhawks are allowing an average of 48 PPG and 557 YPG in their two games


  • Chris Laviano is the leading passer in Rutgers, completing 72 percent of his passes for 593 yards, 4 TDs 3 interceptions
  • The Knights running game is averaging 177.3 yards per contest, led by Josh Hicks who’s racked up 258 yards and 2 TDs in three games
  • The Knights receiving game is paced by Janarion Grant and Leonte Carroo, who’ve combined for over 270 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns, along with Andre Patton who’s notched six receptions
  • The Knights are allowing 26 PPG and 408.7 YPG through their three games

Key Betting Trends

  • The Jayhawks are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 vs. a team with a losing record
  • The Scarlet Knights are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games
  • The Jayhawks are 7-23-1 ATS in their last 31 road games
  • The Scarlet Knights are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 vs. a team with a losing record

My Expert Game Prediction & Pick

These are two bad teams, but the Knights have at least shown that they can get it together every once in a while. Added to their home advantage in this contest, I like the Knights for the win plus the points in an ugly error-prone matchup that will beget around  45-50 points in the game total.